Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 8
May 11, 2026 00:30
Robson
(ast. Vinicius Paiva)
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 37% win probability (draw 33%, Botafogo SP 28%). The final result was Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo SP.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
1
1.02
Actual xG
0.20
1
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
1
22
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Luis Oyama
/ Juninho
21'
Helio Borges
/ Carlao
46'
55'
Guilherme Queiroz
/
Luizao
⚽Robson
· ast. Vinicius Paiva
57'
65'
Thiago Moraes
/
Rafael Gava
65'
Marcio Maranhao
/
Ze Hugo
71'
Wesley Santos
/
Kelvin
71'
Hebert
/
Guilherme Mariano
76'
Marcio Maranhao
Vinicius Paiva
/ Marlon
83'
Robson
/ Ronald Barcellos
83'
Carlinhos
87'
Leo Naldi
90'+1
Romulo
90'+1
Romulo
/ Diego Galo
90'+2
90'+4
Matheus Sales
Diego Galo
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
37.07%
Novorizontino ←
33.94%
X
28.99%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino)
37.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
1.02
-0.2
0.97
0.20
-0.77
Novorizontino dominated by xG (1.02 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
César
G
César
G
66
Maykon
D
Maykon
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
3
Carlinhos
D
Carlinhos
D
21
Alemão
D
18
Léo Naldi
M
Léo Naldi
M
6
Luis Oyama
21'
M
Luis Oyama
21'
M
16
Vinicius Paiva
1 👟
83'
M
Vinicius Paiva
1 👟
83'
M
10
Romulo
89'
M
Romulo
89'
M
77
Hélio Borges
45'
M
Hélio Borges
45'
M
11
Robson
1 ⚽
83'
F
Robson
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
22
A. Alvariño
M
A. Alvariño
M
9
Carlão
45'
F
Carlão
45'
F
8
C. Ortíz
F
C. Ortíz
F
19
Diego Galo
1'
M
35
Hector Bianchi Rodrigues
F
Hector Bianchi Rodrigues
F
40
Jardiel
M
Jardiel
M
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
50
Juninho
69'
M
Juninho
69'
M
28
Marlon
15'
M
Marlon
15'
M
20
N. Castrillón
D
N. Castrillón
D
33
Renato Silveira
D
Renato Silveira
D
7
Ronald Barcellos
15'
F
12
Jordan
G
Jordan
G
6
Patrick Brey
D
Patrick Brey
D
4
Vilar
D
Vilar
D
15
Guilherme Mariano
71'
D
Guilherme Mariano
71'
D
22
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
8
Everton Morelli
M
Everton Morelli
M
16
Matheus Sales
M
Matheus Sales
M
7
Kelvin
71'
M
Kelvin
71'
M
10
Rafael Gava
65'
M
Rafael Gava
65'
M
30
Zé Hugo
65'
M
Zé Hugo
65'
M
21
Luizão
55'
F
Luizão
55'
F
Bench
33
Badaró
19'
D
Badaró
19'
D
25
Brenno
G
Brenno
G
26
Felipe Vieira
D
Felipe Vieira
D
17
Guilherme Queiróz
35'
F
Guilherme Queiróz
35'
F
11
Jefferson Nem
F
Jefferson Nem
F
19
Márcio Carlos Maranhão
25'
F
Márcio Carlos Maranhão
25'
F
28
Marco Antonio Batistussi
M
Marco Antonio Batistussi
M
20
Marquinho
M
Marquinho
M
31
Pedrinho
D
Pedrinho
D
29
Thiago Moraes
25'
M
Thiago Moraes
25'
M
23
Wesley Pinheiro
19'
F
Wesley Pinheiro
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Patrick
D · Novorizontino
7.60
· 50 pass
Maykon
D · Novorizontino
7.50
· 32 pass
Vinicius Paiva
M · Novorizontino
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
Carlinhos
D · Novorizontino
7.30
· 41 pass
Everton Morelli
M · Botafogo
7.30
· 29 pass
Vilar
D · Botafogo
7.30
1 shots
· 76 pass
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Maykon | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlinhos | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alemão | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Léo Naldi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Luis Oyama | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Paiva | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Romulo | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Hélio Borges | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Robson | F | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego Galo | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Juninho | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Barcellos | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Brey | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Vilar | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| Guilherme Mariano | D | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Inocêncio | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Everton Morelli | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kelvin | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Gava | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Zé Hugo | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Luizão | F | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Badaró | D | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Queiróz | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Márcio Carlos Maranhão | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Moraes | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Wesley Pinheiro | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
The final score was Novorizontino 1–0 Botafogo SP.
What did the model predict before Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Novorizontino win, 33% to a draw, and 28% to an Botafogo SP win.