Virsliga
· Regular Season - 31
September 20, 2026 13:00
K. Cudars
45'+1
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Super Nova a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Ogre United 25%). The final result was Ogre United 1–0 Super Nova. In 3 previous meetings, Ogre United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Super Nova.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽K. Cudars
(pen.)
45'+1
46'
V. Lizunovs
/
N. Pathe
46'
K. Romanovs
/
I. Ndiaye
J. Fokam
/ A. Marchuk
62'
M. Ivulans
/ I. Pulis
62'
64'
A. Glaudans
/
Bamba
K. Gulbis
/ V. Mashchenko
69'
73'
E. Emsis
77'
M. Tihonovics
/
R. Kirss
A. Doroshenko
87'
L. Estevez Fernandez
/ R. Ziemelis
90'
A. Doroshenko
/ T. Marusiy
90'
Pre-match prediction
25.73%
Ogre ←
24.69%
X
49.58%
Super
we assigned to the actual result (Ogre United)
25.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
—
—
1.53
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ogre United vs Super Nova?
The final score was Ogre United 1–0 Super Nova.
What did the model predict before Ogre United vs Super Nova?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Ogre United win, 24% to a draw, and 49% to an Super Nova win.