Nottingham Forest - Leeds
EFL Cup
August 25, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.18%
Win
Nottingham Forest
31.84%
Draw
32.97%
Win
Leeds
1.32
1.14
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.54%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nottingham Forest a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Leeds. Expected goals are 1.3 for Nottingham Forest and 1.1 for Leeds (total 2.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.54% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Nottingham Forest have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leeds.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
0W
1D
0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
3.0
Conceded
1.0
3.0
Shots OT
7.0
6.0
Corners
8.0
55%
Poss.
80%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Nottingham Forest
Leeds →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Nottingham Forest
Attack
34
Defence
71
Form
64
Leeds
Attack
40
Defence
69
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
The model gives Nottingham Forest a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Leeds win.
How many goals are expected in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
Expected goals: Nottingham Forest 1.3, Leeds 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.54%.