D. Kanu
38'
(pen.)
Darius Lipsiuc
(ast. Rory Finneran)
81'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sheffield Wednesday a 44% win probability (draw 30%, Notts County 24%). The final result was Notts County 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
0
2.41
Actual xG
0.30
0
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
0
20
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
14'
Gabriel·Otegbayo
/
Di'Shon Bernard
15'
Callum Slattery
Luka Smyth
34'
⚽D. Kanu
(pen.)
38'
Conor·Grant
45'+2
45'
Ali Al-Hamadi
/
Callum Slattery
50'
Jamal Lowe
56'
Billy Mitchell
/
Barry Bannan
56'
Max Lowe
/
Reece James
Luka Smyth
/ lee ndlovu
63'
Nicholas Tsaroulla
/ Callum Roberts
63'
Conor·Grant
/ Darius Lipsiuc
71'
Scott Robertson
/ Max Sanders
71'
78'
Kieran Morrison
/
Gabriel·Otegbayo
D. Kanu
/ Jack Evans
80'
⚽Darius Lipsiuc
· ast. Rory Finneran
81'
89'
Jaden Heskey
Pre-match prediction
24.86%
Notts ←
30.66%
X
44.48%
Sheffield
we assigned to the actual result (Notts County)
24.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.51
2.41
+1.9
1.25
0.30
-0.95
Notts County dominated by xG (2.41 vs 0.30).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Gibbons
G
J. Gibbons
G
4
J. Bedeau
D
J. Bedeau
D
3
R. McDonald
D
R. McDonald
D
12
L. Ness
D
L. Ness
D
26
I. Samuels-Smith
M
I. Samuels-Smith
M
20
S. Robertson
71'
M
S. Robertson
71'
M
27
R. Finneran
1 👟
M
R. Finneran
1 👟
M
25
N. Tsaroulla
63'
M
N. Tsaroulla
63'
M
11
C. Grant
71'
M
C. Grant
71'
M
19
L. Smyth
63'
M
L. Smyth
63'
M
9
D. Kanu
1 ⚽
80'
F
D. Kanu
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
7
C. Roberts
27'
F
C. Roberts
27'
F
14
D. Lipsiuc
1 ⚽
19'
M
D. Lipsiuc
1 ⚽
19'
M
15
J. Evans
10'
M
J. Evans
10'
M
2
J. Gibbons
D
J. Gibbons
D
39
L. Ndlovu
27'
F
L. Ndlovu
27'
F
6
M. Sanders
19'
M
M. Sanders
19'
M
10
R. Longelo-Mbule
M
R. Longelo-Mbule
M
13
A. Maynard-Brewer
G
A. Maynard-Brewer
G
33
R. James
56'
D
R. James
56'
D
6
L. Cooper
D
L. Cooper
D
5
D. Bernard
14'
D
D. Bernard
14'
D
7
Y. Valery
D
Y. Valery
D
18
Jaden Heskey
M
Jaden Heskey
M
10
B. Bannan
56'
M
B. Bannan
56'
M
24
H. Gray
M
H. Gray
M
50
D. Keillor-Dunn
M
D. Keillor-Dunn
M
8
C. Slattery
45'
M
C. Slattery
45'
M
9
J. Lowe
50'
F
J. Lowe
50'
F
Bench
12
Ali Al Hamadi
45'
F
Ali Al Hamadi
45'
F
16
B. Mitchell
34'
M
B. Mitchell
34'
M
27
C. Trueman
G
C. Trueman
G
22
G. Otegbayo
64'
D
G. Otegbayo
64'
D
20
K. Morrison
12'
M
K. Morrison
12'
M
2
L. Palmer
D
L. Palmer
D
3
M. Lowe
34'
D
M. Lowe
34'
D
Best on the pitch
D. Lipsiuc
M · Notts
7.94
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
R. Finneran
M · Notts
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 48 pass
J. Bedeau
D · Notts
7.45
· 47 pass
R. McDonald
D · Notts
7.28
· 43 pass
D. Kanu
F · Notts
7.27
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 13 pass
L. Ness
D · Notts
7.24
1 shots
· 39 pass
Notts County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gibbons | G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bedeau | D | 90 | 7.45 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| R. McDonald | D | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ness | D | 90 | 7.24 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Samuels-Smith | M | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Robertson | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Finneran | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 48 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Tsaroulla | M | 63 | 7.04 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Grant | M | 71 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Smyth | M | 63 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Kanu | F | 80 | 7.27 | 1 | — | 5 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Roberts | F | 27 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Lipsiuc | M | 19 | 7.94 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Evans | M | 10 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ndlovu | F | 27 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sanders | M | 19 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Maynard-Brewer | G | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| R. James | D | 56 | 5.44 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Cooper | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Bernard | D | 14 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Valery | D | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Jaden Heskey | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Bannan | M | 56 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Gray | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Keillor-Dunn | M | 90 | 5.79 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 45 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Lowe | F | 50 | 5.49 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Ali Al Hamadi | F | 45 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Mitchell | M | 34 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Otegbayo | D | 64 | 5.46 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Morrison | M | 12 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lowe | D | 34 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The final score was Notts County 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday.
What did the model predict before Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Notts County win, 30% to a draw, and 44% to an Sheffield Wednesday win.