Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 10
May 23, 2026 21:00
Matheus Bianqui
(ast. Romulo)
7'
Juninho
87'
44'
(ast. Fernandinho)
Melk
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 38% win probability (draw 34%, Ceara 27%). The final result was Novorizontino 2–1 Ceara. In 1 previous meetings, Novorizontino have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ceara.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
0.81
Actual xG
0.41
0
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
2
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Matheus Bianqui
· ast. Romulo
7'
27'
Julio Cesar
44'
ast. Fernandinho ·
Melk⚽
46'
R. Ramos
/
Gustavo Prado
46'
Sanchez
/
Fernando
Leo Naldi
/ Juninho
46'
65'
Wendel Silva
/
Melk
65'
Matheusinho
/
Matheus Araujo
Vinicius Paiva
/ Ronald Barcellos
66'
N. Castrillon
67'
75'
Juan Alano
/
Diego
Tavinho
/ Carlao
75'
N. Castrillon
/ Kauan Alemao
75'
79'
Sanchez
83'
Bruno Ferreira
⚽Juninho
87'
90'+5
R. Ramos
Pre-match prediction
38.45%
Novorizontino ←
34.2%
X
27.35%
Ceara
we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino)
38.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.81
-0.45
0.94
0.41
-0.53
Novorizontino dominated by xG (0.81 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
66
Maykon
D
Maykon
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
3
Carlinhos
D
Carlinhos
D
20
Nilson Castrillón
76'
D
Nilson Castrillón
76'
D
18
Léo Naldi
45'
M
Léo Naldi
45'
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
1 ⚽
M
Matheus Bianqui
1 ⚽
M
16
Vinícius
66'
M
Vinícius
66'
M
10
Romulo
1 👟
M
Romulo
1 👟
M
15
Tavinho
75'
M
Tavinho
75'
M
11
Robson
F
Robson
F
Bench
22
A. Alvariño
M
A. Alvariño
M
21
Alemão
18'
D
Alemão
18'
D
9
Carlão
19'
F
Carlão
19'
F
31
César
G
César
G
8
C. Ortíz
F
C. Ortíz
F
19
Diego Galo
M
Diego Galo
M
77
Hélio Borges
F
Hélio Borges
F
40
Jardiel Maciel Libertino da Silva
M
Jardiel Maciel Libertino da Silva
M
50
Juninho
1 ⚽
49'
M
Juninho
1 ⚽
49'
M
28
Marlon
M
Marlon
M
33
Renato Silveira
D
Renato Silveira
D
7
Ronald Barcellos
28'
F
Ronald Barcellos
28'
F
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
Bruno Ferreira
G
17
Fernando
45'
D
Fernando
45'
D
4
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
18
Júlio
D
Júlio
D
20
Dieguinho
75'
M
Dieguinho
75'
M
81
Joao Gabriel
M
Joao Gabriel
M
8
Matheus Araújo
65'
M
Matheus Araújo
65'
M
40
Melk
1 ⚽
65'
M
Melk
1 ⚽
65'
M
30
Gustavo Prado
45'
M
Gustavo Prado
45'
M
11
Fernandinho
1 👟
F
Fernandinho
1 👟
F
Bench
60
Enzo
F
Enzo
F
41
G. Dias
G
G. Dias
G
35
Giulio
F
Giulio
F
10
Juan Alano
19'
F
Juan Alano
19'
F
31
Lucas Lima
M
Lucas Lima
M
98
Matheusinho
29'
M
Matheusinho
29'
M
63
Pedro Gilmar
D
Pedro Gilmar
D
80
P. Esli
M
P. Esli
M
2
Rafael Ramos
49'
D
Rafael Ramos
49'
D
12
Sanchez
33'
D
Sanchez
33'
D
9
Wendel
29'
F
Wendel
29'
F
Best on the pitch
Matheus Bianqui
M · Novorizontino
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 37 pass
Juninho
M · Novorizontino
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Romulo
M · Novorizontino
7.00
1 👟
· 28 pass
Melk
M · Ceara
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Patrick
D · Novorizontino
6.90
· 55 pass
Carlinhos
D · Novorizontino
6.90
· 46 pass
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi | G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Maykon | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Carlinhos | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Nilson Castrillón | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Naldi | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bianqui | M | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 5 | 37 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Vinícius | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Romulo | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Tavinho | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Robson | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Alemão | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 49 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Barcellos | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Ferreira | G | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Fernando | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Otávio | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 79 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Éder | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 65% | — | — | — |
| Júlio | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Joao Gabriel | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Araújo | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Melk | M | 65 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Prado | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 94 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Alano | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matheusinho | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Ramos | D | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Sanchez | D | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Wendel | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Ceara?
The final score was Novorizontino 2–1 Ceara.
What did the model predict before Novorizontino vs Ceara?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Novorizontino win, 34% to a draw, and 27% to an Ceara win.