Notts County 1–1 Leicester — pre-match prediction — League One — August 15, 2026

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League One · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 13:30

Notts County

#13 · 7 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Leicester

#19 · 5 pts

C. Grant 81'

62' (ast. S. Braybrooke) J. Joseph

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leicester a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Notts County 32%). The final result was Notts County 1–1 Leicester.

Match statistics

Shots on target

2.27

Actual xG

0.78

31%

Possession

69%

Corners

Match Events

J. Evans

15'

M. Paterson

21'

J. Gibbons

43'

44'

W. Alves

62'

ast. S. Braybrooke · J. Joseph⚽

↕ L. Smyth / E. Acquah

67'

↕ J. Evans / C. Grant

67'

↕ C. Roberts / H. Mustapha

67'

70'

T. Watson / W. Burns ↕

71'

H. Choudhury / B. De Cordova-Reid ↕

77'

H. Howell / W. Alves ↕

⚽C. Grant

81'

↕ D. Campbell / S. Robertson

83'

84'

A. Bristric / L. Cullen ↕

Pre-match prediction

32.12%

Notts

32.45%

X ←

35.43%

Leicester

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.45% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Notts

1.29

2.27

+0.98

Leicester

0.96

0.78

-0.18

Notts County dominated by xG (2.27 vs 0.78). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Sheffield Wednesday	5	12
2	Bradford	6	12
3	Huddersfield	5	11
4	Stockport County	5	9
5	Stevenage	6	9
6	Burton Albion	5	8
7	Cambridge United	5	8
8	Luton	6	8
9	Reading	4	7
10	Leyton Orient	6	7
11	Oxford United	4	7
12	Blackpool	5	7
13	Notts County	6	7
14	Plymouth	5	7
15	Barnsley	5	7
16	AFC Wimbledon	5	7
17	Mansfield Town	5	6
18	Wycombe	6	6
19	Leicester	5	5
20	Milton Keynes Dons	5	4
21	Peterborough	5	4
22	Bromley	5	4
23	Doncaster	5	3
24	Wigan	5	3