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Copa Sudamericana · Round of 32 July 31, 2026 02:30
O'Higgins
#2 · 10 pts
1 – 0
Final score
pens 3–4
Boca Juniors
F. Gonzalez 72'
F. Gonzalez 120'+1 (pen.)
A. Castillo 120'+2 (pen.)
(pen.) 120'+1 L. Paredes
(pen.) 120'+2 Miguel Merentiel
(pen.) 120'+3 J. Figal
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 41% win probability (draw 29%, O'Higgins 29%). The final result was O'Higgins 1–0 Boca Juniors. In 1 previous meetings, O'Higgins have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Boca Juniors.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
1.01
Actual xG
0.83
2
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
4
12
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
57'
L. Flores / S. Villa ↕
↕ B. Rabello / B. Yanez
63'
65'
L. Lozano
68'
J. Figal
69'
L. Paredes
⚽F. Gonzalez
72'
↕ Martin Sarrafiore / T. Vecino
78'
↕ J. Leiva / T. Aviles
78'
80'
L. Flores
T. Aviles
83'
F. Faundez
90'+2
⚽F. Gonzalez (pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.) L. Paredes⚽
⚽A. Castillo (pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.) Miguel Merentiel⚽
⚽T. Vecino (missed pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(pen.) J. Figal⚽
⚽ (missed pen.)
120'+4
Pre-match prediction
29.32%
O'Higgins ←
29.47%
X
41.21%
Boca
we assigned to the actual result (O'Higgins) 29.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
O'Higgins
0.81
1.01
+0.2
Boca
1.30
0.83
-0.47
xG dominance was balanced (1.01 – 0.83). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
O'Higgins O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
31 O. Carabalí O. Carabalí G 7.00
6 L. Pavez L. Pavez D 7.20
33 Miguel Brizuela Miguel Brizuela D 7.30
22 A. Robledo A. Robledo D 7.60
3 Felipe Andrés Faúndez González Felipe Andrés Faúndez González D 6.30
8 F. Ogaz F. Ogaz M 7.20
11 J. Leiva J. Leiva 78' M 6.90
7 M. Sarrafiore M. Sarrafiore 78' M 7.00
10 Bryan Rabello Bryan Rabello 63' M 6.30
24 F. González F. González 2 ⚽ M 8.20
9 A. Castillo A. Castillo 1 ⚽ F 5.70
Bench
29 B. Yáñez B. Yáñez 32' F 6.30
2 C. Morales C. Morales D
18 Esteban Moreira Esteban Moreira F
27 José Movillo José Movillo D
1 J. Peña J. Peña G
30 J. Tapia J. Tapia F
20 L. Díaz L. Díaz D
14 Martín Maturana Martín Maturana M
21 N. Garrido N. Garrido D
26 Rodrigo Godoy Rodrigo Godoy F
17 T. Avilés T. Avilés 17' D 6.30
32 T. Vecino T. Vecino 17' F 6.70
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-1-4-1
1 Á. Montero Á. Montero G 6.90
3 L. Blanco L. Blanco D 6.60
32 Ayrton Costa Ayrton Costa D 6.90
4 N. Figal N. Figal 1 ⚽ D 6.50
17 L. Lozano L. Lozano D 6.30
5 L. Paredes L. Paredes 1 ⚽ M 7.90
10 Tomás Aranda Tomás Aranda M 6.20
18 Milton Delgado Milton Delgado M 6.20
25 S. Ascacíbar S. Ascacíbar M 7.20
22 S. Villa S. Villa 57' M 6.30
16 M. Merentiel M. Merentiel 1 ⚽ F 6.20
Bench
11 Á. Romero Á. Romero F
20 A. Velasco A. Velasco M
23 C. Rey C. Rey M
24 D. Gorosito D. Gorosito D
21 K. Zenón K. Zenón M
12 L. Brey L. Brey G
2 L. Di Lollo L. Di Lollo D
19 L. Flores L. Flores 38' F 7.00
27 Malcom Braida Malcom Braida M
26 Marco Pellegrino Marco Pellegrino D
9 M. Giménez M. Giménez F
15 W. Alarcón W. Alarcón M
Best on the pitch
F. González
F. González
M · O'Higgins
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
L. Paredes
L. Paredes
M · Boca
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 78 pass
A. Robledo
A. Robledo
D · O'Higgins
7.60
· 52 pass
Miguel Brizuela
Miguel Brizuela
D · O'Higgins
7.30
3 shots · 61 pass
L. Pavez
L. Pavez
D · O'Higgins
7.20
· 53 pass
S. Ascacíbar
S. Ascacíbar
M · Boca
7.20
1 shots · 39 pass
O'Higgins O'Higgins — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Carabalí G 95 7.00 — — — 35 25% — — —
L. Pavez D 95 7.20 — — — 53 46% 1 — —
Miguel Brizuela D 95 7.30 — — 3 61 54% — — —
A. Robledo D 95 7.60 — — — 52 44% — — —
Felipe Andrés Faúndez González D 95 6.30 — — 1 35 28% 2 1 —
F. Ogaz M 95 7.20 — — 1 54 44% 2 — —
J. Leiva M 78 6.90 — — — 41 35% 3 — —
M. Sarrafiore M 78 7.00 — — 1 26 19% 2 — —
Bryan Rabello M 63 6.30 — — — 13 11% — — —
F. González M 95 8.20 2 — 2 26 19% 1 — —
A. Castillo F 95 5.70 1 — 2 22 9% — — —
B. Yáñez F 32 6.30 — — — 10 9% — — —
T. Avilés D 17 6.30 — — — 12 8% 1 1 —
T. Vecino F 17 6.70 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Montero G 95 6.90 — — — 31 14% — — —
L. Blanco D 95 6.60 — — — 25 16% 3 — —
Ayrton Costa D 95 6.90 — — 1 44 39% — — —
N. Figal D 95 6.50 1 — — 41 34% 1 1 —
L. Lozano D 95 6.30 — — — 39 35% 2 1 —
L. Paredes M 95 7.90 1 — 1 78 67% 1 1 —
Tomás Aranda M 95 6.20 — — 4 39 31% 1 — —
Milton Delgado M 95 6.20 — — 1 61 56% 1 — —
S. Ascacíbar M 95 7.20 — — 1 39 36% 1 — —
S. Villa M 57 6.30 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
M. Merentiel F 95 6.20 1 — 1 35 29% — — —
L. Flores F 38 7.00 — — 1 15 13% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was O'Higgins 1–0 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before O'Higgins vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 29% probability to a O'Higgins win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Boca Juniors win.