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O Elvas - União de Leiria

Taça de Portugal September 20, 2026 16:00
O Elvas
vs
União de Leiria
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.54%
Win
O Elvas
31.73%
Draw
31.72%
Win
União de Leiria
4.5
Expected xG
1.65

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.61%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives O Elvas a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for União de Leiria. Expected goals are 4.5 for O Elvas and 1.6 for União de Leiria (total 6.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.61% probability.

Season Stats

O Elvas
2W 0D 1L
União de Leiria
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
2.2
0.3
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
80%
0%
BTTS
80%
67%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
88%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
O Elvas
1W 0D 0L · at home
União de Leiria
3W 0D 1L · away
9.0
gls/g
2.2
0.0
Conceded
1.5
100%
Win %
75%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
75%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
O 3.5
75%
0%
BTTS
75%
100%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ O Elvas União de Leiria →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 5.4% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.7% 6.0% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 3.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%

Recent form

O Elvas O Elvas
W São Roque (Açores) 9–0
L AD Marco 09 1–0
W Lusitânia 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
União de Leiria União de Leiria
L Torreense 3–1
W Vila Meã 0–1
W 1º Dezembro 1–3
D Alverca 2–2
W Sacavenense 2–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

O Elvas O Elvas
Attack
90
Defence
98
Form
92
União de Leiria União de Leiria
Attack
39
Defence
69
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
The model gives O Elvas a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an União de Leiria win.
How many goals are expected in O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
Expected goals: O Elvas 4.5, União de Leiria 1.6 (total 6.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in O Elvas vs União de Leiria?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.61%.