← League Two

Notts County - Chesterfield

League Two May 15, 2026 21:00
Notts County
#5 · 80 pts
vs
Chesterfield
#6 · 79 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.47%
Win
Notts County
26.97%
Draw
34.56%
Win
Chesterfield
1.41
Expected xG
1.41

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Notts County a 38% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Chesterfield. Expected goals are 1.4 for Notts County and 1.4 for Chesterfield (total 2.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.8% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Notts County have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Chesterfield.

Score Matrix
↕ Notts County Chesterfield →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9% 8.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.4% 11.8% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% —
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Notts County Notts County
W Chesterfield 0–1
D Bristol Rovers 1–1
W Colchester 0–1
L Barnet 1–2
L Cambridge United 4–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 27%
Chesterfield Chesterfield
L Notts County 0–1
W Swindon Town 1–2
W Crewe 2–0
D Fleetwood Town 1–1
W Grimsby 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 29%
Playing profile
Notts County Notts County
Attack
28
Defence
73
Form
54
Chesterfield Chesterfield
Attack
31
Defence
77
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Notts County
0
Draw
2
Chesterfield
W 10 May 2026 League Two 1–0
L 14 Mar 2026 League Two 2–3
L 26 Dec 2025 League Two 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Bromley Bromley 46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 46 86
3 Cambridge United Cambridge United 46 82
4 Salford City Salford City 46 81
5 Notts County Notts County 46 80
6 Chesterfield Chesterfield 46 79
7 Grimsby Grimsby 46 78
8 Barnet Barnet 46 76
9 Swindon Town Swindon Town 46 75
10 Oldham Oldham 46 68
11 Crewe Crewe 46 67
12 Colchester Colchester 46 66
13 Walsall Walsall 46 65
14 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 46 62
15 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 46 61
16 Accrington ST Accrington ST 46 53
17 Gillingham Gillingham 46 53
18 Cheltenham Cheltenham 46 52
19 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 46 49
20 Newport County Newport County 46 43
21 Tranmere Tranmere 46 41
22 Crawley Town Crawley Town 46 40
23 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 46 39
24 Barrow Barrow 46 36
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Notts County vs Chesterfield?
The model gives Notts County a 38% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 34% for an Chesterfield win.
How many goals are expected in Notts County vs Chesterfield?
Expected goals: Notts County 1.4, Chesterfield 1.4 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Notts County vs Chesterfield?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.