Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 13
June 15, 2026 00:00
Juninho
(ast. Carlao)
67'
Robson
79'
31'
Dodo
(pen.)
76'
Dodo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Nautico Recife 34%). The final result was Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico Recife.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
5
1.75
Actual xG
1.28
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
4
Match Events
11'
Betao
12'
Matheus Bianqui
29'
31'
Dodo⚽
39'
Reginaldo
Diego Galo
/ Juninho
46'
Matheus Bianqui
/ Luis Oyama
46'
Vinicius Paiva
/ Carlao
63'
66'
Matheus Ribeiro
/
Reginaldo
66'
Junior Todinho
/
Victor Andrade
⚽Juninho
· ast. Carlao
67'
71'
Luiz Felipe
/
Leonai Souza
Jordi
74'
76'
(pen.)
Dodo⚽
⚽Robson
79'
86'
Felipe Saraiva
/
Junior Todinho
86'
Arnaldo
/
Igor Fernandes
N. Castrillon
/ Kauan Alemao
86'
Romulo
/ Tavinho
88'
Juninho
90'+3
90'+5
Derek
Pre-match prediction
39.55%
Novorizontino
26.46%
X ←
34.0%
Nautico
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
1.75
+0.18
1.56
1.28
-0.28
Novorizontino dominated by xG (1.75 vs 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Nautico Recife?
The final score was Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico Recife.
What did the model predict before Novorizontino vs Nautico Recife?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Novorizontino win, 26% to a draw, and 34% to an Nautico Recife win.