Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Olimpia
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
71'
H. Quintana
(ast. R. Caceres)
72'
F. Cardozo
(ast. R. Benitez)
75'
(og)
66'
R. Caceres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olimpia a 75% win probability (draw 13%, A. Italiano 11%). The final result was Olimpia 3–1 A. Italiano. In 1 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for A. Italiano.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
0
2.49
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
2
Corners
1
16
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
H. Quintana
18'
26'
O. J. Rojas Munoz
58'
F. Loyola
/
M. Fuentes
58'
P. Guajardo
/
O. J. Rojas Munoz
59'
E. Ferrario
M. Gamarra
61'
66'
(og)
R. Caceres⚽
E. Delmas
/ R. Benitez
67'
⚽A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
71'
⚽H. Quintana
· ast. R. Caceres
72'
⚽F. Cardozo
· ast. R. Benitez
75'
A. Alcaraz
/ H. