✓Model correct — prediction Concepción
Joaquín Larrivey
45'
(pen.)
Mario Sandoval
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Concepción a 63% win probability (draw 21%, O'Higgins 15%). The final result was Concepción 2–0 O'Higgins. In 1 previous meetings, Concepción have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for O'Higgins.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
2
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
4
10
Tackles
3
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
17'
34'
Nicolas Garrido
⚽Joaquín Larrivey
(pen.)
45'
Ariel Cáceres
49'
Mario Sandoval
51'
Misael Dávila
/ Y. Rodríguez
57'
57'
Esteban Moreira
/
G. Pinto
Matías Cavalleri
/ Joaquín Montecinos
57'
69'
Juan Ignacio Poblete Miranda
/
Leandro Diaz
69'
Benjamin Pérez Leiva
/
Tomas Avilés
Norman Rodriguez
71'
72'
Juan Ignacio Poblete Miranda
Jorge Henríquez
/ Fernando Romero
73'
⚽Mario Sandoval
75'
78'
Joaquín Edgardo Muñoz Riffo
/
Martín Ignacio Maturana Romero
78'
Joaquín Tapia
/
Bastián Yáñez
⚽Joaquín Larrivey
(missed pen.)
84'
86'
Ethan Espinoza
/ Cristian Riquelme
87'
Joaquín Larrivey
/ Diego Acosta
87'
Pre-match prediction
63.2%
Concepción ←
21.62%
X
15.18%
O'Higgins
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Concepción)
63.2%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
—
—
0.59
—
—
Lineups
21
Norman Rodríguez
D
Norman Rodríguez
D
24
Matías Cavalleri
57'
M
Matías Cavalleri
57'
M
22
Misael Dávila
57'
M
Misael Dávila
57'
M
16
Mario Sandoval
1 ⚽
M
Mario Sandoval
1 ⚽
M
37
Fausto Grillo
D
Fausto Grillo
D
30
Ethan Espinoza
87'
M
Ethan Espinoza
87'
M
20
Jorge Henríquez
73'
M
Jorge Henríquez
73'
M
32
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
87'
F
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
9
C. Escobar
F
C. Escobar
F
23
Cristian Riquelme
3'
D
Cristian Riquelme
3'
D
27
Diego Acosta
3'
F
Diego Acosta
3'
F
8
Fernando Martinez
M
Fernando Martinez
M
7
Fernando Romero
17'
F
Fernando Romero
17'
F
15
Joaquín Montecinos
33'
F
Joaquín Montecinos
33'
F
12
Nery Veloso
G
Nery Veloso
G
18
Yonathan Rodríguez
33'
M
Yonathan Rodríguez
33'
M
21
Nicolás Garrido
82'
D
Nicolás Garrido
82'
D
14
Martín Maturana
78'
M
Martín Maturana
78'
M
29
Bastián Yáñez
78'
M
Bastián Yáñez
78'
M
17
Tomás Avilés
69'
M
Tomás Avilés
69'
M
20
Leandro Díaz
69'
D
Leandro Díaz
69'
D
32
Thiago Vecino
F
Thiago Vecino
F
26
Rodrigo Godoy
M
Rodrigo Godoy
M
Bench
15
B. Rojas
D
B. Rojas
D
18
Esteban Moreira
33'
F
Esteban Moreira
33'
F
8
F. Ogaz
M
F. Ogaz
M
30
Joaquín Tapia
12'
F
Joaquín Tapia
12'
F
31
Omar Carabalí
G
Omar Carabalí
G
Best on the pitch
Mario Sandoval
M · Concepción
8.08
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Matías Cavalleri
M · Concepción
7.31
· 31 pass
Fausto Grillo
D · Concepción
7.23
· 21 pass
Ethan Espinoza
M · Concepción
7.20
6 shots
· 34 pass
Cristian Riquelme
D · Concepción
7.11
· 7 pass
Fernando Romero
F · Concepción
7.07
3 shots
· 6 pass
Concepción — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Matías Cavalleri | M | 57 | 7.31 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Misael Dávila | M | 57 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Mario Sandoval | M | 90 | 8.08 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Fausto Grillo | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Ethan Espinoza | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 6 | 34 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Jorge Henríquez | M | 73 | 6.99 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Larrivey | F | 87 | 6.84 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Cristian Riquelme | D | 3 | 7.11 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego Acosta | F | 3 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Fernando Romero | F | 17 | 7.07 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Joaquín Montecinos | F | 33 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Yonathan Rodríguez | M | 33 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
O'Higgins — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Garrido | D | 82 | 5.23 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 35% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Martín Maturana | M | 78 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| Bastián Yáñez | M | 78 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| Tomás Avilés | M | 69 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Díaz | D | 69 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| Thiago Vecino | F | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Godoy | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Esteban Moreira | F | 33 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Tapia | F | 12 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Concepción vs O'Higgins?
The final score was Concepción 2–0 O'Higgins.
What did the model predict before Concepción vs O'Higgins?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Concepción win, 21% to a draw, and 15% to an O'Higgins win.