45'+1
(ast. Loizos Loizou)
Aleksandar Katai
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 56% win probability (draw 23%, OFK Beograd 19%). The final result was OFK Beograd 0–1 FK Crvena Zvezda. In 3 previous meetings, OFK Beograd have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FK Crvena Zvezda.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
6
0.62
Actual xG
1.25
5
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
6
Corners
10
19
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
stefan gudelj
Herve Toure
38'
45'+1
ast. Loizos Loizou ·
Aleksandar Katai⚽
55'
Tomas·Handel
/
Muhammed Cham Saracevic
Uroš Stojanović
56'
Miljan Momcilovic
61'
63'
Mirko Ivanić
/
Vladimir Lucic
Tjay De Barr
/ Tayrell·Wouter
64'
79'
Marko Arnautović
/
Aleksandar Katai
79'
Matej Strika
/
Mihailo Ristić
Miljan Momcilovic
/ Ethan Hoard
79'
79'
Osman Bukari
/
Loizos Loizou
hameed aderoju
/ Đ. Ranković
87'
Stefan Despotovski
/ Marko Gobeljić
87'
Pre-match prediction
19.17%
OFK
23.92%
X
56.91%
FK ←
we assigned to the actual result (FK Crvena Zvezda)
56.91%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
0.62
-0.59
2.32
1.25
-1.07
FK Crvena Zvezda dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
Vuk Draškić
G
Vuk Draškić
G
24
U. Stojanović
D
U. Stojanović
D
4
A. Pavlovic
D
A. Pavlovic
D
15
N. Maraš
D
N. Maraš
D
2
S. Despotovski
87'
D
S. Despotovski
87'
D
14
M. Momčilović
79'
M
M. Momčilović
79'
M
6
S. Peña
M
S. Peña
M
11
T. De Barr
64'
M
T. De Barr
64'
M
18
H. Touré
M
H. Touré
M
27
H. Aderoju
87'
M
H. Aderoju
87'
M
42
Y. Silue
F
Y. Silue
F
Bench
45
A. Vukičević
D
A. Vukičević
D
19
D. Rankovic
3'
M
D. Rankovic
3'
M
9
Ethan Hoard
11'
F
Ethan Hoard
11'
F
17
M. Bešić
M
M. Bešić
M
26
M. Fall
D
M. Fall
D
77
M. Gobeljić
3'
D
M. Gobeljić
3'
D
97
N. Stojišić
G
N. Stojišić
G
10
S. Marković
M
S. Marković
M
47
S. StojkoviÄ
D
S. StojkoviÄ
D
7
T. Wouter
26'
F
T. Wouter
26'
F
50
S. Radanović
G
S. Radanović
G
23
M. Ristić
79'
D
M. Ristić
79'
D
13
M. Veljković
D
M. Veljković
D
45
S. Gudelj
D
S. Gudelj
D
3
Y. Nakayama
M
Y. Nakayama
M
22
V. Kostov
M
V. Kostov
M
33
R. Krunić
M
R. Krunić
M
70
M. Cham
55'
M
M. Cham
55'
M
75
L. Loizou
1 👟
79'
M
L. Loizou
1 👟
79'
M
37
V. Lučić
63'
F
V. Lučić
63'
F
10
A. Katai
1 ⚽
79'
F
A. Katai
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
9
B. Dieng
F
B. Dieng
F
30
F. Tebo Uchenna
D
F. Tebo Uchenna
D
8
K. Balov
F
K. Balov
F
7
M. Arnautović
11'
F
M. Arnautović
11'
F
1
Matheus
G
Matheus
G
6
M. Bajo
M
M. Bajo
M
4
M. Ivanić
27'
M
M. Ivanić
27'
M
27
M. Strika
11'
D
M. Strika
11'
D
14
O. Bukari
11'
F
O. Bukari
11'
F
20
Tomás Händel
35'
M
Tomás Händel
35'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Katai
F · FK
8.04
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
M. Veljković
D · FK
7.97
1 shots
· 75 pass
L. Loizou
M · FK
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 29 pass
Vuk Draškić
G · OFK
7.64
· 19 pass
V. Kostov
M · FK
7.60
1 shots
· 51 pass
M. Ristić
D · FK
7.47
1 shots
· 82 pass
OFK Beograd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vuk Draškić | G | 90 | 7.64 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| U. Stojanović | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Pavlovic | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Maraš | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Despotovski | D | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Momčilović | M | 79 | 6.05 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Peña | M | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| T. De Barr | M | 64 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Touré | M | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Aderoju | M | 87 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Silue | F | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rankovic | M | 3 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Ethan Hoard | F | 11 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gobeljić | D | 3 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Wouter | F | 26 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
FK Crvena Zvezda — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Radanović | G | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ristić | D | 79 | 7.47 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Veljković | D | 90 | 7.97 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Gudelj | D | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 0 | 82 | 74% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Nakayama | M | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Kostov | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Krunić | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Cham | M | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Loizou | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Lučić | F | 63 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Katai | F | 79 | 8.04 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Arnautović | F | 11 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ivanić | M | 27 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Strika | D | 11 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Bukari | F | 11 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Tomás Händel | M | 35 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
The final score was OFK Beograd 0–1 FK Crvena Zvezda.
What did the model predict before OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda?
The model assigned 19% probability to a OFK Beograd win, 23% to a draw, and 56% to an FK Crvena Zvezda win.