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World Cup · Group Stage - 2 June 23, 2026 02:00
Norway
#2 · 6 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Senegal
#3 · 3 pts
M. Pedersen 43'
E. Haaland (ast. M. Odegaard) 48'
E. Haaland (ast. P. Berg) 58'
53' (ast. S. Mane) I. Sarr
90'+3 (ast. N. Jackson) I. Sarr
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norway a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Senegal 20%). The final result was Norway 3–2 Senegal.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
4
2.10
Actual xG
1.70
2
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
15
Match Events
↕ J. Ryerson / M. Pedersen
13'
⚽M. Pedersen
43'
↕ F. Aursnes / P. Berg
46'
⚽E. Haaland · ast. M. Odegaard
48'
53'
ast. S. Mane · I. Sarr⚽
54'
I. Jakobs / M. Diouf ↕
54'
I. Mbaye / P. Gueye ↕
⚽E. Haaland · ast. P. Berg
58'
63'
M. Diaw / E. Mendy ↕
63'
P. Ciss / L. Camara ↕
↕ A. Nusa / A. Schjelderup
71'
72'
P. M. Sarr / K. Koulibaly ↕
↕ T. Heggem / L. Ostigard
84'
↕ A. Sorloth / O. Bobb
84'
90'+3
ast. N. Jackson · I. Sarr⚽
Pre-match prediction
53.77%
Norway ←
25.3%
X
20.94%
Senegal
we assigned to the actual result (Norway) 53.77% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norway
2.40
2.10
-0.3
Senegal
0.85
1.70
+0.85
Norway dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.70). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 France France 3 9
2 Norway Norway 3 6
3 Senegal Senegal 3 3
4 Iraq Iraq 3 0
Lineups
Norway Norway 4-3-3
1 Ørjan Nyland Ørjan Nyland G 6.60
5 David Møller Wolfe David Møller Wolfe D 6.70
17 T. Heggem T. Heggem 84' D 7.00
3 Kristoffer Ajer Kristoffer Ajer D 6.70
26 J. Ryerson J. Ryerson 13' D 6.90
14 Fredrik Aursnes Fredrik Aursnes 45' M 6.70
8 Sander Berge Sander Berge M 6.70
10 M. Ødegaard M. Ødegaard 1 👟 M 7.20
20 A. Nusa A. Nusa 71' F 6.60
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland 2 ⚽ F 8.70
7 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 84' F 6.70
Bench
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup 19' F 6.90
13 Egil Selvik Egil Selvik G
15 Fredrik André Bjørkan Fredrik André Bjørkan D
25 Henrik Sælebakke Falchener Henrik Sælebakke Falchener D
23 Jens Petter Hauge Jens Petter Hauge M
11 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen F
18 Kristian Thorstvedt Kristian Thorstvedt M
4 Leo Østigård Leo Østigård 17' D 6.30
16 Marcus Pedersen Marcus Pedersen 1 ⚽ 77' D 7.50
2 Morten Thorsby Morten Thorsby M
22 Oscar Bobb Oscar Bobb 17' M 6.30
6 Patrick Berg Patrick Berg 1 👟 45' M 7.20
12 Sander Tangvik Sander Tangvik G
24 Sondre Langås Sondre Langås D
19 T. Aasgaard T. Aasgaard M
Senegal Senegal 4-2-3-1
16 É. Mendy É. Mendy 63' G 6.00
25 El Hadji Malick Diouf El Hadji Malick Diouf 54' D 6.00
19 Moussa Niakhaté Moussa Niakhaté D 7.90
3 K. Koulibaly K. Koulibaly 72' D 5.20
15 Krépin Diatta Krépin Diatta D 6.30
26 P. Gueye P. Gueye 54' M 6.50
5 Idrissa Gana Gueye Idrissa Gana Gueye M 7.30
10 S. Mané S. Mané 1 👟 M 7.00
