J. Niemiec
(ast. M. McCoy)
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Odense a 54% win probability (draw 22%, FC Fredericia 23%). The final result was Odense 1–0 FC Fredericia. In 4 previous meetings, Odense have won 4 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Fredericia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
1
1.32
Actual xG
0.74
1
Saves
1
67%
Possession
33%
8
Corners
6
17
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
N. Burgy
18'
51'
D. F. Kristjansson
57'
E. Hansborg
/
M. Opondo
57'
O. Buch
/
S. Johannesen
A. Suhonen
/ J. Arp
67'
J. Grot
/ J. Niemiec
67'
J. Askou
/ Y. Bojang
68'
77'
J. Kudsk
/
D. F. Kristjansson
77'
A. Pyndt
/
A. Dahl
N. Ganaus
/ W. Martin
82'
86'
A. Nygaard
⚽J. Niemiec
· ast. M. McCoy
90'+3
J. Arp
/ B. Paulsen
90'+4
90'
E. Dall
/
G. Marcussen
Pre-match prediction
54.24%
Odense ←
22.4%
X
23.35%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Odense)
54.24%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
1.32
-0.83
1.46
0.74
-0.72
Odense dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
G
15
M. McCoy
1 👟
D
M. McCoy
1 👟
D
13
J. Berthel Askou
68'
D
J. Berthel Askou
68'
D
5
N. Bürgy
D
N. Bürgy
D
20
L. Owusu
D
L. Owusu
D
10
A. Suhonen
67'
M
A. Suhonen
67'
M
22
I. Ouédraogo
M
I. Ouédraogo
M
8
R. Falk
M
R. Falk
M
18
M. Ejdum
M
M. Ejdum
M
31
J. Grot
68'
F
J. Grot
68'
F
17
N. Ganaus
82'
F
N. Ganaus
82'
F
Bench
3
A. Sørensen
D
A. Sørensen
D
7
J. Arp
25'
F
J. Arp
25'
F
11
Jona Niemiec
1 ⚽
24'
F
Jona Niemiec
1 ⚽
24'
F
23
William Martin
10'
M
William Martin
10'
M
90
G
8
Jakob Jessen
D
Jakob Jessen
D
5
Frederik Rieper
D
Frederik Rieper
D
3
Adam Nygaard
D
Adam Nygaard
D
14
Anders Dahl
77'
D
Anders Dahl
77'
D
6
Felix Winther
M
Felix Winther
M
17
D. Kristjánsson
77'
M
D. Kristjánsson
77'
M
7
G. Marcussen
M
G. Marcussen
M
16
S. Johannesen
57'
M
S. Johannesen
57'
M
11
M. Opondo
57'
M
25
F. Etim
F
F. Etim
F
Bench
18
A. Pyndt
15'
M
A. Pyndt
15'
M
19
E. Dall
2'
F
E. Dall
2'
F
29
Elias Hansborg
35'
F
Elias Hansborg
35'
F
4
Jeppe Kudsk
15'
D
Jeppe Kudsk
15'
D
13
W. Madsen
M
Best on the pitch
Frederik Rieper
D · FC
8.00
· 49 pass
N. Bürgy
D · Odense
7.70
2 shots
· 90 pass
I. Ouédraogo
M · Odense
7.50
· 75 pass
William Martin
M · Odense
7.50
· 4 pass
J. Berthel Askou
D · Odense
7.30
· 83 pass
L. Owusu
D · Odense
7.30
1 shots
· 67 pass
Odense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| M. McCoy | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 58 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Berthel Askou | D | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 83 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bürgy | D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 90 | 83% | 4 | 1 | — |
| L. Owusu | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Suhonen | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ouédraogo | M | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Falk | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 85 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ejdum | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 45% | — | — | — |
| J. Grot | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| N. Ganaus | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Arp | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Jona Niemiec | F | 24 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| William Martin | M | 10 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
FC Fredericia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Jakob Jessen | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 6 | — | — |
| Frederik Rieper | D | 92 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Adam Nygaard | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Anders Dahl | D | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Felix Winther | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Kristjánsson | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Marcussen | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| S. Johannesen | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Opondo | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Etim | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pyndt | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Dall | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Hansborg | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jeppe Kudsk | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Odense vs FC Fredericia?
The final score was Odense 1–0 FC Fredericia.
What did the model predict before Odense vs FC Fredericia?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Odense win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an FC Fredericia win.