Premier League
· Regular Season - 36
May 10, 2026 15:00
E. Anderson
(ast. J. McAtee)
88'
74'
(ast. J. Ramsey)
H. Barnes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nottingham Forest a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Newcastle 24%). The final result was Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle. In 1 previous meetings, Nottingham Forest have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Newcastle.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
6
1.14
Actual xG
1.55
5
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
1
17
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
N. Dominguez
/ R. Yates
46'
Igor Jesus
49'
R. Yates
54'
61'
H. Barnes
/
J. Murphy
61'
J. Ramsey
/
N. Woltemade
D. Bakwa
/ O. Hutchinson
64'
71'
Y. Wissa
/
W. Osula
T. Awoniyi
/ C. Wood
73'
74'
ast. J. Ramsey ·
H. Barnes⚽
L. Netz
/ J. McAtee
83'
Igor Jesus
/ L. Lucca
83'
⚽E. Anderson
· ast. J. McAtee
88'
90'+5
K. Trippier
/
Bruno Guimaraes
Pre-match prediction
51.44%
Nottingham
23.75%
X ←
24.81%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.14
-0.84
1.28
1.55
+0.27
Newcastle dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
Matz Sels
G
Matz Sels
G
4
Morato
D
Morato
D
23
Jair
D
Jair
D
31
Nikola Milenković
D
Nikola Milenković
D
25
Luca Netz
83'
M
Luca Netz
83'
M
8
Elliot Anderson
1 ⚽
M
Elliot Anderson
1 ⚽
M
16
Nicolás Domínguez
45'
M
Nicolás Domínguez
45'
M
3
Neco Williams
M
Neco Williams
M
19
Igor Jesus
83'
F
Igor Jesus
83'
F
29
Dilane Bakwa
64'
F
Dilane Bakwa
64'
F
9
Taiwo Awoniyi
73'
F
Taiwo Awoniyi
73'
F
Bench
51
Archie Whitehall
M
Archie Whitehall
M
11
Chris Wood
22'
F
Chris Wood
22'
F
17
Eric da Silva Moreira
F
Eric da Silva Moreira
F
24
James McAtee
1 👟
12'
M
James McAtee
1 👟
12'
M
61
Jimmy Sinclair
M
Jimmy Sinclair
M
20
Lorenzo Lucca
12'
F
Lorenzo Lucca
12'
F
21
Omari Hutchinson
31'
F
Omari Hutchinson
31'
F
22
Ryan Yates
50'
M
Ryan Yates
50'
M
27
Stefan Ortega
G
Stefan Ortega
G
1
Nick Pope
G
Nick Pope
G
33
D. Burn
D
D. Burn
D
4
Sven Botman
D
Sven Botman
D
12
Malick Thiaw
D
Malick Thiaw
D
3
Lewis Hall
D
Lewis Hall
D
39
Bruno Guimarães
M
Bruno Guimarães
M
8
Sandro Tonali
M
Sandro Tonali
M
7
Joelinton
M
Joelinton
M
27
Nick Woltemade
61'
M
Nick Woltemade
61'
M
23
Jacob Murphy
61'
M
Jacob Murphy
61'
M
18
William Osula
71'
F
William Osula
71'
F
Bench
32
Aaron Ramsdale
G
Aaron Ramsdale
G
10
A. Gordon
F
A. Gordon
F
37
Alex Murphy
D
Alex Murphy
D
20
Anthony Elanga
F
Anthony Elanga
F
11
H. Barnes
1 ⚽
34'
M
H. Barnes
1 ⚽
34'
M
41
Jacob Ramsey
1 👟
34'
M
Jacob Ramsey
1 👟
34'
M
28
Joe Willock
M
Joe Willock
M
2
K. Trippier
D
K. Trippier
D
9
Yoane Wissa
24'
F
Yoane Wissa
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Elliot Anderson
M · Nottingham
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 68 pass
H. Barnes
M · Newcastle
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Bruno Guimarães
M · Newcastle
7.50
4 shots
· 71 pass
Lewis Hall
D · Newcastle
7.50
· 59 pass
Sven Botman
D · Newcastle
7.50
· 57 pass
Luca Netz
M · Nottingham
7.30
· 20 pass
Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matz Sels | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Morato | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Jair | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Nikola Milenković | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Netz | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 95 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Domínguez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Neco Williams | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dilane Bakwa | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Chris Wood | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| James McAtee | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Lucca | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Omari Hutchinson | F | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Yates | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pope | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Burn | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Sven Botman | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Malick Thiaw | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Lewis Hall | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 71 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Sandro Tonali | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Joelinton | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Nick Woltemade | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| William Osula | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 34 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Yoane Wissa | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
The final score was Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle.
What did the model predict before Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Nottingham Forest win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an Newcastle win.