Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Olimpia
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
71'
H. Quintana
(ast. R. Caceres)
72'
F. Cardozo
(ast. R. Benitez)
75'
(og)
66'
R. Caceres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olimpia a 75% win probability (draw 13%, A. Italiano 11%). The final result was Olimpia 3–1 A. Italiano. In 1 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for A. Italiano.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
0
2.49
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
2
Corners
1
16
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
H. Quintana
18'
26'
O. J. Rojas Munoz
58'
F. Loyola
/
M. Fuentes
58'
P. Guajardo
/
O. J. Rojas Munoz
59'
E. Ferrario
M. Gamarra
61'
66'
(og)
R. Caceres⚽
E. Delmas
/ R. Benitez
67'
⚽A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
71'
⚽H. Quintana
· ast. R. Caceres
72'
⚽F. Cardozo
· ast. R. Benitez
75'
A. Alcaraz
/ H. Sandoval
77'
H. Quintana
/ R. Lezcano
77'
78'
M. Jimenez
/
E. Matus
78'
F. Troyansky
/
G. Chiaverano
85'
M. Collao
F. Cardozo
/ F. Alfonso
87'
A. F. Franco Zayas
/ L. Abreu
87'
87'
B. Soto
/
R. Rebolledo
Pre-match prediction
75.74%
Olimpia ←
13.06%
X
11.2%
A.
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Olimpia)
75.74%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.11
2.49
-0.62
0.79
0.18
-0.61
Olimpia dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gastón Olveira
G
30
A. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
D
A. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
D
15
Mateo Gamarra
D
22
Juan Vera
D
27
Raúl Cáceres
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
20
E. Delmás
67'
M
E. Delmás
67'
M
28
Hugo Quintana
1 ⚽
77'
M
8
Alex Franco
87'
M
7
Fernando Cardozo
1 ⚽
87'
M
17
Adrián Alcaraz
77'
F
Adrián Alcaraz
77'
F
Bench
21
Cesar Olmedo
D
Cesar Olmedo
D
10
Derlis González
F
Derlis González
F
35
Franco Alfonso
8'
F
14
Gustavo Vargas
D
9
H. Sandoval
18'
F
H. Sandoval
18'
F
39
L. Abreu
8'
M
L. Abreu
8'
M
33
Lucas Ramírez
D
Lucas Ramírez
D
37
R. Benitez
1 👟
28'
M
R. Benitez
1 👟
28'
M
23
R. Pérez
M
R. Pérez
M
19
Rubén Lezcano
18'
M
11
Sebastián Ferreira
F
25
Sebastián Lentinelly
G
1
T. Ahumada
G
T. Ahumada
G
23
E. Matus
78'
D
E. Matus
78'
D
4
D. Piña
D
D. Piña
D
13
E. Ferrario
D
E. Ferrario
D
16
O. Rojas
58'
D
O. Rojas
58'
D
35
R. Rebolledo
87'
D
R. Rebolledo
87'
D
27
M. Fuentes
58'
M
M. Fuentes
58'
M
8
M. Collao
M
M. Collao
M
2
V. Zenteno
M
V. Zenteno
M
21
G. Chiaverano
78'
F
G. Chiaverano
78'
F
9
D. Coelho
F
D. Coelho
F
Bench
32
Bryan Soto
8'
M
Bryan Soto
8'
M
14
D. Monreal
D
D. Monreal
D
17
F. Loyola
37'
M
F. Loyola
37'
M
28
F. Mateos
M
F. Mateos
M
11
F. Troyansky
17'
F
F. Troyansky
17'
F
31
Martín Ballesteros
G
Martín Ballesteros
G
20
Martín Jiménez
17'
D
Martín Jiménez
17'
D
29
M. Ortiz
D
M. Ortiz
D
6
M. Sandoval
M
M. Sandoval
M
25
P. Garrido
G
P. Garrido
G
7
P. Guajardo
37'
M
P. Guajardo
37'
M
10
Rodrigo Cabral
F
Rodrigo Cabral
F
Best on the pitch
Hugo Quintana
M · Olimpia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
R. Benitez
M · Olimpia
7.50
1 👟
· 5 pass
A. Rodríguez
D · Olimpia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Mateo Gamarra
D · Olimpia
7.20
1 shots
· 43 pass
Raúl Cáceres
D · Olimpia
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Fernando Cardozo
M · Olimpia
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Olveira | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | D | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Gamarra | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Vera | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Raúl Cáceres | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Delmás | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Hugo Quintana | M | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alex Franco | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Cardozo | M | 87 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Alcaraz | F | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Franco Alfonso | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Sandoval | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Abreu | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Benitez | M | 28 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Rubén Lezcano | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
A. Italiano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ahumada | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| E. Matus | D | 78 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Piña | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | — | — | — |
| E. Ferrario | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Rojas | D | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Rebolledo | D | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Fuentes | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Collao | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| V. Zenteno | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Chiaverano | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Coelho | F | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Soto | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Loyola | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Troyansky | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Martín Jiménez | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Guajardo | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olimpia vs A. Italiano?
The final score was Olimpia 3–1 A. Italiano.
What did the model predict before Olimpia vs A. Italiano?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Olimpia win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an A. Italiano win.