E. Anderson
(ast. J. McAtee)
88'
74'
(ast. J. Ramsey)
H. Barnes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nottingham Forest a 51% win probability (draw 23%, Newcastle 24%). The final result was Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle. In 1 previous meetings, Nottingham Forest have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Newcastle.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
6
1.14
Actual xG
1.55
5
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
1
17
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
N. Dominguez
/ R. Yates
46'
Igor Jesus
49'
R. Yates
54'
61'
H. Barnes
/
J. Murphy
61'
J. Ramsey
/
N. Woltemade
D. Bakwa
/ O. Hutchinson
64'
71'
Y. Wissa
/
W. Osula
T. Awoniyi
/ C. Wood
73'
74'
ast. J. Ramsey ·
H. Barnes⚽
L. Netz
/ J. McAtee
83'
Igor Jesus
/ L. Lucca
83'
⚽E. Anderson
· ast. J. McAtee
88'
90'+5
K. Trippier
/
Bruno Guimaraes
Pre-match prediction
51.44%
Nottingham
23.75%
X ←
24.81%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.14
-0.84
1.28
1.55
+0.27
Newcastle dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
M. Sels
G
M. Sels
G
4
Morato
D
Morato
D
23
Jair
D
Jair
D
31
N. Milenković
D
N. Milenković
D
25
L. Netz
83'
M
L. Netz
83'
M
8
E. Anderson
1 ⚽
M
E. Anderson
1 ⚽
M
16
N. Domínguez
45'
M
N. Domínguez
45'
M
3
N. Williams
M
N. Williams
M
19
Igor Jesus
83'
F
Igor Jesus
83'
F
29
D. Bakwa
64'
F
D. Bakwa
64'
F
9
T. Awoniyi
73'
F
T. Awoniyi
73'
F
Bench
51
Archie Whitehall
M
Archie Whitehall
M
11
C. Wood
22'
F
C. Wood
22'
F
17
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
F
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
F
61
Jimmy Sinclair
M
Jimmy Sinclair
M
24
J. McAtee
1 👟
12'
M
J. McAtee
1 👟
12'
M
20
Lorenzo Lucca
12'
F
Lorenzo Lucca
12'
F
21
Omari Hutchinson
31'
F
Omari Hutchinson
31'
F
22
R. Yates
50'
M
R. Yates
50'
M
27
S. Ortega
G
S. Ortega
G
1
N. Pope
G
N. Pope
G
33
Dan Burn
D
Dan Burn
D
4
S. Botman
D
S. Botman
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
M. Thiaw
D
3
L. Hall
D
L. Hall
D
39
Bruno Guimarães
M
Bruno Guimarães
M
8
S. Tonali
M
S. Tonali
M
7
Joelinton
M
Joelinton
M
27
Nick Woltemade
61'
M
Nick Woltemade
61'
M
23
J. Murphy
61'
M
J. Murphy
61'
M
18
William Osula
71'
F
William Osula
71'
F
Bench
32
Aaron Ramsdale
G
Aaron Ramsdale
G
20
A. Elanga
F
A. Elanga
F
10
A. Gordon
F
A. Gordon
F
37
A. Murphy
D
A. Murphy
D
11
H. Barnes
1 ⚽
34'
M
H. Barnes
1 ⚽
34'
M
41
J. Ramsey
1 👟
34'
M
J. Ramsey
1 👟
34'
M
28
J. Willock
M
J. Willock
M
2
K. Trippier
D
K. Trippier
D
9
Y. Wissa
24'
F
Y. Wissa
24'
F
Best on the pitch
E. Anderson
M · Nottingham
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 68 pass
H. Barnes
M · Newcastle
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Bruno Guimarães
M · Newcastle
7.50
4 shots
· 71 pass
L. Hall
D · Newcastle
7.50
· 59 pass
S. Botman
D · Newcastle
7.50
· 57 pass
L. Netz
M · Nottingham
7.30
· 20 pass
Nottingham Forest — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sels | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Morato | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Jair | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Milenković | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Netz | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | M | 95 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Domínguez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Williams | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Bakwa | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| T. Awoniyi | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Wood | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. McAtee | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Lucca | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Omari Hutchinson | F | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Yates | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pope | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Dan Burn | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Botman | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Thiaw | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Hall | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 71 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Joelinton | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Nick Woltemade | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Murphy | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| William Osula | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 34 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Ramsey | M | 34 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
The final score was Nottingham Forest 1–1 Newcastle.
What did the model predict before Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Nottingham Forest win, 23% to a draw, and 24% to an Newcastle win.