Virsliga
· Regular Season - 17
June 13, 2026 13:00
✓Model correct — prediction Riga
E. Evelons
(ast. M. Pacepko)
57'
(pen.)
17'
M. Badamosi
32'
(ast. M. Tonisevs)
R. Jurkovskis
48'
(ast. S. Oulad M'Hand)
M. Tonisevs
65'
(ast. Juan Christian)
S. Oulad M'Hand
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 84% win probability (draw 6%, Ogre United 8%). The final result was Ogre United 1–4 Riga. In 1 previous meetings, Ogre United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Riga.
Match statistics
Match Events
F. Machado
14'
17'
(pen.)
M. Badamosi⚽
32'
ast. M. Tonisevs ·
R. Jurkovskis⚽
F. Machado
/ M. Pacepko
46'
M. Kalnins
/ M. Ivulans
46'
K. Gulbis
/ T. Marusiy
46'
48'
ast. S. Oulad M'Hand ·
M. Tonisevs⚽
⚽E. Evelons
· ast. M. Pacepko
57'
M. Marusii
60'
R. Aditajs
/ D. Sedols
61'
65'
ast. Juan Christian ·
S. Oulad M'Hand⚽
66'
Reginaldo Ramires
/
R. Jurkovskis
66'
A. Salazar
/
M. Badamosi
70'
R. Aouani
K. Cudars
/ K. Hayashi
72'
74'
Caio Ferreira
/
Juan Christian
86'
Abner
/
A. Ankrah
86'
B. Pena
/
R. Aouani
Pre-match prediction
8.58%
Ogre
6.8%
X
84.62%
Riga ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Riga)
84.62%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.66
—
—
3.77
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ogre United vs Riga?
The final score was Ogre United 1–4 Riga.
What did the model predict before Ogre United vs Riga?
The model assigned 8% probability to a Ogre United win, 6% to a draw, and 84% to an Riga win.