Championship
· Regular Season - 40
April 03, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Norwich, result Draw
P. Mattsson
26'
(og)
84'
P. Mattsson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Portsmouth 18%). The final result was Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Norwich have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
1
0.44
Actual xG
0.50
1
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
6
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
5'
Marlon Pack
16'
Connor Ogilvie
⚽P. Mattsson
26'
30'
Gustavo Caballero
Liam Gibbs
46'
Jacob Wright
48'
L. Gibbs
/ J. Stacey
62'
M. Kvistgaarden
/ M. Toure
63'
O. Schwartau
/ A. Ahmed
63'
65'
K. Anderson
/
M. Alli
65'
A. Dozzell
/
M. Pack
Pelle Mattsson
67'
J. Wright
/ A. Slimane
73'
78'
H. Blair
/
G. Caballero
78'
J. Brown
/
C. Chaplin
J. Medic
/ J. Cordoba
83'
84'
(og)
P. Mattsson⚽
86'
C. Shaughnessy
/
M. Dia
87'
Colby Bishop
90'+4
Jacob Brown
Pre-match prediction
57.8%
Norwich
23.98%
X ←
18.21%
Portsmouth
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
0.44
-1.36
0.89
0.50
-0.39
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Vladan Kovačević
G
Vladan Kovačević
G
35
K. Fisher
D
K. Fisher
D
5
J. Medic
83'
D
6
Harry Darling
D
Harry Darling
D
8
L. Gibbs
62'
D
7
Pelle Mattsson
2 ⚽
M
Pelle Mattsson
2 ⚽
M
23
Kenny McLean
M
Kenny McLean
M
29
Oscar Schwartau
63'
M
Oscar Schwartau
63'
M
16
Jacob Wright
73'
M
Jacob Wright
73'
M
25
Paris Maghoma
M
Paris Maghoma
M
30
Mathias Kvistgaarden
63'
F
Mathias Kvistgaarden
63'
F
Bench
18
A. Forson
M
21
Ali Ahmed
27'
D
Ali Ahmed
27'
D
20
Anis Ben Slimane
17'
M
Anis Ben Slimane
17'
M
3
Jack Stacey
28'
D
Jack Stacey
28'
D
33
José Córdoba
12'
D
José Córdoba
12'
D
37
M. Touré
27'
F
M. Touré
27'
F
26
Sam Field
M
Sam Field
M
1
G
3
C. Ogilvie
D
C. Ogilvie
D
55
Madiodio Dia
86'
D
Madiodio Dia
86'
D
5
Regan Poole
D
Regan Poole
D
24
Terry Devlin
D
Terry Devlin
D
16
Luke Le Roux
M
Luke Le Roux
M
7
M. Pack
65'
M
M. Pack
65'
M
27
Millenic Alli
65'
M
Millenic Alli
65'
M
36
C. Chaplin
78'
M
47
Gustavo Caballero
78'
M
Gustavo Caballero
78'
M
9
Colby Bishop
F
Colby Bishop
F
Bench
10
Adrian Segečić
M
Adrian Segečić
M
21
Andre Dozzell
25'
M
Andre Dozzell
25'
M
6
Conor Shaughnessy
9'
D
Conor Shaughnessy
9'
D
29
H. Blair
12'
F
40
Jacob Brown
12'
F
Jacob Brown
12'
F
26
J. Bursik
G
8
John Swift
M
John Swift
M
2
Jordan Lee Williams
D
Jordan Lee Williams
D
37
K. Anderson
25'
M
Best on the pitch
Kenny McLean
M · Norwich
8.00
· 59 pass
Luke Le Roux
M · Portsmouth
7.30
· 29 pass
Jacob Wright
M · Norwich
7.20
· 17 pass
Vladan Kovačević
G · Norwich
7.20
· 37 pass
J. Medic
D · Norwich
7.00
1 shots
· 37 pass
Terry Devlin
D · Portsmouth
7.00
· 20 pass
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladan Kovačević | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Medic | D | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Harry Darling | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Gibbs | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pelle Mattsson | M | 90 | 6.90 | 2 | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Kenny McLean | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Oscar Schwartau | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Wright | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paris Maghoma | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathias Kvistgaarden | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Anis Ben Slimane | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Stacey | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| José Córdoba | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Portsmouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| C. Ogilvie | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Madiodio Dia | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Regan Poole | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Terry Devlin | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Luke Le Roux | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Pack | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Millenic Alli | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Chaplin | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Caballero | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Colby Bishop | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Andre Dozzell | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Conor Shaughnessy | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Blair | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Brown | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Anderson | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Norwich win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Portsmouth win.