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Championship · Regular Season - 6 September 09, 2026 20:45
Norwich
#17 · 9 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Birmingham
#10 · 11 pts
Oscar Schwartau (ast. Mathias Kvistgaarden) 28'
Papa Amadou Diallo (ast. Andre Brooks) 39'
64' (ast. Liam Millar) Carlos Vicente
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Birmingham 28%). The final result was Norwich 2–1 Birmingham. In 2 previous meetings, Norwich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Birmingham.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
7
16
Tackles
21
6
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Benjamin Chrisene
13'
Jose Cordoba
25'
⚽Oscar Schwartau · ast. Mathias Kvistgaarden
28'
⚽Papa Amadou Diallo · ast. Andre Brooks
39'
↕ Papa Amadou Diallo / Anthony Musaba
45'
Jack Stacey
59'
Oscar Schwartau
60'
60'
Carlos Vicente
62'
Alex Cochrane / Kristoffer Lund ↕
62'
Ethan Laird / Bright Osayi-Samuel ↕
64'
ast. Liam Millar · Carlos Vicente⚽
↕ Andre Brooks / Ante Crnac
65'
↕ Oscar Schwartau / Jacob Wright
71'
↕ Mathias Kvistgaarden / J. Makama
71'
82'
Marvin Ducksch / August Priske ↕
82'
Luis Vasquez / Tomoki Iwata ↕
83'
Phil Neumann
J. Makama
83'
↕ Benjamin Chrisene / Harry Darling
90'+1
Ante Crnac
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
42.06%
Norwich ←
29.76%
X
28.18%
Birmingham
we assigned to the actual result (Norwich) 42.06% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norwich
2.05
—
—
Birmingham
1.20
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovačević V. Kovačević G 6.63
14 B. Chrisene B. Chrisene 89' D 6.40
33 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba D 5.96
15 Ruairi McConville Ruairi McConville D 6.53
3 J. Stacey J. Stacey D 6.02
7 P. Mattsson P. Mattsson M 6.73
23 K. McLean K. McLean M 6.45
29 O. Schwartau O. Schwartau 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.45
19 P. Diallo P. Diallo 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.71
11 A. Brooks A. Brooks 1 👟 65' M 7.00
30 M. Kvistgaarden M. Kvistgaarden 1 👟 71' F 6.71
Bench
17 A. Crnac A. Crnac 25' F 6.25
49 A. Musaba A. Musaba 45' F 6.85
13
Darlin Yongwa D 0.00
32 D. Grimshaw D. Grimshaw G 0.00
6 H. Darling H. Darling 1' D 0.00
16 Jacob Wright Jacob Wright 19' M 6.10
24 J. Makama J. Makama 19' F 6.28
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher D 0.00
25 P. Maghoma P. Maghoma M 0.00
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
1 J. Beadle J. Beadle G 6.58
25 K. Lund K. Lund 62' D 5.77
4 C. Klarer C. Klarer D 6.44
5 P. Neumann P. Neumann D 5.73
26 B. Osayi-Samuel B. Osayi-Samuel 62' D 5.74
8 Seung Ho Paik Seung Ho Paik M 5.82
24 T. Iwata T. Iwata 82' M 5.24
17 L. Millar L. Millar 1 👟 M 7.20
28 J. Stansfield J. Stansfield M 6.49
7 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente 1 ⚽ M 7.17
9 A. Priske A. Priske 82' F 6.27
Bench
20 A. Cochrane A. Cochrane 28' D 6.01
30 Bradley Mayo Bradley Mayo G 0.00
23 D. Fry D. Fry D 0.00
2 E. Laird E. Laird 28' D 6.38
27 K. Fujimoto K. Fujimoto M 0.00
3 L. Buchanan L. Buchanan D 0.00
32 L. Vázquez L. Vázquez 8' F 6.25
33 M. Ducksch M. Ducksch 8' F 6.28
21 R. Allsop R. Allsop G 0.00
Best on the pitch
P. Diallo
P. Diallo
M · Norwich
7.71
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
O. Schwartau
O. Schwartau
M · Norwich
7.45
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
L. Millar
L. Millar
M · Birmingham
7.20
1 👟
3 shots · 33 pass
Carlos Vicente
Carlos Vicente
M · Birmingham
7.17
1 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
A. Brooks
A. Brooks
M · Norwich
7.00
1 👟
1 shots · 15 pass
A. Musaba
A. Musaba
F · Norwich
6.85
1 shots · 8 pass
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovačević G 90 6.63 — — 0 23 15% 0 — —
B. Chrisene D 89 6.40 — — 0 39 31% 3 1 —
J. Córdoba D 90 5.96 — — 0 47 29% 0 1 —
Ruairi McConville D 90 6.53 — — 1 21 16% 0 — —
J. Stacey D 90 6.02 — — 0 25 15% 5 1 —
P. Mattsson M 90 6.73 — — 4 43 32% 1 — —
K. McLean M 90 6.45 — — 1 56 41% 0 — —
O. Schwartau M 71 7.45 1 — 2 19 15% 2 1 —
P. Diallo M 45 7.71 1 — 1 13 9% 0 — —
A. Brooks M 65 7.00 — 1 1 15 8% 0 — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 71 6.71 — 1 0 21 14% 2 — —
A. Crnac F 25 6.25 — — 1 4 3% 0 1 —
A. Musaba F 45 6.85 — — 1 8 7% 2 — —
H. Darling D 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Jacob Wright M 19 6.10 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
J. Makama F 19 6.28 — — 2 4 3% 0 1 —
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Beadle G 90 6.58 — — 0 34 13% 0 — —
K. Lund D 62 5.77 — — 0 20 13% 1 — —
C. Klarer D 90 6.44 — — 0 37 28% 0 — —
P. Neumann D 90 5.73 — — 0 40 32% 2 1 —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 62 5.74 — — 0 23 16% 3 — —
Seung Ho Paik M 90 5.82 — — 1 33 22% 3 — —
T. Iwata M 82 5.24 — — 1 40 23% 1 — —
L. Millar M 90 7.20 — 1 3 33 24% 3 — —
J. Stansfield M 90 6.49 — — 2 30 22% 2 — —
Carlos Vicente M 90 7.17 1 — 4 16 13% 3 1 —
A. Priske F 82 6.27 — — 3 9 5% 0 — —
A. Cochrane D 28 6.01 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
E. Laird D 28 6.38 — — 0 3 1% 1 — —
L. Vázquez F 8 6.25 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Ducksch F 8 6.28 — — 0 4 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Birmingham?
The final score was Norwich 2–1 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Norwich win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Birmingham win.