Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 08, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave O'Higgins a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Sao Paulo 22%). The final result was O'Higgins 0–0 Sao Paulo. In 1 previous meetings, O'Higgins have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sao Paulo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.74
1
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
2
10
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
26'
Djhordney
65'
Artur
/
Ferreira
66'
Danielzinho
/
Djhordney
M. Brizuela
66'
N. Garrido
67'
B. Rabello
/ T. Vecino
74'
J. Leiva
75'
80'
Felipe Negrucci
/
Cauly
80'
Lucca Marques
/
G. Tapia
84'
Sabino
/
Luan Silva
88'
Sabino
Pre-match prediction
50.56%
O'Higgins
27.09%
X ←
22.35%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
0.86
-0.54
0.59
0.74
+0.15
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Omar Carabalí
G
6
L. Pavez
D
33
M. Brizuela
D
21
D
3
Felipe Faúndez
D
11
J. Leiva
M
8
F. Ogaz
M
F. Ogaz
M
10
B. Rabello
74'
M
B. Rabello
74'
M
7
Martin Sarrafiore
F
9
A. Castillo
F
A. Castillo
F
24
F. González
F
F. González
F
Bench
20
L. Diaz
D
14
M. Maturana
M
32
T. Vecino
21'
F
T. Vecino
21'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
13
Enzo Díaz
D
Enzo Díaz
D
54
D
4
D
40
D
48
Djhordney Ferreira
66'
M
Djhordney Ferreira
66'
M
33
Luan Santos
84'
M
Luan Santos
84'
M
11
Ferreirinha
65'
M
Ferreirinha
65'
M
14
Gonzalo Tapia
80'
M
Gonzalo Tapia
80'
M
80
Cauly
80'
M
Cauly
80'
M
17
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
Bench
37
Artur
30'
F
Artur
30'
F
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
94
Danielzinho
29'
M
Danielzinho
29'
M
9
J. Calleri
F
J. Calleri
F
45
Lucca
15'
F
Lucca
15'
F
10
Luciano
F
Luciano
F
56
N. Bosshardt
D
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
35
Sabino
11'
D
Sabino
11'
D
18
Wendell
D
Wendell
D
Best on the pitch
F. González
F · O'Higgins
8.00
3 shots
· 21 pass
Carlos Coronel
G · Sao
7.50
· 17 pass
L. Pavez
D · O'Higgins
7.20
1 shots
· 40 pass
Ferreirinha
M · Sao
7.20
3 shots
· 25 pass
D · Sao
7.20
· 38 pass
D · Sao
7.20
· 50 pass
O'Higgins — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Carabalí | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Pavez | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| M. Brizuela | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | 1 | — | |
| Felipe Faúndez | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Leiva | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Ogaz | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Rabello | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Martin Sarrafiore | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Castillo | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. González | F | 95 | 8.00 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Vecino | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Coronel | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Díaz | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 3 | — | — | |
| Djhordney Ferreira | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luan Santos | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauly | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of O'Higgins vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was O'Higgins 0–0 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before O'Higgins vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 50% probability to a O'Higgins win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Sao Paulo win.