Norway - Portugal
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.5%
Win
Norway
16.82%
Draw
28.69%
Win
Portugal
3.17
2.38
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–2
(5.96%)
1X2 Result
1
55%
X
17%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
46%
12
83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
86%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Norway a 54% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 28% for Portugal. Expected goals are 3.2 for Norway and 2.4 for Portugal (total 5.6), with a 93% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 5.96% probability.
Season Stats
4W
1D
1L
6W
3D
1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.2
1.2
Conceded
1.1
6.2
Shots OT
5.4
6.0
Corners
6.4
53%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
80%
83%
O 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
27%
O 3.5
47%
BTTS
3W
0D
0L
· at home
2W
2D
1L
· away
3.3
gls/g
1.2
0.3
Conceded
0.8
100%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
60%
100%
O 2.5
40%
33%
O 3.5
20%
33%
BTTS
60%
67%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Norway
Portugal →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Norway
Attack
48
Defence
56
Form
44
Portugal
Attack
41
Defence
70
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Norway
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Norway | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Portugal | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Norway vs Portugal?
The model gives Norway a 54% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 28% for an Portugal win.
How many goals are expected in Norway vs Portugal?
Expected goals: Norway 3.2, Portugal 2.4 (total 5.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 93%.
What is the most likely score in Norway vs Portugal?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.96%.