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OFI - Lech Poznan

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
OFI
#26 · 3 pts
vs
Lech Poznan
#32 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.27%
Win
OFI
25.96%
Draw
47.77%
Win
Lech Poznan
0.96
Expected xG
2.07

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.88%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 26%
X 26%
2 48%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 52%
X2 74%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 62%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lech Poznan a 47% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 26% for OFI. Expected goals are 1.0 for OFI and 2.1 for Lech Poznan (total 3.0), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.88% probability.

Season Stats

OFI
3W 0D 2L
Lech Poznan
4W 2D 3L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
2.1
0.8
Conceded
1.9
2.8
Shots OT
5.7
3.4
Corners
4.3
29%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
89%
40%
O 2.5
78%
20%
BTTS
44%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
OFI
2W 0D 1L · at home
Lech Poznan
2W 1D 1L · away
1.7
gls/g
2.2
0.7
Conceded
1.8
67%
Win %
50%
67%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
75%
0%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
33%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ OFI Lech Poznan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8% 10.0% 10.3% 7.1% 3.7% 1.5%
1 4.7% 9.6% 9.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.2% 4.6% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

OFI OFI
L Bayer Leverkusen 0–2
L Rennes 2–1
W 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0
W CSKA Sofia 0–2
W CSKA Sofia 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
D Sunderland 1–1
L Bayer Leverkusen 0–4
L Crystal Palace 4–0
D FC Thun 2–2
W FC Thun 7–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

OFI OFI
Attack
29
Defence
44
Form
30
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
Attack
54
Defence
42
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win OFI vs Lech Poznan?
The model gives OFI a 26% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 47% for an Lech Poznan win.
How many goals are expected in OFI vs Lech Poznan?
Expected goals: OFI 1.0, Lech Poznan 2.1 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in OFI vs Lech Poznan?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.88%.