Championship
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Norwich, result Pareggio
K. McLean
83'
(pen.)
(pen.)
53'
Z. Vipotnik
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Swansea 22%). The final result was Norwich 1–1 Swansea. In 1 previous meetings, Norwich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Swansea.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
1.95
Actual xG
1.18
1
Saves
8
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
2
13
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
25'
M. Stamenic
43'
J. Eom
53'
(pen.)
Z. Vipotnik⚽
P. Mattsson
59'
60'
J. Key
/
J. Ward
60'
A. Idah
/
Z. Vipotnik
A. Slimane
/ A. Ahmed
62'
K. Fisher
64'
67'
J. Tymon
68'
L. Cullen
/
G. Franco
A. Ahmed
69'
74'
L. Walta
/
J. Eom
74'
M. Widell
/
M. Yalcouye
P. Maghoma
/ J. Wright
77'
M. Toure
/ M. Kvistgaarden
78'
78'
M. Widell
81'
L. Vigouroux
⚽K. McLean
(pen.)
83'
L. Gibbs
/ A. Forson
90'
Pre-match prediction
53.12%
Norwich
24.59%
X ←
22.3%
Swansea
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
1.95
+0.2
1.09
1.18
+0.09
Norwich dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.18).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
V. Kovacevic
G
35
K. Fisher
D
K. Fisher
D
33
J. Cordoba
D
6
H. Darling
D
3
J. Stacey
D
23
K. McLean
1 ⚽
M
7
Pelle Mattsson
M
8
L. Gibbs
M
20
A. Slimane
62'
M
25
P. Maghoma
77'
M
37
M. Toure
78'
F
Bench
21
A. Ahmed
35'
D
18
A. Forson
7'
M
16
Jacob Wright
20'
M
30
M. Kvistgaarden
19'
F
26
S. Field
M
22
L. Vigouroux
G
14
J. Tymon
D
J. Tymon
D
15
D
5
B. Cabango
D
25
J. Ward
60'
D
6
M. Stamenić
M
M. Stamenić
M
8
Malick Yalcouyé
74'
M
10
J. Eom
74'
M
17
G. Franco
68'
M
35
Ronald
M
9
Z. Vipotnik
1 ⚽
60'
F
Z. Vipotnik
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
33
A. Idah
37'
F
4
J. Fulton
M
2
J. Key
37'
D
20
L. Cullen
29'
F
21
L. Walta
23'
M
7
M. Widell
23'
M
Best on the pitch
K. McLean
M · Norwich
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 52 pass
Z. Vipotnik
F · Swansea
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
L. Vigouroux
G · Swansea
7.30
· 54 pass
M. Kvistgaarden
F · Norwich
7.20
· 2 pass
Pelle Mattsson
M · Norwich
7.20
· 47 pass
Malick Yalcouyé
M · Swansea
7.00
· 44 pass
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kovacevic | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Cordoba | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Darling | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stacey | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| K. McLean | M | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 52 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Pelle Mattsson | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Gibbs | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Slimane | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Maghoma | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Ahmed | D | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Forson | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Wright | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 19 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Swansea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vigouroux | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Tymon | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | — | — | — | |
| B. Cabango | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ward | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Malick Yalcouyé | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Eom | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Franco | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 60 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Idah | F | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Key | D | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cullen | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Walta | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Widell | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Swansea?
The final score was Norwich 1–1 Swansea.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Swansea?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Norwich win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Swansea win.