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Championship · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 16:00 Carrow Road, Norwich
Norwich
#20 · 12 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Portsmouth
#11 · 18 pts
(pen.) 51' Marko Milovanović
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Portsmouth 27%). The final result was Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth. In 2 previous meetings, Norwich have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
2
0.37
Actual xG
1.25
1
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
1
Corners
1
20
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
↕ Benjamin Chrisene / Darlin Yongwa
45'
51'
(pen.) Marko Milovanović⚽
55'
Marko Milovanović
↕ Andre Brooks / Lucien Mahovo
57'
↕ Anis Ben Slimane / Paris Maghoma
57'
60'
Ebou Adams / Iyad Mohamed ↕
64'
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
Oscar Schwartau
66'
70'
Odin Bailey / Ryan Kavuma-McQueen ↕
71'
Tyrese Shade / Marko Milovanović ↕
↕ Oscar Schwartau / Mathias Kvistgaarden
73'
80'
Terry Devlin / Marlon Pack ↕
Darlin Yongwa
90'+3
Mathias Kvistgaarden
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.25%
Norwich
27.35%
X
27.4%
Portsmouth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth) 27.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norwich
1.81
0.37
-1.44
Portsmouth
1.24
1.25
+0.01
Portsmouth dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
32 D. Grimshaw D. Grimshaw G 6.10
14 B. Chrisene B. Chrisene 45' D 6.98
33 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba D 6.60
15 Ruairi McConville Ruairi McConville D 6.86
3 J. Stacey J. Stacey D 6.60
7 P. Mattsson P. Mattsson M 6.35
16 Jacob Wright Jacob Wright M 5.79
29 O. Schwartau O. Schwartau 73' M 5.92
20 A. Ben Slimane A. Ben Slimane 57' M 6.79
11 A. Brooks A. Brooks 57' M 6.48
24 J. Makama J. Makama F 6.42
Bench
40 C. Ansen C. Ansen G 0.00
13 D. Yongwa D. Yongwa 45' D 5.55
46 E. Mundle-Smith E. Mundle-Smith F 0.00
6 H. Darling H. Darling D 0.00
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher D 0.00
12 L. Mahovo L. Mahovo 33' D 6.22
30 M. Kvistgaarden M. Kvistgaarden 17' F 6.19
25 P. Maghoma P. Maghoma 33' M 6.52
26 S. Field S. Field M 0.00
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1 N. Schmid N. Schmid G 6.65
16 J. Meghoma J. Meghoma D 6.98
55 M. Dia M. Dia D 7.26
5 R. Poole R. Poole D 7.43
22 Z. Swanson Z. Swanson D 6.82
37 I. Mohamed I. Mohamed 60' M 7.20
7 M. Pack M. Pack 80' M 7.07
25 R. Kavuma McQueen R. Kavuma McQueen 70' M 6.13
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic M 6.45
11 A. Kamara A. Kamara M 6.35
29 M. Milovanović M. Milovanović 1 ⚽ 71' F 6.86
Bench
30 B. Killip B. Killip G 0.00
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop F 0.00
31 D. Bielica D. Bielica G 0.00
38 E. Adams E. Adams 30' M 7.06
32 E. Kenny E. Kenny M 0.00
27 O. Bailey O. Bailey 20' M 6.75
19 R. Shein R. Shein M 0.00
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin 10' M 6.59
17 T. Shade T. Shade 19' F 6.45
Best on the pitch
R. Poole
R. Poole
D · Portsmouth
7.43
· 69 pass
M. Dia
M. Dia
D · Portsmouth
7.26
· 41 pass
I. Mohamed
I. Mohamed
M · Portsmouth
7.20
· 37 pass
M. Pack
M. Pack
M · Portsmouth
7.07
· 50 pass
E. Adams
E. Adams
M · Portsmouth
7.06
· 10 pass
B. Chrisene
B. Chrisene
D · Norwich
6.98
· 21 pass
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Grimshaw G 90 6.10 — — 0 30 21% 0 — —
B. Chrisene D 45 6.98 — — 0 21 16% 0 — —
J. Córdoba D 90 6.60 — — 0 76 59% 2 — —
Ruairi McConville D 90 6.86 — — 2 46 36% 1 — —
J. Stacey D 90 6.60 — — 0 29 20% 8 — —
P. Mattsson M 90 6.35 — — 1 44 35% 2 — —
Jacob Wright M 90 5.79 — — 0 52 38% 0 — —
O. Schwartau M 73 5.92 — — 0 13 6% 0 1 —
A. Ben Slimane M 57 6.79 — — 2 14 7% 2 — —
A. Brooks M 57 6.48 — — 0 16 10% 1 — —
J. Makama F 90 6.42 — — 1 12 9% 1 — —
D. Yongwa D 45 5.55 — — 0 24 16% 3 1 —
L. Mahovo D 33 6.22 — — 2 10 7% 0 — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 17 6.19 — — 1 6 3% 0 1 —
P. Maghoma M 33 6.52 — — 0 14 10% 0 — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Schmid G 90 6.65 — — 0 62 40% 0 — —
J. Meghoma D 90 6.98 — — 1 35 27% 1 — —
M. Dia D 90 7.26 — — 0 41 32% 2 — —
R. Poole D 90 7.43 — — 0 69 58% 1 — —
Z. Swanson D 90 6.82 — — 1 36 25% 3 — —
I. Mohamed M 60 7.20 — — 0 37 32% 3 — —
M. Pack M 80 7.07 — — 0 50 45% 2 — —
R. Kavuma McQueen M 70 6.13 — — 0 4 3% 1 1 —
A. Segecic M 90 6.45 — — 4 15 8% 0 — —
A. Kamara M 90 6.35 — — 2 24 13% 1 — —
M. Milovanović F 71 6.86 1 — 1 10 7% 0 1 —
E. Adams M 30 7.06 — — 0 10 7% 4 — —
O. Bailey M 20 6.75 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
T. Devlin M 10 6.59 — — 0 8 4% 0 — —
T. Shade F 19 6.45 — — 0 4 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Norwich win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Portsmouth win.