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← Serie C - Girone A

Novara - Ospitaletto

Serie C - Girone A September 26, 2026 17:30
Novara
#13 · 6 pts
vs
Ospitaletto
#4 · 11 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.71%
Win
Novara
33.64%
Draw
35.65%
Win
Ospitaletto
0.82
Expected xG
1.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (15.91%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 34%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 69%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ospitaletto a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Novara. Expected goals are 0.8 for Novara and 1.2 for Ospitaletto (total 2.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.91% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Novara have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ospitaletto.

Season Stats

Novara
4W 5D 6L
Ospitaletto
6W 5D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.4
1.2
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
47%
O 2.5
47%
47%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie C - Girone A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Novara
2W 5D 3L · at home
Ospitaletto
1W 6D 3L · away
1.4
gls/g
0.8
1.3
Conceded
1.2
20%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
70%
O 1.5
50%
60%
O 2.5
40%
50%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
30%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Novara Ospitaletto →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7% 16.1% 9.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.2% 13.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Novara Novara
D Athletic Carpi 2–2
D Lumezzane 0–0
L Pergolettese 0–1
W Renate 1–2
D Folgore Caratese 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Ospitaletto Ospitaletto
L Cittadella 0–1
D Athletic Carpi 2–2
W Juventus U23 3–0
W Arzignano Valchiampo 3–1
D Albinoleffe 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Novara Novara
Attack
22
Defence
63
Form
35
Ospitaletto Ospitaletto
Attack
34
Defence
67
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Novara
0
Draw
1
Ospitaletto
25 Apr 2026 Serie C - Girone A 2–0
21 Dec 2025 Serie C - Girone A 0–3

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Cittadella Cittadella 6 18
2 Union Brescia Union Brescia 6 14
3 Trento Trento 6 12
4 Ospitaletto Ospitaletto 6 11
5 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 6 10
6 Alcione Alcione 6 9
7 Treviso Treviso 6 9
8 Dolomiti Bellunesi Dolomiti Bellunesi 6 9
9 Albinoleffe Albinoleffe 6 8
10 Lumezzane Lumezzane 6 8
11 Lecco Lecco 6 8
12 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 6 6
13 Novara Novara 6 6
14 Desenzano Calvina Desenzano Calvina 6 6
15 Pergolettese Pergolettese 6 6
16 Juventus U23 Juventus U23 6 5
17 PRO Vercelli PRO Vercelli 6 5
18 Folgore Caratese Folgore Caratese 6 3
19 Giana Erminio Giana Erminio 6 2
20 Renate Renate 6 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Novara vs Ospitaletto?
The model gives Novara a 30% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 35% for an Ospitaletto win.
How many goals are expected in Novara vs Ospitaletto?
Expected goals: Novara 0.8, Ospitaletto 1.2 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Novara vs Ospitaletto?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.91%.