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NSI Runavik - FC Lugano

Conference League August 13, 2026 19:30
NSI Runavik
vs
FC Lugano
⚡ Pre-match analysis
18.36%
Win
NSI Runavik
16.64%
Draw
65.01%
Win
FC Lugano
1.15
Expected xG
3.19
Most likely outcome
FC Lugano
65.01%
Probability
82.4%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.52%)
1X2 Result ✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1 18%
X 17%
2 65%
Double Chance
1X 35%
X2 82%
12 83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 76%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives FC Lugano a 65% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 18% for NSI Runavik. Expected goals are 1.2 for NSI Runavik and 3.2 for FC Lugano (total 4.3), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.52% probability. In 1 previous meetings, NSI Runavik have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Lugano.

Season Stats

NSI Runavik
3W 1D 3L
FC Lugano
4W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.4
1.6
Conceded
1.6
1.0
Shots OT
6.6
3.0
Corners
6.2
31%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
43%
O 2.5
60%
29%
BTTS
40%
29%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
NSI Runavik
1W 1D 1L · at home
FC Lugano
2W 0D 0L · away
1.7
gls/g
4.5
1.0
Conceded
1.5
33%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
100%
33%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ NSI Runavik FC Lugano →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 4.2% 6.6% 7.1% 5.6% 3.6%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.6% 8.1% 6.5% 4.1%
2 0.9% 2.7% 4.4% 4.7% 3.7% 2.4%
3 0.3% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

NSI Runavik NSI Runavik
L FC Lugano 2–0
W Koper 0–2
L Koper 0–2
W Hamrun Spartans 1–2
D Hamrun Spartans 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
FC Lugano FC Lugano
W NSI Runavik 2–0
W Dukagjini 1–5
W Dukagjini 1–0
W Celje 2–4
L Celje 0–5
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

NSI Runavik NSI Runavik
Attack
28
Defence
59
Form
46
FC Lugano FC Lugano
Attack
62
Defence
78
Form
80
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
NSI Runavik
0
Draw
1
FC Lugano
6 Aug 2026 Conference League 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?
The model gives NSI Runavik a 18% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 65% for an FC Lugano win.
How many goals are expected in NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?
Expected goals: NSI Runavik 1.2, FC Lugano 3.2 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.52%.