Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 19
July 22, 2026 00:30
82'
(ast. Cesar Martins)
Diego Goncalves
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Criciuma 25%). The final result was Novorizontino 0–1 Criciuma.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
1
1.00
Actual xG
0.78
0
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
7
15
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
45'+1
Luciano Castan
46'
Caue Santos
/
Fellipe Mateus
Luis Oyama
56'
Reidiney
/ Juninho
62'
64'
Ronald Lopes
/
R. Otero
65'
Joao Carlos
/
Waguininho
Luis Oyama
/ Ronald Barcellos
72'
Vinicius Paiva
/ Leo Naldi
72'
Ivan Alvarino
74'
81'
Diego Goncalves
/
Eduardo
82'
ast. Cesar Martins ·
Diego Goncalves⚽
Romulo
/ Diego Mathias
84'
Matheus Bianqui
/ C. Ortiz
85'
Leo Naldi
87'
90'+4
Thiaguinho
/
Gui Lobo
Pre-match prediction
48.21%
Novorizontino
26.49%
X
25.3%
Criciuma ←
we assigned to the actual result (Criciuma)
25.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
1.00
-0.4
0.91
0.78
-0.13
xG dominance was balanced (1.00 – 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
66
Maykon
D
Maykon
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
3
Carlinhos
D
Carlinhos
D
22
A. Alvariño
D
A. Alvariño
D
10
Romulo
84'
M
Romulo
84'
M
6
Luis Oyama
72'
M
Luis Oyama
72'
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
85'
M
Matheus Bianqui
85'
M
16
Vinícius
72'
F
Vinícius
72'
F
9
Carlão
F
Carlão
F
41
Reidiney
62'
F
Reidiney
62'
F
Bench
21
Alemão
D
Alemão
D
31
César
G
César
G
8
C. Ortíz
12'
F
C. Ortíz
12'
F
27
Diego Mathias
13'
F
Diego Mathias
13'
F
14
Eduardo Brock
D
Eduardo Brock
D
24
J. Lora
D
J. Lora
D
50
Juninho
35'
M
Juninho
35'
M
18
Léo Naldi
25'
M
Léo Naldi
25'
M
28
Marlon
M
Marlon
M
30
Nicolas Careca
F
Nicolas Careca
F
7
Ronald Barcellos
25'
F
Ronald Barcellos
25'
F
15
Tavinho
F
Tavinho
F
70
Pedro
G
Pedro
G
4
Luciano Castán
D
Luciano Castán
D
3
Rodrigo
D
Rodrigo
D
37
César Martins
1 👟
D
César Martins
1 👟
D
22
Marcelo Hermes
M
Marcelo Hermes
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
M
Guilherme Lobo
M
5
Eduardo
81'
M
Eduardo
81'
M
97
Willean Lepo
M
Willean Lepo
M
7
Fellipe Mateus
45'
F
Fellipe Mateus
45'
F
13
Waguininho
65'
F
Waguininho
65'
F
91
R. Otero
64'
F
R. Otero
64'
F
Bench
1
Alisson
G
Alisson
G
34
Bruno Alves
D
Bruno Alves
D
88
Cauê
52'
F
Cauê
52'
F
77
Diego Gonçalves
1 ⚽
16'
F
Diego Gonçalves
1 ⚽
16'
F
31
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
10
Jhonata Robert
F
Jhonata Robert
F
21
João Carlos
32'
F
João Carlos
32'
F
9
Nicolas
F
Nicolas
F
11
Romarinho
F
Romarinho
F
14
Ronald
33'
M
Ronald
33'
M
50
Thiaguinho
3'
M
Thiaguinho
3'
M
Best on the pitch
Pedro
G · Criciuma
8.30
· 33 pass
Diego Gonçalves
F · Criciuma
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
Luis Oyama
M · Novorizontino
7.30
1 shots
· 36 pass
César Martins
D · Criciuma
7.30
1 👟
· 43 pass
Marcelo Hermes
M · Criciuma
7.30
· 30 pass
Romulo
M · Novorizontino
7.20
2 shots
· 28 pass
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi | G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Maykon | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Carlinhos | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| A. Alvariño | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Romulo | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Oyama | M | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Bianqui | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius | F | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Reidiney | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ortíz | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Mathias | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Léo Naldi | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ronald Barcellos | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro | G | 97 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Castán | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| César Martins | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcelo Hermes | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Guilherme Lobo | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Willean Lepo | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Fellipe Mateus | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Waguininho | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Otero | F | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauê | F | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Diego Gonçalves | F | 16 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| João Carlos | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiaguinho | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
The final score was Novorizontino 0–1 Criciuma.
What did the model predict before Novorizontino vs Criciuma?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Novorizontino win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Criciuma win.