Championship
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Norwich, result Draw
K. McLean
83'
(pen.)
(pen.)
53'
Z. Vipotnik
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Swansea 22%). The final result was Norwich 1–1 Swansea. In 1 previous meetings, Norwich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Swansea.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
1.95
Actual xG
1.18
1
Saves
8
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
2
13
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
25'
M. Stamenic
43'
J. Eom
53'
(pen.)
Z. Vipotnik⚽
P. Mattsson
59'
60'
J. Key
/
J. Ward
60'
A. Idah
/
Z. Vipotnik
A. Slimane
/ A. Ahmed
62'
K. Fisher
64'
67'
J. Tymon
68'
L. Cullen
/
G. Franco
A. Ahmed
69'
74'
L. Walta
/
J. Eom
74'
M. Widell
/
M. Yalcouye
P. Maghoma
/ J. Wright
77'
M. Toure
/ M. Kvistgaarden
78'
78'
M. Widell
81'
L. Vigouroux
⚽K. McLean
(pen.)
83'
L. Gibbs
/ A. Forson
90'
Pre-match prediction
53.12%
Norwich
24.59%
X ←
22.3%
Swansea
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
1.95
+0.2
1.09
1.18
+0.09
Norwich dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.18).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Vladan Kovačević
G
Vladan Kovačević
G
35
K. Fisher
D
K. Fisher
D
33
José Córdoba
D
José Córdoba
D
6
Harry Darling
D
Harry Darling
D
3
Jack Stacey
D
Jack Stacey
D
23
Kenny McLean
1 ⚽
M
Kenny McLean
1 ⚽
M
7
Pelle Mattsson
M
Pelle Mattsson
M
8
L. Gibbs
M
20
Anis Ben Slimane
62'
M
Anis Ben Slimane
62'
M
25
Paris Maghoma
77'
M
Paris Maghoma
77'
M
37
M. Touré
78'
F
M. Touré
78'
F
Bench
18
A. Forson
7'
M
21
Ali Ahmed
35'
D
Ali Ahmed
35'
D
16
Jacob Wright
20'
M
Jacob Wright
20'
M
30
Mathias Kvistgaarden
19'
F
Mathias Kvistgaarden
19'
F
26
Sam Field
M
Sam Field
M
22
Lawrence Vigouroux
G
Lawrence Vigouroux
G
14
Josh Tymon
D
Josh Tymon
D
15
D
5
Ben Cabango
D
Ben Cabango
D
25
J. Ward
60'
D
6
Marko Stamenić
M
Marko Stamenić
M
8
Malick Yalcouyé
74'
M
10
Ji-sung Eom
74'
M
Ji-sung Eom
74'
M
17
G. Franco
68'
M
35
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
9
Žan Vipotnik
1 ⚽
60'
F
Žan Vipotnik
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
33
Adam Idah
37'
F
Adam Idah
37'
F
4
Jay Fulton
M
Jay Fulton
M
2
Josh Key
37'
D
Josh Key
37'
D
21
Leo Walta
23'
M
Leo Walta
23'
M
20
Liam Cullen
29'
F
Liam Cullen
29'
F
7
Melker Widell
23'
M
Melker Widell
23'
M
Best on the pitch
Kenny McLean
M · Norwich
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 52 pass
Žan Vipotnik
F · Swansea
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Lawrence Vigouroux
G · Swansea
7.30
· 54 pass
Mathias Kvistgaarden
F · Norwich
7.20
· 2 pass
Pelle Mattsson
M · Norwich
7.20
· 47 pass
Malick Yalcouyé
M · Swansea
7.00
· 44 pass
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladan Kovačević | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| José Córdoba | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Harry Darling | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Jack Stacey | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Kenny McLean | M | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 52 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Pelle Mattsson | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Gibbs | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Anis Ben Slimane | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Paris Maghoma | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Forson | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | D | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Jacob Wright | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mathias Kvistgaarden | F | 19 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Swansea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Vigouroux | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Tymon | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | — | — | — | |
| Ben Cabango | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ward | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Marko Stamenić | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Malick Yalcouyé | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Ji-sung Eom | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Franco | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Žan Vipotnik | F | 60 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Adam Idah | F | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Key | D | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Walta | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Cullen | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Melker Widell | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Swansea?
The final score was Norwich 1–1 Swansea.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Swansea?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Norwich win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Swansea win.