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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
Norwich
#9 · 65 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Portsmouth
#18 · 55 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Norwich, result Pareggio
P. Mattsson 26'
(og) 84' P. Mattsson

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Portsmouth 18%). The final result was Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Norwich have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
1
0.44
Actual xG
0.50
1
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
6
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
5'
Marlon Pack
16'
Connor Ogilvie
⚽P. Mattsson
26'
30'
Gustavo Caballero
Liam Gibbs
46'
Jacob Wright
48'
↕ L. Gibbs / J. Stacey
62'
↕ M. Kvistgaarden / M. Toure
63'
↕ O. Schwartau / A. Ahmed
63'
65'
K. Anderson / M. Alli ↕
65'
A. Dozzell / M. Pack ↕
Pelle Mattsson
67'
↕ J. Wright / A. Slimane
73'
78'
H. Blair / G. Caballero ↕
78'
J. Brown / C. Chaplin ↕
↕ J. Medic / J. Cordoba
83'
84'
(og) P. Mattsson⚽
86'
C. Shaughnessy / M. Dia ↕
87'
Colby Bishop
90'+4
Jacob Brown
Pre-match prediction
57.8%
Norwich
23.98%
X ←
18.21%
Portsmouth
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norwich
1.80
0.44
-1.36
Portsmouth
0.89
0.50
-0.39
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1
V. Kovacevic G 7.20
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher D 6.70
5
J. Medic 83' D 7.00
6
H. Darling D 6.20
8
L. Gibbs 62' D 6.90
7
Pelle Mattsson 2 ⚽ M 6.90
23
K. McLean M 8.00
29
O. Schwartau 63' M 6.20
16
Jacob Wright 73' M 7.20
25
P. Maghoma M 6.60
30
M. Kvistgaarden 63' F 6.20
Bench
21
A. Ahmed 27' D 6.50
18
A. Forson M
20
A. Slimane 17' M 6.60
33
J. Cordoba 12' D 6.30
3
J. Stacey 28' D 6.90
37
M. Toure 27' F 6.50
26
S. Field M
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
3
C. Ogilvie D 6.50
55
M. Dia 86' D 6.90
5
R. Poole D 6.60
24
T. Devlin D 7.00
16
L. Le Roux M 7.30
7 M. Pack M. Pack 65' M 6.90
27
M. Alli 65' M 6.20
36
C. Chaplin 78' M 6.90
47
G. Caballero 78' M 6.60
9
C. Bishop F 6.70
Bench
21
A. Dozzell 25' M 6.90
10
A. Segecic M
6
C. Shaughnessy 9' D 6.60
29
H. Blair 12' F 6.70
40
Jacob Brown 12' F 6.30
26
J. Bursik G
8
J. Swift M
2
J. Williams D
37
K. Anderson 25' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
K. McLean
M · Norwich
8.00
· 59 pass
L. Le Roux
M · Portsmouth
7.30
· 29 pass
Jacob Wright
M · Norwich
7.20
· 17 pass
V. Kovacevic
G · Norwich
7.20
· 37 pass
J. Medic
D · Norwich
7.00
1 shots · 37 pass
T. Devlin
D · Portsmouth
7.00
· 20 pass
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovacevic G 90 7.20 — — — 37 30% — — —
K. Fisher D 90 6.70 — — — 29 25% 1 — —
J. Medic D 83 7.00 — — 1 37 31% — — —
H. Darling D 90 6.20 — — — 42 34% 1 — —
L. Gibbs D 62 6.90 — — — 26 14% 2 1 —
Pelle Mattsson M 90 6.90 2 — 1 27 22% — 1 —
K. McLean M 90 8.00 — — — 59 49% 2 — —
O. Schwartau M 63 6.20 — — — 11 8% — — —
Jacob Wright M 73 7.20 — — — 17 13% 1 1 —
P. Maghoma M 90 6.60 — — 1 28 21% 2 — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 63 6.20 — — — 7 5% 1 — —
A. Ahmed D 27 6.50 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
A. Slimane M 17 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
J. Cordoba D 12 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Stacey D 28 6.90 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
M. Toure F 27 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 32 20% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 90 6.50 — — — 18 10% — 1 —
M. Dia D 86 6.90 — — — 17 12% 2 — —
R. Poole D 90 6.60 — — — 24 19% — — —
T. Devlin D 90 7.00 — — — 20 15% 3 — —
L. Le Roux M 90 7.30 — — — 29 28% 5 — —
M. Pack M 65 6.90 — — 2 29 24% — 1 —
M. Alli M 65 6.20 — — — 16 12% — — —
C. Chaplin M 78 6.90 — — — 19 14% — — —
G. Caballero M 78 6.60 — — — 18 14% 4 1 —
C. Bishop F 90 6.70 — — 1 15 8% — 1 —
A. Dozzell M 25 6.90 — — — 6 5% — — —
C. Shaughnessy D 9 6.60 — — — — — — — —
H. Blair F 12 6.70 — — — — — — — —
Jacob Brown F 12 6.30 — — — — — — 1 —
K. Anderson M 25 6.60 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Norwich win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Portsmouth win.