C. Grant
81'
62'
(ast. S. Braybrooke)
J. Joseph
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Notts County 32%). The final result was Notts County 1–1 Leicester.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
2
2.27
Actual xG
0.78
31%
Possession
69%
3
Corners
5
Match Events
J. Evans
15'
M. Paterson
21'
J. Gibbons
43'
44'
W. Alves
62'
ast. S. Braybrooke ·
J. Joseph⚽
L. Smyth
/ E. Acquah
67'
J. Evans
/ C. Grant
67'
C. Roberts
/ H. Mustapha
67'
70'
T. Watson
/
W. Burns
71'
H. Choudhury
/
B. De Cordova-Reid
77'
H. Howell
/
W. Alves
⚽C. Grant
81'
D. Campbell
/ S. Robertson
83'
84'
A. Bristric
/
L. Cullen
Pre-match prediction
32.12%
Notts
32.45%
X ←
35.43%
Leicester
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
2.27
+0.98
0.96
0.78
-0.18
Notts County dominated by xG (2.27 vs 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Notts County vs Leicester?
The final score was Notts County 1–1 Leicester.
What did the model predict before Notts County vs Leicester?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Notts County win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Leicester win.