Nublense 2–1 Union La Calera — pre-match prediction — Primera División — August 16, 2026

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Primera División · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 18:30 Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas, Chillan

Nublense

#8 · 35 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Union La Calera

#16 · 21 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Nublense

S. Valencia (ast. M. Plaza) 22'

S. Valencia (ast. M. Rivera) 44'

77' (ast. K. Mendez) C. Diaz

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nublense a 71% win probability (draw 16%, Union La Calera 12%). The final result was Nublense 2–1 Union La Calera. In 1 previous meetings, Nublense have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Union La Calera.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

50%

Possession

50%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽S. Valencia · ast. M. Plaza

22'

40'

D. Gutierrez

⚽S. Valencia · ast. M. Rivera

44'

46'

B. Oyarzo Munoz / C. Villanueva ↕

47'

B. Ferreyra

64'

F. Pozzo / B. Ferreyra ↕

64'

Y. Leiva / C. Moya ↕

↕ L. Molina Canto / I. Tapia

65'

↕ G. Graciani / E. Calderon

65'

77'

ast. K. Mendez · C. Diaz⚽

78'

J. Cruz / Y. W. Andia Leon ↕

↕ I. Tapia / I. Jeraldino

80'

85'

C. Gutierrez / D. Gutierrez ↕

↕ D. Sanhueza / F. Campos Mosqueira

87'

↕ M. Rivera / D. Cespedes

87'

Pre-match prediction

71.53%

Nublense ←

16.2%

12.27%

Union

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nublense) 71.53% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Nublense

2.61

—

Union

0.81

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	26	58
2	Universidad de Chile	25	48
3	U. Catolica	25	43
4	Everton de Vina	25	39
5	Palestino	25	38
6	Deportes Limache	25	37
7	Coquimbo Unido	25	35
8	Nublense	25	35
9	D. La Serena	25	33
10	Concepción	25	32
11	Huachipato	24	32
12	A. Italiano	25	30
13	O'Higgins	25	28
14	Cobresal	25	26
15	Universidad de Concepcion	26	23
16	Union La Calera	26	21

Lineups

Nublense 3-5-2

N. Pérez G 6.90

S. Valencia 2 ⚽ D 8.90

O. Bosso D 6.60

P. Calderón D 6.90

J. Campusano M 7.00

M. Rivera 1 👟 87' M 6.50

M. Plaza 1 👟 M 7.90

L. Reyes M 7.30

D. Sanhueza 87' M 6.90

L. Molina 65' F 6.70

G. Graciani 65' F 6.50

Bench

C. Chandía G

C. Mansilla M

C. Salomón D

D. Céspedes 10' M 6.70

E. Calderón 25' F 6.60

F. Campos 10' D 6.60

F. Rami F

I. Jeraldino 10' F 6.30

I. Tapia 15' M 6.30

Union La Calera 5-3-2

N. Avellaneda G 5.90

D. Gutiérrez 85' D 5.90

V. Lavin D 6.60

J. Salomoni D 6.90

Christopher Díaz D 7.50

K. Méndez 1 👟 D 7.20

C. Villanueva 45' M 6.50

Y. Andía 78' M 6.50

C. Moya 64' M 6.30

B. Ferreyra 64' F 6.30

M. Campos F 6.30

Bench

B. Oyarzo 45' F 6.30

C. Gutiérrez 12' D 7.00

F. Pozzo 26' F 6.50

J. Cruz 12' M 6.70

J. Soto M

M. Hiriart F

N. Espinoza G

N. Palma D

Y. Leiva 26' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

S. Valencia

D · Nublense

8.90

2 ⚽

2 shots · 46 pass

M. Plaza

M · Nublense

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 49 pass

Christopher Díaz

D · Union

7.50

1 shots · 49 pass

L. Reyes

M · Nublense

7.30

1 shots · 66 pass

K. Méndez

D · Union

7.20

1 👟

· 29 pass

C. Gutiérrez

D · Union

7.00

· 10 pass

Nublense — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Pérez	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	18	8%	—	—	—
S. Valencia	D	90	8.90	2	—	2	46	34%	—	—	—
O. Bosso	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	31	27%	1	—	—
P. Calderón	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	22	17%	1	—	—
J. Campusano	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	26	21%	1	—	—
M. Rivera	M	87	6.50	—	1	3	43	33%	1	—	—
M. Plaza	M	90	7.90	—	1	1	49	42%	4	—	—
L. Reyes	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	66	59%	2	—	—
D. Sanhueza	M	87	6.90	—	—	2	33	23%	—	—	—
L. Molina	F	65	6.70	—	—	1	18	14%	1	—	—
G. Graciani	F	65	6.50	—	—	1	19	10%	1	—	—
D. Céspedes	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
E. Calderón	F	25	6.60	—	—	1	7	5%	1	—	—
F. Campos	D	10	6.60	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
I. Jeraldino	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
I. Tapia	M	15	6.30	—	—	1	5	4%	—	—	—

Union La Calera — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Avellaneda	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	24	15%	—	—	—
D. Gutiérrez	D	85	5.90	—	—	1	23	17%	—	1	—
V. Lavin	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	50	43%	2	—	—
J. Salomoni	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	49	40%	3	—	—
Christopher Díaz	D	90	7.50	—	—	1	49	38%	—	—	—
K. Méndez	D	90	7.20	—	1	—	29	24%	2	—	—
C. Villanueva	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—
Y. Andía	M	78	6.50	—	—	—	46	36%	—	—	—
C. Moya	M	64	6.30	—	—	—	31	27%	1	—	—
B. Ferreyra	F	64	6.30	—	—	—	13	4%	—	1	—
M. Campos	F	90	6.30	—	—	3	10	4%	—	—	—
B. Oyarzo	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	20	16%	—	—	—
C. Gutiérrez	D	12	7.00	—	—	—	10	10%	1	—	—
F. Pozzo	F	26	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
J. Cruz	M	12	6.70	—	—	3	11	7%	—	—	—
Y. Leiva	M	26	6.30	—	—	—	23	17%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Nublense vs Union La Calera?

The final score was Nublense 2–1 Union La Calera.

What did the model predict before Nublense vs Union La Calera?

The model assigned 71% probability to a Nublense win, 16% to a draw, and 12% to an Union La Calera win.