Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 08, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave O'Higgins a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Sao Paulo 22%). The final result was O'Higgins 0–0 Sao Paulo. In 1 previous meetings, O'Higgins have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sao Paulo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.74
1
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
2
10
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
26'
Djhordney
65'
Artur
/
Ferreira
66'
Danielzinho
/
Djhordney
M. Brizuela
66'
N. Garrido
67'
B. Rabello
/ T. Vecino
74'
J. Leiva
75'
80'
Felipe Negrucci
/
Cauly
80'
Lucca Marques
/
G. Tapia
84'
Sabino
/
Luan Silva
88'
Sabino
Pre-match prediction
50.56%
O'Higgins
27.09%
X ←
22.35%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
0.86
-0.54
0.59
0.74
+0.15
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
O. Carabalí
G
O. Carabalí
G
6
L. Pavez
D
L. Pavez
D
33
Miguel Brizuela
D
Miguel Brizuela
D
21
D
3
Felipe Faúndez
D
Felipe Faúndez
D
11
J. Leiva
M
J. Leiva
M
8
F. Ogaz
M
F. Ogaz
M
10
Bryan Rabello
74'
M
Bryan Rabello
74'
M
7
M. Sarrafiore
F
M. Sarrafiore
F
9
A. Castillo
F
A. Castillo
F
24
F. González
F
F. González
F
Bench
20
L. Díaz
D
L. Díaz
D
14
Martín Maturana
M
Martín Maturana
M
32
T. Vecino
21'
F
T. Vecino
21'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
13
E. Díaz
D
E. Díaz
D
54
D
4
D
40
D
48
D. Ferreira
66'
M
D. Ferreira
66'
M
33
Luan Santos
84'
M
Luan Santos
84'
M
11
Ferreira
65'
M
Ferreira
65'
M
14
Gonzalo Tapia
80'
M
Gonzalo Tapia
80'
M
80
Cauly
80'
M
Cauly
80'
M
17
André Silva
F
André Silva
F
Bench
37
Artur
30'
F
Artur
30'
F
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
94
Danielzinho
29'
M
Danielzinho
29'
M
9
J. Calleri
F
J. Calleri
F
45
Lucca
15'
F
Lucca
15'
F
10
Luciano
F
Luciano
F
56
Nicolas Bosshardt
D
Nicolas Bosshardt
D
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
35
Sabino
11'
D
Sabino
11'
D
18
Wendell
D
Wendell
D
Best on the pitch
F. González
F · O'Higgins
8.00
3 shots
· 21 pass
Carlos Coronel
G · Sao
7.50
· 17 pass
L. Pavez
D · O'Higgins
7.20
1 shots
· 40 pass
Ferreira
M · Sao
7.20
3 shots
· 25 pass
D · Sao
7.20
· 38 pass
D · Sao
7.20
· 50 pass
O'Higgins — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Carabalí | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Pavez | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Brizuela | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | 1 | — | |
| Felipe Faúndez | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Leiva | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Ogaz | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Rabello | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Sarrafiore | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Castillo | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. González | F | 95 | 8.00 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Vecino | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Coronel | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Díaz | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 3 | — | — | |
| D. Ferreira | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luan Santos | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Ferreira | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauly | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sabino | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of O'Higgins vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was O'Higgins 0–0 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before O'Higgins vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 50% probability to a O'Higgins win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Sao Paulo win.