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← Primera División
Primera División · Regular Season - 26 October 31, 2026 22:00 Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
O'Higgins
#12 · 31 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Nublense
#10 · 35 pts
Arnaldo Castillo (ast. Bastián Yáñez) 43'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave O'Higgins a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Nublense 19%). The final result was O'Higgins 1–0 Nublense. In 1 previous meetings, O'Higgins have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nublense.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
3
1.24
Actual xG
0.53
3
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
3
9
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
35'
Pablo Calderón
⚽Arnaldo Castillo · ast. Bastián Yáñez
43'
Arnaldo Castillo
45'+3
45'+5
↕ Bryan Rabello / Ignacio Schor
45'
Omar Carabali
50'
58'
Lucas Molina Canto
58'
Joaquín González / Carlos Salomón ↕
58'
Ignacio Tapia / Pablo Calderón ↕
↕ Walter Bou / Esteban Moreira
68'
↕ Bastián Yáñez / Thiago Vecino
68'
68'
Fernando Ovelar / Gabriel Graciani ↕
68'
Franco Rami / Lucas Molina Canto ↕
81'
Joaquín González
83'
Alex Valdes / Matías Plaza ↕
↕ Leandro Diaz / Luis Pavez
83'
88'
Joaquín González
Felipe Ogaz
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
56.28%
O'Higgins ←
23.83%
X
19.89%
Nublense
we assigned to the actual result (O'Higgins) 56.28% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
O'Higgins
1.63
1.24
-0.39
Nublense
0.78
0.53
-0.25
O'Higgins dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.53). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 27 61
2 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 27 51
3 U. Catolica U. Catolica 27 49
4 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 27 40
5 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 27 40
6 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 26 38
7 Palestino Palestino 27 38
8 Concepción Concepción 27 38
9 D. La Serena D. La Serena 27 37
10 Nublense Nublense 27 35
11 Huachipato Huachipato 26 33
12 O'Higgins O'Higgins 27 31
13 A. Italiano A. Italiano 27 30
14 Cobresal Cobresal 27 27
15 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 27 26
16 Union La Calera Union La Calera 27 24
Lineups
O'Higgins O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
31 O. Carabalí O. Carabalí G 6.51
20 L. Díaz L. Díaz 83' D 6.58
21 N. Garrido N. Garrido D 6.76
22 A. Robledo A. Robledo D 7.19
3
Felipe Faúndez D 6.49
8 F. Ogaz F. Ogaz M 6.14
17 T. Avilés T. Avilés M 6.25
29 B. Yáñez B. Yáñez 1 👟 68' M 7.45
28 W. Bou W. Bou 68' M 6.01
10 B. Rabello B. Rabello 45' M 6.93
9 A. Castillo A. Castillo 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.04
Bench
34 B. Leiva B. Leiva M 0.00
2 C. Morales C. Morales D 0.00
18 E. Moreira E. Moreira 22' F 6.78
25 I. Schor I. Schor 45' F 6.73
1 J. Peña J. Peña G 0.00
30 J. Tapia J. Tapia F 0.00
6 L. Pavez L. Pavez 7' D 6.38
7 S. Toloza S. Toloza M 0.00
32 T. Vecino T. Vecino 22' F 6.59
Nublense Nublense 4-1-4-1
1 N. Pérez N. Pérez G 6.43
15 S. Valencia S. Valencia D 5.97
6 P. Calderón P. Calderón 58' D 6.17
4 O. Bosso O. Bosso D 6.50
3 C. Salomón C. Salomón 58' D 6.21
21 L. Reyes L. Reyes M 6.92
11 L. Molina L. Molina 68' M 5.86
10 M. Plaza M. Plaza 83' M 6.65
18 D. Céspedes D. Céspedes M 6.37
8 G. Graciani G. Graciani 68' M 6.14
26 E. Calderón E. Calderón F 5.77
Bench
22 A. Valdés A. Valdés 7' M 6.58
35 C. Mansilla C. Mansilla M 0.00
13 D. Saavedra D. Saavedra M 0.00
7 F. Ovelar F. Ovelar 22' F 6.30
9 F. Rami F. Rami 22' F 6.31
25 H. Muñoz H. Muñoz G 0.00
19 I. Tapia I. Tapia 32' M 6.50
23 J. Gonzalez J. Gonzalez 30' F 5.64
27 V. Guzman V. Guzman D 0.00
Best on the pitch
B. Yáñez
B. Yáñez
M · O'Higgins
7.45
1 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
A. Robledo
A. Robledo
D · O'Higgins
7.19
· 35 pass
A. Castillo
A. Castillo
F · O'Higgins
7.04
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
B. Rabello
B. Rabello
M · O'Higgins
6.93
· 17 pass
L. Reyes
L. Reyes
M · Nublense
6.92
2 shots · 51 pass
E. Moreira
E. Moreira
F · O'Higgins
6.78
3 shots · 6 pass
O'Higgins O'Higgins — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Carabalí G 90 6.51 — — 0 35 18% 0 1 —
L. Díaz D 83 6.58 — — 1 37 26% 4 — —
N. Garrido D 90 6.76 — — 0 42 31% 0 — —
A. Robledo D 90 7.19 — — 0 35 30% 0 — —
Felipe Faúndez D 90 6.49 — — 0 17 12% 1 — —
F. Ogaz M 90 6.14 — — 0 45 39% 1 1 —
T. Avilés M 90 6.25 — — 1 38 27% 1 — —
B. Yáñez M 68 7.45 — 1 1 25 19% 1 — —
W. Bou M 68 6.01 — — 2 23 11% 0 — —
B. Rabello M 45 6.93 — — 0 17 12% 0 — —
A. Castillo F 45 7.04 1 — 1 9 6% 0 — 1
E. Moreira F 22 6.78 — — 3 6 5% 0 — —
I. Schor F 45 6.73 — — 2 2 1% 0 — —
L. Pavez D 7 6.38 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
T. Vecino F 22 6.59 — — 1 3 1% 0 — —
Nublense Nublense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Pérez G 90 6.43 — — 0 33 24% 0 — —
S. Valencia D 90 5.97 — — 0 46 26% 1 — —
P. Calderón D 58 6.17 — — 0 22 18% 1 1 —
O. Bosso D 90 6.50 — — 1 42 34% 2 — —
C. Salomón D 58 6.21 — — 0 19 14% 0 — —
L. Reyes M 90 6.92 — — 2 51 45% 1 — —
L. Molina M 68 5.86 — — 1 10 7% 2 1 —
M. Plaza M 83 6.65 — — 1 37 28% 3 — —
D. Céspedes M 90 6.37 — — 3 41 27% 1 — —
G. Graciani M 68 6.14 — — 1 16 11% 0 — —
E. Calderón F 90 5.77 — — 1 14 7% 0 — —
A. Valdés M 7 6.58 — — 1 4 2% 1 — —
F. Ovelar F 22 6.30 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
F. Rami F 22 6.31 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
I. Tapia M 32 6.50 — — 1 21 17% 2 — —
J. Gonzalez F 30 5.64 — — 0 16 10% 1 — 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of O'Higgins vs Nublense?
The final score was O'Higgins 1–0 Nublense.
What did the model predict before O'Higgins vs Nublense?
The model assigned 56% probability to a O'Higgins win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Nublense win.