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Virsliga · Regular Season - 30 September 11, 2026 16:00
#10 · 15 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#4 · 42 pts
Model wrong — prediction FK Liepaja, result Draw
L. Estevez Fernandez (ast. A. Doroshenko) 38'
R. Sibass 50'
79' (ast. D. Patijcuks) E. Oloko
(pen.) 90'+9 E. Oloko
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FK Liepaja a 74% win probability (draw 11%, Ogre United 13%). The final result was Ogre United 2–2 FK Liepaja. In 3 previous meetings, Ogre United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for FK Liepaja.

Match statistics
Match Events
R. Sibass
3'
15'
C. Torres
29'
M. Martins / V. Isajevs
L. Estevez Fernandez · ast. A. Doroshenko
38'
46'
Crysthyan / B. Melnis
46'
V. Sorokins
46'
B. Almazbekov / A. Haidara
46'
K. Iljins / Talisca
R. Sibass
50'
K. Cudars
60'
J. Grinbergs / A. Molotkovs
62'
67'
E. Rodolphe
J. Fokam / I. Pulis
68'
69'
D. Patijcuks / E. Rodolphe
K. Cudars / A. Marchuk
76'
A. Doroshenko / R. Ziemelis
76'
79'
ast. D. Patijcuks · E. Oloko
90'+9
(pen.) E. Oloko
Pre-match prediction
13.89%
Ogre
11.25%
X ←
74.86%
FK
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 11.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ogre
1.14
FK
4.01
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 28 70
2 Riga Riga 29 67
3 Auda Auda 29 57
4 FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 30 42
5 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 29 38
6 Super Nova Super Nova 28 35
7 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 30 32
8 Grobiņa Grobiņa 30 25
9 Tukums Tukums 30 23
10 Ogre United Ogre United 29 15
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
The final score was Ogre United 2–2 FK Liepaja.
What did the model predict before Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
The model assigned 13% probability to a Ogre United win, 11% to a draw, and 74% to an FK Liepaja win.