✓Model correct — prediction Concepción
Joaquín Larrivey
45'
(pen.)
Mario Sandoval
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Concepción a 63% win probability (draw 21%, O'Higgins 15%). The final result was Concepción 2–0 O'Higgins. In 1 previous meetings, Concepción have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for O'Higgins.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
2
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
4
10
Tackles
3
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
17'
34'
Nicolas Garrido
⚽Joaquín Larrivey
(pen.)
45'
Ariel Cáceres
49'
Mario Sandoval
51'
Misael Dávila
/ Y. Rodríguez
57'
57'
Esteban Moreira
/
G. Pinto
Matías Cavalleri
/ Joaquín Montecinos
57'
69'
Juan Ignacio Poblete Miranda
/
Leandro Diaz
69'
Benjamin Pérez Leiva
/
Tomas Avilés
Norman Rodriguez
71'
72'
Juan Ignacio Poblete Miranda
Jorge Henríquez
/ Fernando Romero
73'
⚽Mario Sandoval
75'
78'
Joaquín Edgardo Muñoz Riffo
/
Martín Ignacio Maturana Romero
78'
Joaquín Tapia
/
Bastián Yáñez
⚽Joaquín Larrivey
(missed pen.)
84'
86'
Ethan Espinoza
/ Cristian Riquelme
87'
Joaquín Larrivey
/ Diego Acosta
87'
Pre-match prediction
63.2%
Concepción ←
21.62%
X
15.18%
O'Higgins
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Concepción)
63.2%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
—
—
0.59
—
—
Lineups
21
N. Rodríguez
D
N. Rodríguez
D
24
M. Cavalleri
57'
M
M. Cavalleri
57'
M
22
M. Dávila
57'
M
M. Dávila
57'
M
16
M. Sandoval
1 ⚽
M
M. Sandoval
1 ⚽
M
37
F. Grillo
D
F. Grillo
D
30
E. Espinoza
87'
M
E. Espinoza
87'
M
20
J. Henríquez
73'
M
J. Henríquez
73'
M
32
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
87'
F
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
9
C. Escobar
F
C. Escobar
F
23
C. Riquelme
3'
D
C. Riquelme
3'
D
27
D. Acosta
3'
F
D. Acosta
3'
F
8
F. Martínez
M
F. Martínez
M
7
F. Romero
17'
F
F. Romero
17'
F
15
J. Montecinos
33'
F
J. Montecinos
33'
F
12
N. Veloso
G
N. Veloso
G
18
Y. Rodríguez
33'
M
Y. Rodríguez
33'
M
21
N. Garrido
82'
D
N. Garrido
82'
D
14
M. Maturana
78'
M
M. Maturana
78'
M
29
B. Yáñez
78'
M
B. Yáñez
78'
M
17
T. Avilés
69'
M
T. Avilés
69'
M
20
L. Díaz
69'
D
L. Díaz
69'
D
32
T. Vecino
F
T. Vecino
F
26
Rodrigo Godoy
M
Rodrigo Godoy
M
Bench
15
Benjamín Rojas
D
Benjamín Rojas
D
18
E. Moreira
33'
F
E. Moreira
33'
F
8
F. Ogaz
M
F. Ogaz
M
30
J. Tapia
12'
F
J. Tapia
12'
F
31
O. Carabalí
G
O. Carabalí
G
Best on the pitch
M. Sandoval
M · Concepción
8.08
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
M. Cavalleri
M · Concepción
7.31
· 31 pass
F. Grillo
D · Concepción
7.23
· 21 pass
E. Espinoza
M · Concepción
7.20
6 shots
· 34 pass
C. Riquelme
D · Concepción
7.11
· 7 pass
F. Romero
F · Concepción
7.07
3 shots
· 6 pass
Concepción — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Cavalleri | M | 57 | 7.31 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Dávila | M | 57 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sandoval | M | 90 | 8.08 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Grillo | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Espinoza | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 6 | 34 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Henríquez | M | 73 | 6.99 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Larrivey | F | 87 | 6.84 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Riquelme | D | 3 | 7.11 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Acosta | F | 3 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Romero | F | 17 | 7.07 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Montecinos | F | 33 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Rodríguez | M | 33 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
O'Higgins — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Garrido | D | 82 | 5.23 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 35% | 0 | — | 1 |
| M. Maturana | M | 78 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Yáñez | M | 78 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Avilés | M | 69 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | D | 69 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Vecino | F | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Godoy | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Moreira | F | 33 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tapia | F | 12 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs O'Higgins?
The final score was Concepción 2–0 O'Higgins.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs O'Higgins?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Concepción win, 21% to a draw, and 15% to an O'Higgins win.