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← Copa del Rey

Numancia - Oviedo

Copa del Rey October 28, 2026 20:00 Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria
Numancia
vs
Oviedo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.63%
Win
Numancia
31.72%
Draw
33.65%
Win
Oviedo
2.77
Expected xG
1.47

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.28%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Numancia a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Oviedo. Expected goals are 2.8 for Numancia and 1.5 for Oviedo (total 4.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.28% probability.

Season Stats

Numancia
1W 0D 1L
Oviedo
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
2.0
1.5
Conceded
4.0
5.0
Shots OT
5.0
6.0
Corners
5.0
49%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in Copa del Rey. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Numancia
1W 0D 1L · at home
Oviedo
0W 0D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.0
1.5
Conceded
4.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Numancia Oviedo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.5% 8.1% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Numancia Numancia
L Mallorca 2–3
W Arenas Getxo 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Oviedo Oviedo
L Ourense CF 4–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Numancia Numancia
Attack
53
Defence
73
Form
74
Oviedo Oviedo
Attack
45
Defence
65
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
The model gives Numancia a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Oviedo win.
How many goals are expected in Numancia vs Oviedo?
Expected goals: Numancia 2.8, Oviedo 1.5 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Numancia vs Oviedo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.28%.