8 L. Camara L. Camara 63' M 6.20
18 I. Sarr I. Sarr 2 ⚽ M 8.20
11 N. Jackson N. Jackson 1 👟 F 6.90
Bench
4 Abdoulaye Seck Abdoulaye Seck D
24 Antoine Mendy Antoine Mendy D
7 Assane Diao Assane Diao F
22 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye Bara Sapoko Ndiaye M
9 B. Dieng B. Dieng F
12 C. Ndiaye C. Ndiaye F
21 H. Diarra H. Diarra M
20 Ibrahim Mbaye Ibrahim Mbaye 36' F 7.20
13 I. Ndiaye I. Ndiaye F
14 Ismail Jakobs Ismail Jakobs 36' D 6.70
2 Mamadou Sarr Mamadou Sarr D
23 Mory Diaw Mory Diaw 27' G 6.90
17 Pape Matar Sarr Pape Matar Sarr 18' M 6.30
6 P. Ciss P. Ciss 27' M 7.30
1 Yehvann Diouf Yehvann Diouf G
Best on the pitch
E. Haaland
E. Haaland
F · Norway
8.70
2 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
I. Sarr
I. Sarr
M · Senegal
8.20
2 ⚽
4 shots · 15 pass
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté
D · Senegal
7.90
· 68 pass
Marcus Pedersen
Marcus Pedersen
D · Norway
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
Idrissa Gana Gueye
Idrissa Gana Gueye
M · Senegal
7.30
1 shots · 70 pass
P. Ciss
P. Ciss
M · Senegal
7.30
· 22 pass
Norway Norway — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ørjan Nyland G 90 6.60 — — — 40 20% — — —
David Møller Wolfe D 90 6.70 — — — 22 17% 1 — —
T. Heggem D 84 7.00 — — — 41 38% 2 — —
Kristoffer Ajer D 90 6.70 — — 1 33 29% 3 — —
J. Ryerson D 13 6.90 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Fredrik Aursnes M 45 6.70 — — — 16 16% 1 — —
Sander Berge M 90 6.70 — — — 45 40% 1 — —
M. Ødegaard M 90 7.20 — 1 2 45 38% 1 — —
A. Nusa F 71 6.60 — — 1 10 6% — — —
E. Haaland F 90 8.70 2 — 4 11 6% — — —
A. Sørloth F 84 6.70 — — — 32 23% 1 — —
A. Schjelderup F 19 6.90 — — — 8 6% — — —
Leo Østigård D 17 6.30 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Marcus Pedersen D 77 7.50 1 — 1 26 23% — — —
Oscar Bobb M 17 6.30 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Patrick Berg M 45 7.20 — 1 — 13 13% — — —
Senegal Senegal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
É. Mendy G 63 6.00 — — — 16 12% — — —
El Hadji Malick Diouf D 54 6.00 — — — 20 20% 1 — —
Moussa Niakhaté D 90 7.90 — — — 68 60% 2 — —
K. Koulibaly D 72 5.20 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
Krépin Diatta D 90 6.30 — — — 61 56% 1 — —
P. Gueye M 54 6.50 — — — 30 28% 1 — —
Idrissa Gana Gueye M 90 7.30 — — 1 70 63% 1 — —
S. Mané M 90 7.00 — 1 — 34 29% 3 — —
L. Camara M 63 6.20 — — 2 34 29% 1 — —
I. Sarr M 90 8.20 2 — 4 15 12% 1 — —
N. Jackson F 90 6.90 — 1 2 19 16% — — —
Ibrahim Mbaye F 36 7.20 — — — 16 14% — — —
Ismail Jakobs D 36 6.70 — — — 11 10% 2 — —
Mory Diaw G 27 6.90 — — — 13 10% — — —
Pape Matar Sarr M 18 6.30 — — 1 21 18% — — —
P. Ciss M 27 7.30 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norway vs Senegal?
The final score was Norway 3–2 Senegal.
What did the model predict before Norway vs Senegal?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Norway win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Senegal win.