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Championship · Regular Season - 8 September 20, 2026 14:30 Carrow Road, Norwich
Norwich
#20 · 12 pts
3 – 4
Final score
Bolton
#18 · 14 pts
Mohamed Toure (ast. Andre Brooks) 5'
Ruairi McConville (ast. Oscar Schwartau) 19'
Jack Stacey (ast. Paris Maghoma) 61'
8' (ast. Ruben Rodrigues) Thierry Gale
42' (ast. Max Conway) Gaizka Larrazabal
47' (ast. Kyliane Dong) Sam Dalby
72' (ast. Samuel Iling) Atsuki Ito
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Bolton 24%). The final result was Norwich 3–4 Bolton.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
1
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
2
12
Tackles
13
Match Events
⚽Mohamed Toure · ast. Andre Brooks
5'
8'
ast. Ruben Rodrigues · Thierry Gale⚽
↕ Mohamed Toure / J. Makama
15'
⚽Ruairi McConville · ast. Oscar Schwartau
19'
42'
ast. Max Conway · Gaizka Larrazabal⚽
47'
ast. Kyliane Dong · Sam Dalby⚽
↕ Oscar Schwartau / Jacob Wright
59'
↕ Anthony Musaba / Paris Maghoma
59'
⚽Jack Stacey · ast. Paris Maghoma
61'
70'
Samuel Iling / Kyliane Dong ↕
70'
Atsuki Ito / Ruben Rodrigues ↕
72'
ast. Samuel Iling · Atsuki Ito⚽
↕ Andre Brooks / Ante Crnac
82'
83'
Xavier Simons / Gaizka Larrazabal ↕
90'+2
Thelonius Bair / Sam Dalby ↕
Pre-match prediction
48.82%
Norwich
26.68%
X
24.5%
Bolton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 24.5% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norwich
2.23
—
—
Bolton
1.21
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovačević V. Kovačević G 5.93
14 B. Chrisene B. Chrisene D 5.67
33 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba D 6.02
15 Ruairi McConville Ruairi McConville 1 ⚽ D 7.13
3 J. Stacey J. Stacey 1 ⚽ D 6.53
7 P. Mattsson P. Mattsson M 6.62
23 K. McLean K. McLean M 6.11
29 O. Schwartau O. Schwartau 1 👟 59' M 6.72
49 A. Musaba A. Musaba 59' M 5.81
11 A. Brooks A. Brooks 1 👟 82' M 6.29
21 M. Touré M. Touré 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.55
Bench
17 A. Crnac A. Crnac 8' F 6.26
32 D. Grimshaw D. Grimshaw G 0.00
13 D. Yongwa D. Yongwa D 0.00
6 H. Darling H. Darling D 0.00
16 Jacob Wright Jacob Wright 31' M 5.93
24 J. Makama J. Makama 75' F 6.25
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher D 0.00
25 P. Maghoma P. Maghoma 1 👟 31' M 6.18
26 S. Field S. Field M 0.00
Bolton Bolton 4-2-3-1
31 G. Bazunu G. Bazunu G 5.92
25 M. Conway M. Conway 1 👟 D 6.33
6 B. Davies B. Davies D 6.45
18 E. Toal E. Toal D 6.29
22 Gaizka Larrazabal Gaizka Larrazabal 1 ⚽ 83' D 6.93
21 E. Erhahon E. Erhahon M 6.20
8 J. Sheehan J. Sheehan M 6.39
11 T. Gale T. Gale 1 ⚽ M 7.26
20 Ruben Rodrigues Ruben Rodrigues 1 👟 70' M 6.20
7 K. Dong K. Dong 1 👟 70' M 6.48
10 S. Dalby S. Dalby 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.94
Bench
14 A. Famewo A. Famewo D 0.00
17 A. Ito A. Ito 1 ⚽ 20' M 6.91
12 D. Watson D. Watson M 0.00
1 J. Bonham J. Bonham G 0.00
45 J. McAtee J. McAtee F 0.00
26 J. Nelson J. Nelson F 0.00
16 S. Iling-Junior S. Iling-Junior 1 👟 20' F 6.63
9 T. Bair T. Bair 1' F 0.00
4 X. Simons X. Simons 7' M 5.82
Best on the pitch
S. Dalby
S. Dalby
F · Bolton
7.94
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
M. Touré
M. Touré
F · Norwich
7.55
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
T. Gale
T. Gale
M · Bolton
7.26
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Ruairi McConville
Ruairi McConville
D · Norwich
7.13
1 ⚽
1 shots · 76 pass
Gaizka Larrazabal
Gaizka Larrazabal
D · Bolton
6.93
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
A. Ito
A. Ito
M · Bolton
6.91
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovačević G 90 5.93 — — 0 30 27% 0 — —
B. Chrisene D 90 5.67 — — 1 47 37% 2 — —
J. Córdoba D 90 6.02 — — 0 65 50% 2 — —
Ruairi McConville D 90 7.13 1 — 1 76 67% 0 — —
J. Stacey D 90 6.53 1 — 1 27 20% 1 — —
P. Mattsson M 90 6.62 — — 0 53 46% 2 — —
K. McLean M 90 6.11 — — 0 52 40% 5 — —
O. Schwartau M 59 6.72 — 1 1 16 14% 0 — —
A. Musaba M 59 5.81 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
A. Brooks M 82 6.29 — 1 2 28 21% 0 — —
M. Touré F 15 7.55 1 — 1 4 3% 0 — —
A. Crnac F 8 6.26 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
Jacob Wright M 31 5.93 — — 1 18 16% 0 — —
J. Makama F 75 6.25 — — 0 15 8% 0 — —
P. Maghoma M 31 6.18 — 1 2 14 11% 0 — —
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Bazunu G 90 5.92 — — 0 51 32% 0 — —
M. Conway D 90 6.33 — 1 0 31 24% 2 — —
B. Davies D 90 6.45 — — 0 39 36% 2 — —
E. Toal D 90 6.29 — — 0 41 34% 1 — —
Gaizka Larrazabal D 83 6.93 1 — 2 31 23% 0 — —
E. Erhahon M 90 6.20 — — 0 28 24% 2 — —
J. Sheehan M 90 6.39 — — 0 37 28% 0 — —
T. Gale M 90 7.26 1 — 1 9 8% 2 — —
Ruben Rodrigues M 70 6.20 — 1 2 15 11% 3 — —
K. Dong M 70 6.48 — 1 1 14 13% 0 — —
S. Dalby F 89 7.94 1 — 1 21 13% 0 — —
A. Ito M 20 6.91 1 — 1 2 1% 0 — —
S. Iling-Junior F 20 6.63 — 1 0 6 4% 0 — —
T. Bair F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
X. Simons M 7 5.82 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Bolton?
The final score was Norwich 3–4 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Bolton?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Norwich win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Bolton win.