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← Brasileirão Série B
Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 10 May 23, 2026 21:00
Novorizontino
#2 · 49 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Ceara
#16 · 31 pts
Matheus Bianqui (ast. Romulo) 7'
Juninho 87'
44' (ast. Fernandinho) Melk
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Ceara 27%). The final result was Novorizontino 2–1 Ceara.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
0.81
Actual xG
0.41
0
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
2
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Matheus Bianqui · ast. Romulo
7'
27'
Julio Cesar
44'
ast. Fernandinho · Melk⚽
46'
R. Ramos / Gustavo Prado ↕
46'
Sanchez / Fernando ↕
↕ Leo Naldi / Juninho
46'
65'
Wendel Silva / Melk ↕
65'
Matheusinho / Matheus Araujo ↕
↕ Vinicius Paiva / Ronald Barcellos
66'
N. Castrillon
67'
75'
Juan Alano / Diego ↕
↕ Tavinho / Carlao
75'
↕ N. Castrillon / Kauan Alemao
75'
79'
Sanchez
83'
Bruno Ferreira
⚽Juninho
87'
90'+5
R. Ramos
Pre-match prediction
38.45%
Novorizontino ←
34.2%
X
27.35%
Ceara
we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino) 38.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Novorizontino
1.26
0.81
-0.45
Ceara
0.94
0.41
-0.53
Novorizontino dominated by xG (0.81 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Juventude Juventude 27 50
2 Novorizontino Novorizontino 27 49
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 27 47
4 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 27 47
5 Criciuma Criciuma 27 47
6 Operario-PR Operario-PR 27 43
7 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 27 43
8 CRB CRB 27 42
9 Sport Recife Sport Recife 27 41
10 Cuiaba Cuiaba 27 39
11 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 27 37
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 27 37
13 Goias Goias 27 36
14 São Bernardo São Bernardo 27 35
15 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 27 31
16 Ceara Ceara 27 31
17 Avai Avai 27 29
18 Londrina Londrina 27 25
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 27 17
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 27 10
Lineups
Novorizontino Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
93 Jordi Jordi G 6.20
66 Maykon Maykon D 6.30
4 Patrick Patrick D 6.90
3 Carlinhos Carlinhos D 6.90
20 Nilson Castrillón Nilson Castrillón 76' D 6.30
18 Léo Naldi Léo Naldi 45' M 6.20
17 Matheus Bianqui Matheus Bianqui 1 ⚽ M 7.70
16 Vinícius Vinícius 66' M 6.60
10 Romulo Romulo 1 👟 M 7.00
15 Tavinho Tavinho 75' M 6.50
11 Robson Robson F 6.50
Bench
22 A. Alvariño A. Alvariño M
21 Alemão Alemão 18' D 6.90
9 Carlão Carlão 19' F 6.50
31 César César G
8 Christian Ortíz Christian Ortíz F
19 Diego Galo Diego Galo M
77 Hélio Borges Hélio Borges F
40 Jardiel Jardiel M
50 Juninho Juninho 1 ⚽ 49' M 7.30
28 Marlon Marlon M
33 Renato Silveira Renato Silveira D
7 Ronald Barcellos Ronald Barcellos 28' F 6.90
Ceara Ceara 4-2-3-1
94 Bruno Ferreira Bruno Ferreira G 5.90
17 Fernando Fernando 45' D 6.20
4 Luiz Otávio Luiz Otávio D 6.60
33 Éder Éder D 6.30
18 Júlio Júlio D 6.20
20 Dieguinho Dieguinho 75' M 6.90
81 Joao Gabriel Joao Gabriel M 6.20
8 Matheus Araújo Matheus Araújo 65' M 6.90
40 Melk Melk 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.00
30 Gustavo Prado Gustavo Prado 45' M 6.20
11 Fernandinho Fernandinho 1 👟 F 6.60
Bench
60 Enzo Enzo F
41 G. Dias G. Dias G
35 Giulio Giulio F
10 Juan Alano Juan Alano 19' F 6.30
31 Lucas Lima Lucas Lima M
98 Matheusinho Matheusinho 29' M 6.50
80 Pedro Esli da Silva Pedro Esli da Silva M
63 Pedro Gilmar Pedro Gilmar D
2 Rafael Ramos Rafael Ramos 49' D 6.50
12 Sanchez Sanchez 33' D 6.20
9 Wendel Wendel 29' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Matheus Bianqui
Matheus Bianqui
M · Novorizontino
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots · 37 pass
Juninho
Juninho
M · Novorizontino
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
Romulo
Romulo
M · Novorizontino
7.00
1 👟
· 28 pass
Melk
Melk
M · Ceara
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
Patrick
Patrick
D · Novorizontino
6.90
· 55 pass
Carlinhos
Carlinhos
D · Novorizontino
6.90
· 46 pass
Novorizontino Novorizontino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jordi G 94 6.20 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Maykon D 94 6.30 — — 1 31 20% — — —
Patrick D 94 6.90 — — — 55 49% — — —
Carlinhos D 94 6.90 — — — 46 40% 3 — —
Nilson Castrillón D 76 6.30 — — — 39 31% — 1 —
Léo Naldi M 45 6.20 — — — 13 9% — — —
Matheus Bianqui M 94 7.70 1 — 5 37 30% 4 — —
Vinícius M 66 6.60 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
Romulo M 94 7.00 — 1 — 28 25% — — —
Tavinho M 75 6.50 — — 2 24 14% 1 — —
Robson F 94 6.50 — — 2 14 9% 3 — —
Alemão D 18 6.90 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
Carlão F 19 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Juninho M 49 7.30 1 — 3 23 20% — — —
Ronald Barcellos F 28 6.90 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Ceara Ceara — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Bruno Ferreira G 94 5.90 — — — 43 36% — 1 —
Fernando D 45 6.20 — — — 20 17% — — —
Luiz Otávio D 94 6.60 — — — 79 68% 1 — —
Éder D 94 6.30 — — 1 73 65% — — —
Júlio D 94 6.20 — — — 33 29% 3 1 —
Dieguinho M 75 6.90 — — — 36 34% 2 — —
Joao Gabriel M 94 6.20 — — — 17 12% — — —
Matheus Araújo M 65 6.90 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
Melk M 65 7.00 1 — 2 17 11% — — —
Gustavo Prado M 45 6.20 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
Fernandinho F 94 6.60 — 1 1 13 7% 3 — —
Juan Alano F 19 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Matheusinho M 29 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Rafael Ramos D 49 6.50 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Sanchez D 33 6.20 — — — 13 7% 2 — 1
Wendel F 29 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Ceara?
The final score was Novorizontino 2–1 Ceara.
What did the model predict before Novorizontino vs Ceara?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Novorizontino win, 34% to a draw, and 27% to an Ceara win.