Nueva Chicago - Club Atlético Güemes
Primera Nacional
July 04, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.63%
Win
Nueva Chicago
28.84%
Draw
24.53%
Win
Club Atlético Güemes
1.19
0.8
Expected xG
Most likely result
1–0
(16.3%)
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
32%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nueva Chicago a 46% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Club Atlético Güemes. Expected goals are 1.2 for Nueva Chicago and 0.8 for Club Atlético Güemes (total 2.0), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Nueva Chicago have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Club Atlético Güemes.
Season Stats
4W
6D
5L
4W
4D
7L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.0
1.1
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
87%
40%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
78%
O 1.5
48%
O 2.5
24%
O 3.5
66%
BTTS
2W
6D
1L
· at home
1W
2D
5L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
0.7
Conceded
2.1
22%
Win %
13%
89%
Win or Draw
38%
56%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
63%
22%
O 3.5
25%
44%
BTTS
88%
56%
Clean Sht
0%
44%
Failed to Score
13%
last 9
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Nueva Chicago
Club Atlético Güemes →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.7% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 16.3% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Nueva Chicago
Attack
16
Defence
68
Form
42
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack
25
Defence
49
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
15 Feb 2026
1–0
Group 2
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gimnasia Jujuy
|
18 | 36 |
| 2 |
Atlanta
|
18 | 33 |
| 3 |
Tristan Suarez
|
18 | 30 |
| 4 |
Atletico DE Rafaela
|
18 | 27 |
| 5 |
Temperley
|
18 | 27 |
| 6 |
Midland
|
18 | 26 |
| 7 |
San Martin S.J.
|
17 | 23 |
| 8 |
Colegiales
|
18 | 23 |
| 9 |
San Martin Tucuman
|
18 | 23 |
| 10 |
Deportivo Maipu
|
18 | 22 |
| 11 |
Nueva Chicago
|
17 | 22 |
| 12 |
Almagro
|
18 | 22 |
| 13 |
Quilmes
|
18 | 21 |
| 14 |
Gimnasia Y Tiro
|
18 | 21 |
| 15 |
Patronato
|
18 | 21 |
| 16 |
Chacarita Juniors
|
18 | 19 |
| 17 |
Club Atlético Güemes
|
18 | 19 |
| 18 |
Agropecuario
|
18 | 18 |
What's at stake · Group 2
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #11 | #17 |
| → Nueva Chicago | #7 | #17 |
| → Draw | #10 | #16 |
| → Club Atlético Güemes | #11 | #13 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Club Atlético Güemes?
The model gives Nueva Chicago a 46% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 24% for an Club Atlético Güemes win.
How many goals are expected in Nueva Chicago vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Expected goals: Nueva Chicago 1.2, Club Atlético Güemes 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Nueva Chicago vs Club Atlético Güemes?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.3%.