Luka Smyth
(ast. Nicholas Tsaroulla)
78'
Luka Smyth
84'
(pen.)
22'
(ast. Jack Armer)
F. Delap
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Notts County a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Burton Albion 30%). The final result was Notts County 2–1 Burton Albion.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
2
8
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
6
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
1
16
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
22'
ast. Jack Armer ·
F. Delap⚽
34'
Curtis Tilt
Rory Finneran
36'
Jack Evans
/ Luka Smyth
45'
51'
Jack Armer
52'
Sulyman Krubally
62'
Will Collar
/
Sulyman Krubally
62'
Tyrese Shade
/
Zac Scutt
65'
George Evans
Darius Lipsiuc
/ Maziar Kouhyar
66'
Callum Roberts
/ Conor·Grant
66'
⚽Luka Smyth
· ast. Nicholas Tsaroulla
78'
83'
Curtis Tilt
⚽Luka Smyth
(pen.)
84'
87'
Kain Adom
/
George Evans
Nicholas Tsaroulla
/ Ishé Samuels-Smith
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.96%
Notts ←
31.19%
X
30.86%
Burton
we assigned to the actual result (Notts County)
37.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
—
—
0.73
—
—
Lineups
1
J. Belshaw
G
J. Belshaw
G
4
J. Bedeau
D
J. Bedeau
D
12
L. Ness
D
L. Ness
D
2
J. Gibbons
D
J. Gibbons
D
14
D. Lipsiuc
66'
M
D. Lipsiuc
66'
M
15
J. Evans
45'
M
J. Evans
45'
M
27
R. Finneran
M
R. Finneran
M
25
N. Tsaroulla
1 👟
89'
M
N. Tsaroulla
1 👟
89'
M
7
C. Roberts
66'
M
C. Roberts
66'
M
42
H. Mustapha
M
H. Mustapha
M
8
O. Cooper
F
O. Cooper
F
Bench
11
C. Grant
24'
M
C. Grant
24'
M
21
H. Griffiths
G
H. Griffiths
G
26
I. Samuels-Smith
1'
D
I. Samuels-Smith
1'
D
19
L. Smyth
2 ⚽
45'
F
L. Smyth
2 ⚽
45'
F
17
Maziar Kouhyar
24'
M
Maziar Kouhyar
24'
M
44
M. Baker
D
M. Baker
D
34
C. Addai
G
C. Addai
G
16
C. Tilt
83'
D
C. Tilt
83'
D
26
F. Delap
1 ⚽
D
F. Delap
1 ⚽
D
6
T. Sibbick
D
3
J. Armer
1 👟
M
J. Armer
1 👟
M
41
Sulyman Krubally
62'
M
Sulyman Krubally
62'
M
12
G. Evans
87'
M
G. Evans
87'
M
15
K. Lofthouse
M
K. Lofthouse
M
8
C. Webster
M
C. Webster
M
4
K. Chauke
M
K. Chauke
M
40
Zac Scutt
62'
F
Zac Scutt
62'
F
Bench
23
Emeka Adeile
D
Emeka Adeile
D
20
J. Sraha
D
J. Sraha
D
27
K. Dudek
G
K. Dudek
G
10
T. Shade
28'
F
T. Shade
28'
F
14
W. Collar
28'
M
W. Collar
28'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Smyth
F · Notts
8.20
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 8 pass
N. Tsaroulla
M · Notts
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 37 pass
F. Delap
D · Burton
7.02
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
J. Armer
M · Burton
6.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 22 pass
J. Evans
M · Notts
6.84
· 15 pass
L. Ness
D · Notts
6.69
2 shots
· 86 pass
Notts County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Belshaw | G | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bedeau | D | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ness | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 75% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Gibbons | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Lipsiuc | M | 66 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Evans | M | 45 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Finneran | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Tsaroulla | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Roberts | M | 66 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Mustapha | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Cooper | F | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 6 | — | — |
| C. Grant | M | 24 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Samuels-Smith | D | 1 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Smyth | F | 45 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 5 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Maziar Kouhyar | M | 24 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
Burton Albion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Addai | G | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Tilt | D | 83 | 5.15 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 27% | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| F. Delap | D | 90 | 7.02 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Sibbick | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Armer | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sulyman Krubally | M | 62 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Evans | M | 87 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Lofthouse | M | 90 | 5.67 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Webster | M | 90 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Chauke | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Zac Scutt | F | 62 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Shade | F | 28 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Collar | M | 28 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Notts County vs Burton Albion?
The final score was Notts County 2–1 Burton Albion.
What did the model predict before Notts County vs Burton Albion?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Notts County win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Burton Albion win.