World Cup
· Group Stage - 2
June 23, 2026 02:00
M. Pedersen
43'
E. Haaland
(ast. M. Odegaard)
48'
E. Haaland
(ast. P. Berg)
58'
53'
(ast. S. Mane)
I. Sarr
90'+3
(ast. N. Jackson)
I. Sarr
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norway a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Senegal 20%). The final result was Norway 3–2 Senegal.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
4
2.10
Actual xG
1.70
2
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
15
Match Events
J. Ryerson
/ M. Pedersen
13'
⚽M. Pedersen
43'
F. Aursnes
/ P. Berg
46'
⚽E. Haaland
· ast. M. Odegaard
48'
53'
ast. S. Mane ·
I. Sarr⚽
54'
I. Jakobs
/
M. Diouf
54'
I. Mbaye
/
P. Gueye
⚽E. Haaland
· ast. P. Berg
58'
63'
M. Diaw
/
E. Mendy
63'
P. Ciss
/
L. Camara
A. Nusa
/ A. Schjelderup
71'
72'
P. M. Sarr
/
K. Koulibaly
T. Heggem
/ L. Ostigard
84'
A. Sorloth
/ O. Bobb
84'
90'+3
ast. N. Jackson ·
I. Sarr⚽
Pre-match prediction
53.77%
Norway ←
25.3%
X
20.94%
Senegal
we assigned to the actual result (Norway)
53.77%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
2.10
-0.3
0.85
1.70
+0.85
Norway dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.70).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ørjan Nyland
G
Ørjan Nyland
G
5
David Møller Wolfe
D
David Møller Wolfe
D
17
Torbjørn Heggem
84'
D
Torbjørn Heggem
84'
D
3
Kristoffer Ajer
D
Kristoffer Ajer
D
26
J. Ryerson
13'
D
J. Ryerson
13'
D
14
Fredrik Aursnes
45'
M
Fredrik Aursnes
45'
M
8
Sander Berge
M
Sander Berge
M
10
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
M
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
M
20
Antonio Nusa
71'
F
Antonio Nusa
71'
F
9
E. Haaland
2 ⚽
F
E. Haaland
2 ⚽
F
7
Alexander Sørloth
84'
F
Alexander Sørloth
84'
F
Bench
21
Andreas Schjelderup
19'
F
Andreas Schjelderup
19'
F
13
Egil Selvik
G
Egil Selvik
G
15
Fredrik André Bjørkan
D
Fredrik André Bjørkan
D
25
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
D
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
D
23
Jens Petter Hauge
M
Jens Petter Hauge
M
11
J. Strand Larsen
F
J. Strand Larsen
F
18
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
4
Leo Østigård
17'
D
Leo Østigård
17'
D
16
Marcus Pedersen
1 ⚽
77'
D
Marcus Pedersen
1 ⚽
77'
D
2
Morten Thorsby
M
Morten Thorsby
M
22
Oscar Bobb
17'
M
Oscar Bobb
17'
M
6
P. Berg
1 👟
45'
M
P. Berg
1 👟
45'
M
12
Sander Tangvik
G
Sander Tangvik
G
24
Sondre Langås
D
Sondre Langås
D
19
Thelo Aasgaard
M
Thelo Aasgaard
M
16
É. Mendy
63'
G
É. Mendy
63'
G
25
El Hadji Malick Diouf
54'
D
El Hadji Malick Diouf
54'
D
19
Moussa Niakhaté
D
Moussa Niakhaté
D
3
Kalidou Koulibaly
72'
D
Kalidou Koulibaly
72'
D
15
Krépin Diatta
D
Krépin Diatta
D
26
P. Gueye
54'
M
P. Gueye
54'
M
5
Idrissa Gana Gueye
M
Idrissa Gana Gueye
M
10
Sadio Mané
1 👟
M
Sadio Mané
1 👟
M
8
Lamine Camara
63'
M
Lamine Camara
63'
M
18
I. Sarr
2 ⚽
M
I. Sarr
2 ⚽
M
11
N. Jackson
1 👟
F
N. Jackson
1 👟
F
Bench
4
Abdoulaye Seck
D
Abdoulaye Seck
D
24
Antoine Mendy
D
Antoine Mendy
D
7
Assane Diao
F
Assane Diao
F
22
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
M
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye
M
9
B. Dieng
F
B. Dieng
F
12
C. Ndiaye
F
C. Ndiaye
F
21
Habib Diarra
M
Habib Diarra
M
20
Ibrahim Mbaye
36'
F
Ibrahim Mbaye
36'
F
13
I. Ndiaye
F
I. Ndiaye
F
14
Ismail Jakobs
36'
D
Ismail Jakobs
36'
D
2
Mamadou Sarr
D
Mamadou Sarr
D
23
Mory Diaw
27'
G
Mory Diaw
27'
G
17
Pape Matar Sarr
18'
M
Pape Matar Sarr
18'
M
6
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
27'
M
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
27'
M
1
Yehvann Diouf
G
Yehvann Diouf
G
Best on the pitch
E. Haaland
F · Norway
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
I. Sarr
M · Senegal
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 15 pass
Moussa Niakhaté
D · Senegal
7.90
· 68 pass
Marcus Pedersen
D · Norway
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Idrissa Gana Gueye
M · Senegal
7.30
1 shots
· 70 pass
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
M · Senegal
7.30
· 22 pass
Norway — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ørjan Nyland | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 20% | — | — | — |
| David Møller Wolfe | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Torbjørn Heggem | D | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Kristoffer Ajer | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Fredrik Aursnes | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Sander Berge | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Nusa | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 4 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Sørloth | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Andreas Schjelderup | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Leo Østigård | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Pedersen | D | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Berg | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
Senegal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| É. Mendy | G | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | D | 54 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Moussa Niakhaté | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Kalidou Koulibaly | D | 72 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Krépin Diatta | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Idrissa Gana Gueye | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Sadio Mané | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Lamine Camara | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | M | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Jackson | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | F | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Ismail Jakobs | D | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Mory Diaw | G | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pape Matar Sarr | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | M | 27 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norway vs Senegal?
The final score was Norway 3–2 Senegal.
What did the model predict before Norway vs Senegal?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Norway win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Senegal win.