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#10 · 15 pts
1 – 4
Final score
#2 · 67 pts
Model correct — prediction Riga
E. Evelons (ast. M. Pacepko) 57'
(pen.) 17' M. Badamosi
32' (ast. M. Tonisevs) R. Jurkovskis
48' (ast. S. Oulad M'Hand) M. Tonisevs
65' (ast. Juan Christian) S. Oulad M'Hand
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 84% win probability (draw 6%, Ogre United 8%). The final result was Ogre United 1–4 Riga. In 2 previous meetings, Ogre United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Riga.

Match statistics
Match Events
F. Machado
14'
17'
(pen.) M. Badamosi
32'
ast. M. Tonisevs · R. Jurkovskis
F. Machado / M. Pacepko
46'
M. Kalnins / M. Ivulans
46'
K. Gulbis / T. Marusiy
46'
48'
ast. S. Oulad M'Hand · M. Tonisevs
E. Evelons · ast. M. Pacepko
57'
M. Marusii
60'
R. Aditajs / D. Sedols
61'
65'
ast. Juan Christian · S. Oulad M'Hand
66'
Reginaldo Ramires / R. Jurkovskis
66'
A. Salazar / M. Badamosi
70'
R. Aouani
K. Cudars / K. Hayashi
72'
74'
Caio Ferreira / Juan Christian
86'
Abner / A. Ankrah
86'
B. Pena / R. Aouani
Pre-match prediction
8.58%
Ogre
6.8%
X
84.62%
Riga ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Riga) 84.62% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ogre
0.66
Riga
3.77
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 28 70
2 Riga Riga 29 67
3 Auda Auda 29 57
4 FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 30 42
5 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 29 38
6 Super Nova Super Nova 28 35
7 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 30 32
8 Grobiņa Grobiņa 30 25
9 Tukums Tukums 30 23
10 Ogre United Ogre United 29 15
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ogre United vs Riga?
The final score was Ogre United 1–4 Riga.
What did the model predict before Ogre United vs Riga?
The model assigned 8% probability to a Ogre United win, 6% to a draw, and 84% to an Riga win.