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Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00
Norwich
#17 · 9 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Swansea
#1 · 17 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Norwich, result Draw
K. McLean 83' (pen.)
(pen.) 53' Z. Vipotnik
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norwich a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Swansea 22%). The final result was Norwich 1–1 Swansea. In 1 previous meetings, Norwich have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Swansea.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
2
1.95
Actual xG
1.18
1
Saves
8
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
2
13
Tackles
21
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
25'
M. Stamenic
43'
J. Eom
53'
(pen.) Z. Vipotnik⚽
P. Mattsson
59'
60'
J. Key / J. Ward ↕
60'
A. Idah / Z. Vipotnik ↕
↕ A. Slimane / A. Ahmed
62'
K. Fisher
64'
67'
J. Tymon
68'
L. Cullen / G. Franco ↕
A. Ahmed
69'
74'
L. Walta / J. Eom ↕
74'
M. Widell / M. Yalcouye ↕
↕ P. Maghoma / J. Wright
77'
↕ M. Toure / M. Kvistgaarden
78'
78'
M. Widell
81'
L. Vigouroux
⚽K. McLean (pen.)
83'
↕ L. Gibbs / A. Forson
90'
Pre-match prediction
53.12%
Norwich
24.59%
X ←
22.3%
Swansea
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.59% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norwich
1.75
1.95
+0.2
Swansea
1.09
1.18
+0.09
Norwich dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.18). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Norwich Norwich 4-2-3-1
1 V. Kovačević V. Kovačević G 6.60
35 K. Fisher K. Fisher D 6.90
33 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba D 6.30
6 H. Darling H. Darling D 7.00
3 J. Stacey J. Stacey D 6.70
23 K. McLean K. McLean 1 ⚽ M 7.90
7 P. Mattsson P. Mattsson M 7.20
8 L. Gibbs L. Gibbs M 6.20
20 A. Slimane A. Slimane 62' M 6.60
25 P. Maghoma P. Maghoma 77' M 6.30
37 M. Touré M. Touré 78' F 6.70
Bench
18 A. Forson A. Forson 7' M
21 Ali Ahmed Ali Ahmed 35' D 6.30
16 Jacob Wright Jacob Wright 20' M 6.30
30 M. Kvistgaarden M. Kvistgaarden 19' F 7.20
26 S. Field S. Field M
Swansea Swansea 4-2-3-1
22 Lawrence Vigouroux Lawrence Vigouroux G 7.30
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon D 6.70
15
D 6.90
5 B. Cabango B. Cabango D 7.00
25
J. Ward 60' D 6.90
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić M 6.90
8 M. Yalcouyé M. Yalcouyé 74' M 7.00
10 Eom Ji-Sung Eom Ji-Sung 74' M 6.90
17 Gonçalo Franco Gonçalo Franco 68' M 6.70
35 Ronald Ronald M 6.30
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.70
Bench
33 A. Idah A. Idah 37' F 6.70
4 J. Fulton J. Fulton M
2 J. Key J. Key 37' D 6.20
20 L. Cullen L. Cullen 29' F 6.50
21 L. Walta L. Walta 23' M 6.20
7 M. Widell M. Widell 23' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
K. McLean
K. McLean
M · Norwich
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 52 pass
Z. Vipotnik
Z. Vipotnik
F · Swansea
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Lawrence Vigouroux
Lawrence Vigouroux
G · Swansea
7.30
· 54 pass
M. Kvistgaarden
M. Kvistgaarden
F · Norwich
7.20
· 2 pass
P. Mattsson
P. Mattsson
M · Norwich
7.20
· 47 pass
M. Yalcouyé
M. Yalcouyé
M · Swansea
7.00
· 44 pass
Norwich Norwich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Kovačević G 97 6.60 — — — 29 25% — — —
K. Fisher D 97 6.90 — — — 55 47% 3 1 —
J. Córdoba D 97 6.30 — — — 58 50% 2 — —
H. Darling D 97 7.00 — — 2 51 41% 2 — —
J. Stacey D 97 6.70 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
K. McLean M 97 7.90 1 — 3 52 41% 1 — —
P. Mattsson M 97 7.20 — — — 47 36% — 1 —
L. Gibbs M 90 6.20 — — 1 22 16% 2 — —
A. Slimane M 62 6.60 — — 2 19 16% 1 — —
P. Maghoma M 77 6.30 — — 2 28 21% — — —
M. Touré F 78 6.70 — — 1 14 4% — — —
A. Forson M 7 — — — 1 1 — — — —
Ali Ahmed D 35 6.30 — — 1 17 13% — 1 —
Jacob Wright M 20 6.30 — — — 7 3% — — —
M. Kvistgaarden F 19 7.20 — — — 2 — — — —
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lawrence Vigouroux G 97 7.30 — — — 54 37% — 1 —
J. Tymon D 97 6.70 — — — 36 28% 1 1 —
D 97 6.90 — — — 63 54% — — —
B. Cabango D 97 7.00 — — — 62 48% 2 — —
J. Ward D 60 6.90 — — — 24 17% 2 — —
M. Stamenić M 97 6.90 — — — 45 35% 2 1 —
M. Yalcouyé M 74 7.00 — — — 44 39% 3 — —
Eom Ji-Sung M 74 6.90 — — 3 19 14% 1 1 —
Gonçalo Franco M 68 6.70 — — 1 20 15% 3 — —
Ronald M 97 6.30 — — — 17 9% 3 — —
Z. Vipotnik F 60 7.70 1 — 1 5 4% — — —
A. Idah F 37 6.70 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
J. Key D 37 6.20 — — — 14 7% 1 — —
L. Cullen F 29 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
L. Walta M 23 6.20 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
M. Widell M 23 6.20 — — — 3 3% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norwich vs Swansea?
The final score was Norwich 1–1 Swansea.
What did the model predict before Norwich vs Swansea?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Norwich win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Swansea win.