Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 33
October 13, 2026 00:00
Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase, New Horizons
✓Model correct — prediction Novorizontino
Ronald Barcellos Arantes
(ast. Romulo Azevedo Simão)
11'
Juninho
25'
Romulo Azevedo Simão
45'+8
(pen.)
Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito
(ast. Luiz Otavio Maria)
81'
Eduardo Brock
90'
45'
(ast. Sergio Palacios)
Danilo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 93% win probability (draw 4%, Ponte Preta 2%). The final result was Novorizontino 5–1 Ponte Preta. In 1 previous meetings, Novorizontino have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ponte Preta.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
7
1.73
Actual xG
1.19
5
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
3
14
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Ronald Barcellos Arantes
· ast. Romulo Azevedo Simão
11'
⚽Juninho
25'
42'
Patrick Marcos de Sousa Freitas
43'
45'+1
Gustavo Felipe Almeida
45'+5
⚽Romulo Azevedo Simão
(pen.)
45'+8
45'
Felipe Di Mauro Reis Coutinho
/
Danilo Barcelos
45'
ast. Sergio Palacios ·
Danilo⚽
45'
Karl Vedova Junior
/
Juan Rodrigues Leopoldino
Romulo Azevedo Simão
/ Eduardo Brock
45'
Madson Ferreira dos Santos
51'
62'
Gustavo Felipe Almeida
Ronald Barcellos Arantes
/ Luiz Otavio Maria
67'
Nicolas Morês da Cruz
/ Maykon Kesley de Jesus Ramalho
67'
68'
Denis
69'
Gustavo Lopes Teles
/
Rodrigo·Souza
69'
Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade
/
Danilo
Madson Ferreira dos Santos
/ Alexis·Alvarino
79'
⚽Carlos Henrique de Moura Brito
· ast. Luiz Otavio Maria
81'
Juninho
/ Marlon
82'
84'
Gustavo Lopes Teles
85'
Emanuell Silva Ferreira
/
David da Hora
88'
Denis
90'+3
Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade
⚽Eduardo Brock
90'
Pre-match prediction
93.0%
Novorizontino ←
4.47%
X
2.54%
Ponte
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino)
93.0%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.14
1.73
-2.41
0.31
1.19
+0.88
Novorizontino dominated by xG (1.73 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
5
Sander
D
Sander
D
4
Patrick
43'
D
Patrick
43'
D
3
Carlinhos
D
Carlinhos
D
2
Madson
79'
D
Madson
79'
D
6
Luis Oyama
M
Luis Oyama
M
50
Juninho
1 ⚽
82'
M
Juninho
1 ⚽
82'
M
30
Nicolas Careca
67'
M
Nicolas Careca
67'
M
10
Romulo
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
Romulo
1 ⚽
1 👟
45'
M
7
Ronald Barcellos
1 ⚽
67'
M
Ronald Barcellos
1 ⚽
67'
M
9
Carlão
1 ⚽
F
Carlão
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
A. Alvariño
11'
M
A. Alvariño
11'
M
31
César
G
César
G
8
C. Ortíz
F
C. Ortíz
F
19
Diego Galo
M
Diego Galo
M
27
Diego Mathias
F
Diego Mathias
F
14
Eduardo Brock
1 ⚽
45'
D
Eduardo Brock
1 ⚽
45'
D
40
Jardiel Maciel Libertino da Silva
M
Jardiel Maciel Libertino da Silva
M
24
J. Lora
D
J. Lora
D
28
Marlon
8'
M
Marlon
8'
M
66
Maykon
23'
D
Maykon
23'
D
15
Tavinho
1 👟
23'
F
Tavinho
1 👟
23'
F
16
Vinícius
F
Vinícius
F
30
Vinicius
G
Vinicius
G
44
Gustavo Almeida
62'
D
Gustavo Almeida
62'
D
15
69'
D
23
S. Palacios
1 👟
D
S. Palacios
1 👟
D
14
Danilo Barcelos
45'
M
Danilo Barcelos
45'
M
22
69'
M
5
Rodrigo Souza
69'
M
Rodrigo Souza
69'
M
6
Juan
45'
M
Juan
45'
M
19
Jonathan Cafú
M
18
David da Hora
85'
M
David da Hora
85'
M
9
Brandão
F
Brandão
F
Bench
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
35
Gustavo Lopes
21'
M
Gustavo Lopes
21'
M
16
Karl
45'
M
Karl
45'
M
17
Nicolas Silva
M
Nicolas Silva
M
Best on the pitch
Juninho
M · Novorizontino
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Ronald Barcellos
M · Novorizontino
8.08
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
Carlão
F · Novorizontino
7.75
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Romulo
M · Novorizontino
7.66
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 9 pass
Jordi
G · Novorizontino
7.47
· 13 pass
M · Ponte
7.27
1 shots
· 16 pass
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi | G | 90 | 7.47 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Sander | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 43 | 5.69 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Carlinhos | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| Madson | D | 79 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Oyama | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 82 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolas Careca | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 5 | — | — |
| Romulo | M | 45 | 7.66 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Ronald Barcellos | M | 67 | 8.08 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 90 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Alvariño | M | 11 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Eduardo Brock | D | 45 | 7.21 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon | M | 8 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Maykon | D | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Tavinho | F | 23 | 6.63 | — | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Gustavo Almeida | D | 62 | 4.93 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 48% | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| D | 69 | 7.27 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Palacios | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | 1 | 0 | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Barcelos | M | 45 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 69 | 7.27 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Souza | M | 69 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan | M | 45 | 5.65 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Jonathan Cafú | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David da Hora | M | 85 | 6.28 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandão | F | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Lopes | M | 21 | 5.71 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Karl | M | 45 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
The final score was Novorizontino 5–1 Ponte Preta.
What did the model predict before Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta?
The model assigned 93% probability to a Novorizontino win, 4% to a draw, and 2% to an Ponte Preta win.