World Cup
· Group Stage - 2
June 23, 2026 02:00
M. Pedersen
43'
E. Haaland
(ast. M. Odegaard)
48'
E. Haaland
(ast. P. Berg)
58'
53'
(ast. S. Mane)
I. Sarr
90'+3
(ast. N. Jackson)
I. Sarr
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norway a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Senegal 20%). The final result was Norway 3–2 Senegal.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
4
2.10
Actual xG
1.70
2
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
15
Match Events
J. Ryerson
/ M. Pedersen
13'
⚽M. Pedersen
43'
F. Aursnes
/ P. Berg
46'
⚽E. Haaland
· ast. M. Odegaard
48'
53'
ast. S. Mane ·
I. Sarr⚽
54'
I. Jakobs
/
M. Diouf
54'
I. Mbaye
/
P. Gueye
⚽E. Haaland
· ast. P. Berg
58'
63'
M. Diaw
/
E. Mendy
63'
P. Ciss
/
L. Camara
A. Nusa
/ A. Schjelderup
71'
72'
P. M. Sarr
/
K. Koulibaly
T. Heggem
/ L. Ostigard
84'
A. Sorloth
/ O. Bobb
84'
90'+3
ast. N. Jackson ·
I. Sarr⚽
Pre-match prediction
53.77%
Norway ←
25.3%
X
20.94%
Senegal
we assigned to the actual result (Norway)
53.77%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
2.10
-0.3
0.85
1.70
+0.85
Norway dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.70).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ø. Nyland
G
Ø. Nyland
G
5
D. Møller Wolfe
D
D. Møller Wolfe
D
17
T. Heggem
84'
D
T. Heggem
84'
D
3
K. Ajer
D
K. Ajer
D
26
J. Ryerson
13'
D
J. Ryerson
13'
D
14
F. Aursnes
45'
M
F. Aursnes
45'
M
8
S. Berge
M
S. Berge
M
10
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
M
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
M
20
A. Nusa
71'
F
A. Nusa
71'
F
9
E. Haaland
2 ⚽
F
E. Haaland
2 ⚽
F
7
A. Sørloth
84'
F
A. Sørloth
84'
F
Bench
21
A. Schjelderup
19'
F
A. Schjelderup
19'
F
13
E. Selvik
G
E. Selvik
G
15
F. Bjørkan
D
F. Bjørkan
D
25
H. Falchener
D
H. Falchener
D
23
J. Hauge
M
J. Hauge
M
11
J. Strand Larsen
F
J. Strand Larsen
F
18
K. Thorstvedt
M
K. Thorstvedt
M
4
L. Østigård
17'
D
L. Østigård
17'
D
16
M. Pedersen
1 ⚽
77'
D
M. Pedersen
1 ⚽
77'
D
2
M. Thorsby
M
M. Thorsby
M
22
Oscar Bobb
17'
M
Oscar Bobb
17'
M
6
P. Berg
1 👟
45'
M
P. Berg
1 👟
45'
M
24
S. Langås
D
S. Langås
D
12
S. Tangvik
G
S. Tangvik
G
19
T. Aasgaard
M
T. Aasgaard
M
16
É. Mendy
63'
G
É. Mendy
63'
G
25
E. Diouf
54'
D
E. Diouf
54'
D
19
M. Niakhaté
D
M. Niakhaté
D
3
K. Koulibaly
72'
D
K. Koulibaly
72'
D
15
Krépin Diatta
D
Krépin Diatta
D
26
P. Gueye
54'
M
P. Gueye
54'
M
5
I. Gueye
M
I. Gueye
M
10
S. Mané
1 👟
M
S. Mané
1 👟
M
8
L. Camara
63'
M
L. Camara
63'
M
18
I. Sarr
2 ⚽
M
I. Sarr
2 ⚽
M
11
N. Jackson
1 👟
F
N. Jackson
1 👟
F
Bench
24
A. Mendy
D
A. Mendy
D
4
A. Seck
D
A. Seck
D
7
Assane Diao
F
Assane Diao
F
22
Bara Ndiaye
M
Bara Ndiaye
M
9
B. Dieng
F
B. Dieng
F
12
C. Ndiaye
F
C. Ndiaye
F
21
H. Diarra
M
H. Diarra
M
20
I. Mbaye
36'
F
I. Mbaye
36'
F
13
I. Ndiaye
F
I. Ndiaye
F
14
Ismail Jakobs
36'
D
Ismail Jakobs
36'
D
23
M. Diaw
27'
G
M. Diaw
27'
G
2
M. Sarr
D
M. Sarr
D
6
P. Ciss
27'
M
P. Ciss
27'
M
17
P. Sarr
18'
M
P. Sarr
18'
M
1
Y. Diouf
G
Y. Diouf
G
Best on the pitch
E. Haaland
F · Norway
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
I. Sarr
M · Senegal
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 15 pass
M. Niakhaté
D · Senegal
7.90
· 68 pass
M. Pedersen
D · Norway
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
I. Gueye
M · Senegal
7.30
1 shots
· 70 pass
P. Ciss
M · Senegal
7.30
· 22 pass
Norway — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ø. Nyland | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 20% | — | — | — |
| D. Møller Wolfe | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Berge | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Nusa | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 4 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Østigård | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | D | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Berg | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
Senegal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| É. Mendy | G | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Diouf | D | 54 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Niakhaté | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Koulibaly | D | 72 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Krépin Diatta | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Gueye | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mané | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Camara | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | M | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Jackson | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| I. Mbaye | F | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Ismail Jakobs | D | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Diaw | G | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| P. Ciss | M | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sarr | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norway vs Senegal?
The final score was Norway 3–2 Senegal.
What did the model predict before Norway vs Senegal?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Norway win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Senegal win.