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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
Norwich
#12 · 0 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Portsmouth
#6 · 0 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Norwich, result Draw
P. Mattsson 26'
(og) 84' P. Mattsson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Portsmouth 18%). The final result was Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Norwich have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
1
0.44
Actual xG
0.50
1
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
6
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
5'
Marlon Pack
16'
Connor Ogilvie
⚽P. Mattsson
26'
30'
Gustavo Caballero
Liam Gibbs
46'
Jacob Wright
48'
↕ L. Gibbs / J. Stacey
62'
↕ M. Kvistgaarden / M. Toure
63'
↕ O. Schwartau / A. Ahmed
63'
65'
K. Anderson / M. Alli ↕
65'
A. Dozzell / M. Pack ↕
Pelle Mattsson
67'
↕ J. Wright / A. Slimane
73'
78'
H. Blair / G. Caballero ↕
78'
J. Brown / C. Chaplin ↕
↕ J. Medic / J. Cordoba
83'
84'
(og) P. Mattsson⚽
86'
C. Shaughnessy / M. Dia ↕
87'
Colby Bishop
90'+4
Jacob Brown
Pre-match prediction
57.8%
Norwich
23.98%
X ←
18.21%
Portsmouth
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norwich
1.80
0.44
-1.36
Portsmouth
0.89
0.50
-0.39
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Birmingham Birmingham 0 0
2 Blackburn Blackburn 0 0
3 Bolton Bolton 0 0
4 Derby Derby 0 0
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0 0
6 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0 0
7 West Ham West Ham 0 0
8 Bristol City Bristol City 0 0
9 Burnley Burnley 0 0
10 Cardiff Cardiff 0 0
11 Charlton Charlton 0 0
12 Norwich Norwich 0 0
13 Preston Preston 0 0
14 QPR QPR 0 0
15 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 0 0
16 Stoke City Stoke City 0 0
17 Watford Watford 0 0
18 West Brom West Brom 0 0
19 Wolves Wolves 0 0
20 Millwall Millwall 0 0
21 Swansea Swansea 0 0
22 Lincoln Lincoln 0 0
23 Wrexham Wrexham 0 0
24 Southampton Southampton 0 0
Lineups
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1
V. Kovacevic G 7.20
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher D 6.70
5
J. Medic 83' D 7.00
6
H. Darling D 6.20
8
L. Gibbs 62' D 6.90
7
Pelle Mattsson 2 ⚽ M 6.90
23 K. McLean K. McLean M 8.00
29
O. Schwartau 63' M 6.20
16
Jacob Wright 73' M 7.20
25
P. Maghoma M 6.60
30
M. Kvistgaarden 63' F 6.20
Bench
20 A. Ben Slimane A. Ben Slimane 17' M 6.60
18
A. Forson M
21 Ali Ahmed Ali Ahmed 27' D 6.50
33 José Córdoba José Córdoba 12' D 6.30
3
J. Stacey 28' D 6.90
37 M. Touré M. Touré 27' F 6.50
26
S. Field M
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
3 C. Ogilvie C. Ogilvie D 6.50
55
M. Dia 86' D 6.90
5
R. Poole D 6.60
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin D 7.00
16
L. Le Roux M 7.30
7 M. Pack M. Pack 65' M 6.90
27 Millenic Alli Millenic Alli 65' M 6.20
36
C. Chaplin 78' M 6.90
47 G. Caballero G. Caballero 78' M 6.60
9
C. Bishop F 6.70
Bench
21
A. Dozzell 25' M 6.90
10
A. Segecic M
6
C. Shaughnessy 9' D 6.60
29
H. Blair 12' F 6.70
40
Jacob Brown 12' F 6.30
26
J. Bursik G
8
J. Swift M
2
J. Williams D
37
K. Anderson 25' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
K. McLean
K. McLean
M · Norwich
8.00
· 59 pass
L. Le Roux
M · Portsmouth
7.30
· 29 pass
Jacob Wright
M · Norwich
7.20
· 17 pass
V. Kovacevic
G · Norwich
7.20
· 37 pass
J. Medic
D · Norwich
7.00
1 shots · 37 pass
T. Devlin
T. Devlin
D · Portsmouth
7.00
· 20 pass
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovacevic G 90 7.20 — — — 37 30% — — —
K. Fisher D 90 6.70 — — — 29 25% 1 — —
J. Medic D 83 7.00 — — 1 37 31% — — —
H. Darling D 90 6.20 — — — 42 34% 1 — —
L. Gibbs D 62 6.90 — — — 26 14% 2 1 —
Pelle Mattsson M 90 6.90 2 — 1 27 22% — 1 —
K. McLean M 90 8.00 — — — 59 49% 2 — —
O. Schwartau M 63 6.20 — — — 11 8% — — —
Jacob Wright M 73 7.20 — — — 17 13% 1 1 —
P. Maghoma M 90 6.60 — — 1 28 21% 2 — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 63 6.20 — — — 7 5% 1 — —
A. Ben Slimane M 17 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
Ali Ahmed D 27 6.50 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
José Córdoba D 12 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Stacey D 28 6.90 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
M. Touré F 27 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 32 20% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 90 6.50 — — — 18 10% — 1 —
M. Dia D 86 6.90 — — — 17 12% 2 — —
R. Poole D 90 6.60 — — — 24 19% — — —
T. Devlin D 90 7.00 — — — 20 15% 3 — —
L. Le Roux M 90 7.30 — — — 29 28% 5 — —
M. Pack M 65 6.90 — — 2 29 24% — 1 —
Millenic Alli M 65 6.20 — — — 16 12% — — —
C. Chaplin M 78 6.90 — — — 19 14% — — —
G. Caballero M 78 6.60 — — — 18 14% 4 1 —
C. Bishop F 90 6.70 — — 1 15 8% — 1 —
A. Dozzell M 25 6.90 — — — 6 5% — — —
C. Shaughnessy D 9 6.60 — — — — — — — —
H. Blair F 12 6.70 — — — — — — — —
Jacob Brown F 12 6.30 — — — — — — 1 —
K. Anderson M 25 6.60 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Norwich win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Portsmouth win.