Championship
· Regular Season - 42
April 11, 2026 13:30
(pen.)
11'
J. Philogene
45'+1
(ast. J. Greaves)
G. Hirst
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 40% win probability (draw 26%, Ipswich 33%). The final result was Norwich 0–2 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Norwich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ipswich.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
0.28
Actual xG
1.97
3
Saves
3
66%
Possession
34%
12
Corners
1
10
Tackles
7
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
11'
(pen.)
J. Philogene⚽
13'
A. Mehmeti
19'
J. Greaves
M. Kvistgaarden
21'
26'
G. Hirst
J. Stacey
32'
45'+1
ast. J. Greaves ·
G. Hirst⚽
S. Field
/ O. Schwartau
46'
M. Kvistgaarden
/ M. Toure
46'
K. McLean
60'
61'
I. Azon
/
G. Hirst
61'
M. Nunez
/
A. Mehmeti
A. Slimane
/ P. Maghoma
63'
69'
M. Nunez
H. Darling
69'
71'
J. Clarke
/
J. Philogene
74'
L. Davis
J. Stacey
/ B. Chrisene
74'
J. Cordoba
76'
84'
D. Neil
/
M. Nunez
85'
C. Kipre
/
L. Davis
Pre-match prediction
40.08%
Norwich
26.57%
X
33.34%
Ipswich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ipswich)
33.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.28
-1.16
1.33
1.97
+0.64
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
V. Kovacevic
86'
G
35
K. Fisher
86'
D
K. Fisher
86'
D
33
J. Cordoba
86'
D
6
H. Darling
86'
D
3
J. Stacey
74'
D
26
S. Field
45'
M
7
Pelle Mattsson
86'
M
21
A. Ahmed
86'
M
20
A. Slimane
63'
M
23
K. McLean
86'
M
30
M. Kvistgaarden
45'
F
Bench
18
A. Forson
M
16
Jacob Wright
M
8
L. Gibbs
M
37
M. Toure
41'
F
29
O. Schwartau
41'
F
25
P. Maghoma
23'
M
28
86'
G
3
L. Davis
85'
D
24
J. Greaves
1 👟
86'
D
26
86'
D
19
D. Furlong
86'
D
D. Furlong
86'
D
14
J. Taylor
86'
M
5
A. Matusiwa
86'
M
11
J. Philogene
1 ⚽
71'
M
J. Philogene
1 ⚽
71'
M
33
A. Mehmeti
61'
M
18
B. Johnson
86'
M
9
G. Hirst
1 ⚽
61'
F
G. Hirst
1 ⚽
61'
F
Bench
4
C. Kipre
1'
D
6
D. Neil
2'
M
31
I. Azon
25'
F
47
J. Clarke
15'
F
J. Clarke
15'
F
20
K. McAteer
M
32
M. Núñez
23'
M
M. Núñez
23'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Davis
D · Ipswich
7.70
· 22 pass
G. Hirst
F · Ipswich
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
J. Philogene
M · Ipswich
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
J. Taylor
M · Ipswich
7.30
· 20 pass
D · Ipswich
7.20
· 26 pass
V. Kovacevic
G · Norwich
7.20
· 16 pass
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kovacevic | G | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| J. Cordoba | D | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Darling | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Stacey | D | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Field | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Pelle Mattsson | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Ahmed | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Slimane | M | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| K. McLean | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Toure | F | 41 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| O. Schwartau | F | 41 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Maghoma | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| L. Davis | D | 85 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Greaves | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Furlong | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Taylor | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Matusiwa | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Philogene | M | 71 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Johnson | M | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Hirst | F | 61 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Kipre | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Neil | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| I. Azon | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Ipswich?
The final score was Norwich 0–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Norwich win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an Ipswich win.