Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 23 August 21, 2026 01:30

Novorizontino

#2 · 49 pts

3 – 0

Final score

America Mineiro

#19 · 17 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Novorizontino

Patrick (ast. Diego Mathias) 23'

Robson 81'

Carlao (ast. Luis Oyama) 90'+1

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 65% win probability (draw 22%, America Mineiro 12%). The final result was Novorizontino 3–0 America Mineiro. In 1 previous meetings, Novorizontino have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for America Mineiro.

Match statistics

8

Shots on target

2

3.60

Actual xG

0.30

50%

Possession

50%

13

Corners

2

Match Events

17'

Paulo Victor

Madson

19'

⚽Patrick · ast. Diego Mathias

23'

33'

Manoel

⚽Romulo (missed pen.)

39'

46'

Guilherme Parede / Gonzalo Mastriani ↕

46'

Jorge Jimenez / Manoel ↕

66'

R. Pineiro / Yago Souza ↕

↕ Reidiney / Juninho

67'

↕ Diego Mathias / Vinicius Paiva

67'

Patrick

71'

77'

F. Elizari / Willian Bigode ↕

⚽Robson

81'

↕ Robson / Nicolas Careca

82'

↕ Romulo / Carlao

82'

84'

Felipe Amaral / Gustavo Barreto ↕

Nicolas Careca

86'

↕ Leo Naldi / Marlon

89'

⚽Carlao · ast. Luis Oyama

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

65.46%

Novorizontino ←

22.3%

X

12.25%

America

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino) 65.46% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Novorizontino

1.68

3.60

+1.92

America

0.52

0.30

-0.22

Novorizontino dominated by xG (3.60 vs 0.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Juventude	27	50
2	Novorizontino	27	49
3	Vila Nova	27	47
4	Fortaleza EC	27	47
5	Criciuma	27	47
6	Operario-PR	27	43
7	Atletico Goianiense	27	43
8	CRB	27	42
9	Sport Recife	27	41
10	Cuiaba	27	39
11	Nautico Recife	27	37
12	Athletic Club	27	37
13	Goias	27	36
14	São Bernardo	27	35
15	Botafogo SP	27	31
16	Ceara	27	31
17	Avai	27	29
18	Londrina	27	25
19	America Mineiro	27	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	10