Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico Recife — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — June 15, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 13 June 15, 2026 00:00

Novorizontino

#2 · 49 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Nautico Recife

#11 · 37 pts

Juninho (ast. Carlao) 67'

Robson 79'

31' Dodo

(pen.) 76' Dodo

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Nautico Recife 34%). The final result was Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico Recife.

Match statistics

Shots on target

1.75

Actual xG

1.28

51%

Possession

49%

Corners

Match Events

11'

Betao

12'

Matheus Bianqui

29'

31'

Dodo⚽

39'

Reginaldo

↕ Diego Galo / Juninho

46'

↕ Matheus Bianqui / Luis Oyama

46'

↕ Vinicius Paiva / Carlao

63'

66'

Matheus Ribeiro / Reginaldo ↕

66'

Junior Todinho / Victor Andrade ↕

⚽Juninho · ast. Carlao

67'

71'

Luiz Felipe / Leonai Souza ↕

Jordi

74'

76'

(pen.) Dodo⚽

⚽Robson

79'

86'

Felipe Saraiva / Junior Todinho ↕

86'

Arnaldo / Igor Fernandes ↕

↕ N. Castrillon / Kauan Alemao

86'

↕ Romulo / Tavinho

88'

Juninho

90'+3

90'+5

Derek

Pre-match prediction

39.55%

Novorizontino

26.46%

X ←

34.0%

Nautico

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.46% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Novorizontino

1.58

1.75

+0.18

Nautico

1.56

1.28

-0.28

Novorizontino dominated by xG (1.75 vs 1.28). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Juventude	27	50
2	Novorizontino	27	49
3	Vila Nova	27	47
4	Fortaleza EC	27	47
5	Criciuma	27	47
6	Operario-PR	27	43
7	Atletico Goianiense	27	43
8	CRB	27	42
9	Sport Recife	27	41
10	Cuiaba	27	39
11	Nautico Recife	27	37
12	Athletic Club	27	37
13	Goias	27	36
14	São Bernardo	27	35
15	Botafogo SP	27	31
16	Ceara	27	31
17	Avai	27	29
18	Londrina	27	25
19	America Mineiro	27	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	10