Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth — pre-match prediction — Premier League — May 24, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 38 May 24, 2026 17:00 City Ground, Nottingham

Nottingham Forest

#11 · 5 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Bournemouth

#15 · 3 pts

M. Gibbs-White (ast. O. Hutchinson) 34'

54' (ast. A. Truffert) M. Tavernier

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nottingham Forest a 42% win probability (draw 22%, Bournemouth 35%). The final result was Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth. In 1 previous meetings, Nottingham Forest have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bournemouth.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.87

Actual xG

1.00

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

33'

J. Hill

⚽M. Gibbs-White · ast. O. Hutchinson

34'

54'

ast. A. Truffert · M. Tavernier⚽

57'

B. Gannon-Doak / A. Toth ↕

↕ C. Wood / T. Awoniyi

62'

↕ Cunha / L. Netz

63'

↕ E. Anderson / R. Yates

65'

↕ I. Sangare / N. Dominguez

65'

T. Awoniyi

67'

73'

J. Kluivert / E. J. Kroupi ↕

73'

E. Unal / Evanilson ↕

73'

A. Adli / Rayan ↕

↕ O. Hutchinson / J. McAtee

78'

90'

L. Cook / A. Smith ↕

Pre-match prediction

42.59%

Nottingham

22.01%

X ←

35.4%

Bournemouth

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.01% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Nottingham

1.76

1.87

+0.11

Bournemouth

1.61

1.00

-0.61

Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	4	12
2	Manchester City	3	9
3	Hull City	4	8
4	Chelsea	4	7
5	Brentford	4	6
6	Liverpool	4	6
7	Everton	4	6
8	Ipswich	4	6
9	Newcastle	3	5
10	Leeds	3	5
11	Nottingham Forest	4	5
12	Brighton	3	4
13	Manchester United	3	4
14	Sunderland	4	4
15	Bournemouth	4	3
16	Crystal Palace	4	3
17	Tottenham	4	2
18	Fulham	4	1
19	Aston Villa	4	1
20	Coventry	3	0

Lineups

Nottingham Forest 4-4-2

M. Sels G 6.30

N. Williams D 6.50

Morato D 7.20

N. Milenković D 7.30

Jair 63' D 5.60

M. Gibbs-White 1 ⚽ M 7.30

E. Anderson 65' M 7.20

I. Sangaré 65' M 6.70

Omari Hutchinson 1 👟 78' M 7.30

C. Wood 62' F 6.30

Igor Jesus F 6.70

Bench

D. Ndoye F

J. McAtee 12' M 6.50

Lamin Sillah D

L. Netz 27' D 6.90

N. Domínguez 25' M 6.70

R. Yates 25' M 6.90

S. Ortega G

T. Awoniyi 28' F 6.50

Z. Abbott D

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Đ. Petrović G 6.20

A. Truffert 1 👟 D 7.70

M. Senesi D 7.30

J. Hill D 6.50

A. Smith 89' D 7.20

T. Adams M 6.90

A. Tóth 57' M 6.70

M. Tavernier 1 ⚽ M 7.90

E. Kroupi 73' M 6.20

Rayan 73' M 6.70

Evanilson 73' F 6.90

Bench

Amine Adli 17' F 6.70

B. Diakité D

B. Doak 33' F 6.30

Christos Mandas G

D. Brooks M

E. Ünal 17' F 6.20

J. Kluivert 17' F 6.30

L. Cook 12' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

M. Tavernier

M · Bournemouth

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 55 pass

A. Truffert

D · Bournemouth

7.70

1 👟

· 46 pass

N. Milenković

D · Nottingham

7.30

· 44 pass

M. Gibbs-White

M · Nottingham

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

Omari Hutchinson

M · Nottingham

7.30

1 👟

· 26 pass

M. Senesi

D · Bournemouth

7.30

· 75 pass

Nottingham Forest — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Sels	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	24%	—	—	—
N. Williams	D	90	6.50	—	—	2	34	23%	2	—	—
Morato	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	29	23%	1	—	—
N. Milenković	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	44	34%	1	—	—
Jair	D	63	5.60	—	—	—	23	17%	—	—	—
M. Gibbs-White	M	90	7.30	1	—	2	34	24%	—	—	—
E. Anderson	M	65	7.20	—	—	1	42	39%	3	—	—
I. Sangaré	M	65	6.70	—	—	—	35	30%	1	—	—
Omari Hutchinson	M	78	7.30	—	1	—	26	21%	2	—	—
C. Wood	F	62	6.30	—	—	2	16	12%	—	—	—
Igor Jesus	F	90	6.70	—	—	1	32	26%	1	—	—
J. McAtee	M	12	6.50	—	—	—	7	3%	—	—	—
L. Netz	D	27	6.90	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
N. Domínguez	M	25	6.70	—	—	—	14	13%	2	—	—
R. Yates	M	25	6.90	—	—	1	14	10%	2	—	—
T. Awoniyi	F	28	6.50	—	—	1	1	1%	1	1	—

Bournemouth — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Đ. Petrović	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	19	15%	—	—	—
A. Truffert	D	90	7.70	—	1	—	46	39%	7	—	—
M. Senesi	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	75	57%	2	—	—
J. Hill	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	62	52%	—	1	—
A. Smith	D	89	7.20	—	—	—	39	35%	1	—	—
T. Adams	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	59	51%	3	—	—
A. Tóth	M	57	6.70	—	—	1	31	29%	—	—	—
M. Tavernier	M	90	7.90	1	—	2	55	47%	1	—	—
E. Kroupi	M	73	6.20	—	—	2	35	30%	—	—	—
Rayan	M	73	6.70	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
Evanilson	F	73	6.90	—	—	1	12	10%	1	—	—
Amine Adli	F	17	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	2	—	—
B. Doak	F	33	6.30	—	—	2	10	7%	1	—	—
E. Ünal	F	17	6.20	—	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—
J. Kluivert	F	17	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
L. Cook	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?

The final score was Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth.

What did the model predict before Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?

The model assigned 42% probability to a Nottingham Forest win, 22% to a draw, and 35% to an Bournemouth win.