Skip to main content
← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 03, 2026 16:00
Norwich
#17 · 9 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Portsmouth
#19 · 8 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Norwich, result Draw
P. Mattsson 26'
(og) 84' P. Mattsson
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Portsmouth 18%). The final result was Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Norwich have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
1
0.44
Actual xG
0.50
1
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
6
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
5'
Marlon Pack
16'
Connor Ogilvie
⚽P. Mattsson
26'
30'
Gustavo Caballero
Liam Gibbs
46'
Jacob Wright
48'
↕ L. Gibbs / J. Stacey
62'
↕ M. Kvistgaarden / M. Toure
63'
↕ O. Schwartau / A. Ahmed
63'
65'
K. Anderson / M. Alli ↕
65'
A. Dozzell / M. Pack ↕
Pelle Mattsson
67'
↕ J. Wright / A. Slimane
73'
78'
H. Blair / G. Caballero ↕
78'
J. Brown / C. Chaplin ↕
↕ J. Medic / J. Cordoba
83'
84'
(og) P. Mattsson⚽
86'
C. Shaughnessy / M. Dia ↕
87'
Colby Bishop
90'+4
Jacob Brown
Pre-match prediction
57.8%
Norwich
23.98%
X ←
18.21%
Portsmouth
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norwich
1.80
0.44
-1.36
Portsmouth
0.89
0.50
-0.39
xG dominance was balanced (0.44 – 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovačević V. Kovačević G 7.20
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher D 6.70
5 J. Medić J. Medić 83' D 7.00
6 H. Darling H. Darling D 6.20
8 L. Gibbs L. Gibbs 62' D 6.90
7 P. Mattsson P. Mattsson 2 ⚽ M 6.90
23 K. McLean K. McLean M 8.00
29 O. Schwartau O. Schwartau 63' M 6.20
16 Jacob Wright Jacob Wright 73' M 7.20
25 P. Maghoma P. Maghoma M 6.60
30 M. Kvistgaarden M. Kvistgaarden 63' F 6.20
Bench
18 A. Forson A. Forson M
21 Ali Ahmed Ali Ahmed 27' D 6.50
20 A. Slimane A. Slimane 17' M 6.60
33 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba 12' D 6.30
3 J. Stacey J. Stacey 28' D 6.90
37 M. Touré M. Touré 27' F 6.50
26 S. Field S. Field M
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
3 C. Ogilvie C. Ogilvie D 6.50
55 M. Dia M. Dia 86' D 6.90
5 R. Poole R. Poole D 6.60
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin D 7.00
16 Luke Le Roux Luke Le Roux M 7.30
7 M. Pack M. Pack 65' M 6.90
27 M. Alli M. Alli 65' M 6.20
36 C. Chaplin C. Chaplin 78' M 6.90
47 Gustavo Caballero Gustavo Caballero 78' M 6.60
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop F 6.70
Bench
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell 25' M 6.90
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic M
6 C. Shaughnessy C. Shaughnessy 9' D 6.60
29 H. Blair H. Blair 12' F 6.70
40 J. Brown J. Brown 12' F 6.30
26 J. Bursik J. Bursik G
8 J. Swift J. Swift M
2 J. Williams J. Williams D
37
K. Anderson 25' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
K. McLean
K. McLean
M · Norwich
8.00
· 59 pass
Luke Le Roux
Luke Le Roux
M · Portsmouth
7.30
· 29 pass
Jacob Wright
Jacob Wright
M · Norwich
7.20
· 17 pass
V. Kovačević
V. Kovačević
G · Norwich
7.20
· 37 pass
J. Medić
J. Medić
D · Norwich
7.00
1 shots · 37 pass
T. Devlin
T. Devlin
D · Portsmouth
7.00
· 20 pass
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovačević G 90 7.20 — — — 37 30% — — —
K. Fisher D 90 6.70 — — — 29 25% 1 — —
J. Medić D 83 7.00 — — 1 37 31% — — —
H. Darling D 90 6.20 — — — 42 34% 1 — —
L. Gibbs D 62 6.90 — — — 26 14% 2 1 —
P. Mattsson M 90 6.90 2 — 1 27 22% — 1 —
K. McLean M 90 8.00 — — — 59 49% 2 — —
O. Schwartau M 63 6.20 — — — 11 8% — — —
Jacob Wright M 73 7.20 — — — 17 13% 1 1 —
P. Maghoma M 90 6.60 — — 1 28 21% 2 — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 63 6.20 — — — 7 5% 1 — —
Ali Ahmed D 27 6.50 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
A. Slimane M 17 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
J. Córdoba D 12 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Stacey D 28 6.90 — — — 16 13% 1 — —
M. Touré F 27 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 32 20% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 90 6.50 — — — 18 10% — 1 —
M. Dia D 86 6.90 — — — 17 12% 2 — —
R. Poole D 90 6.60 — — — 24 19% — — —
T. Devlin D 90 7.00 — — — 20 15% 3 — —
Luke Le Roux M 90 7.30 — — — 29 28% 5 — —
M. Pack M 65 6.90 — — 2 29 24% — 1 —
M. Alli M 65 6.20 — — — 16 12% — — —
C. Chaplin M 78 6.90 — — — 19 14% — — —
Gustavo Caballero M 78 6.60 — — — 18 14% 4 1 —
C. Bishop F 90 6.70 — — 1 15 8% — 1 —
A. Dozzell M 25 6.90 — — — 6 5% — — —
C. Shaughnessy D 9 6.60 — — — — — — — —
H. Blair F 12 6.70 — — — — — — — —
J. Brown F 12 6.30 — — — — — — 1 —
K. Anderson M 25 6.60 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Norwich win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Portsmouth win.