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Norwich - Milton Keynes Dons

EFL Cup August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.55%
Win
Norwich
33.05%
Draw
29.4%
Win
Milton Keynes Dons
1.1
Expected xG
0.59

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.22%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 33%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 63%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Norwich a 37% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Milton Keynes Dons. Expected goals are 1.1 for Norwich and 0.6 for Milton Keynes Dons (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.22% probability.

Season Stats

Norwich
1W 0D 1L
Milton Keynes Dons
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
2.0
Conceded
2.0
5.0
Shots OT
0.0
4.0
Corners
3.0
53%
Poss.
35%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 2 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Norwich Milton Keynes Dons →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.4% 10.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 20.2% 12.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 11.1% 6.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

L Southampton 0–3
W Watford 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
L Bristol City 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Norwich Norwich
Attack
39
Defence
83
Form
64
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
Attack
32
Defence
73
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Norwich vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The model gives Norwich a 37% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 29% for an Milton Keynes Dons win.
How many goals are expected in Norwich vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Expected goals: Norwich 1.1, Milton Keynes Dons 0.6 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Norwich vs Milton Keynes Dons?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.22%.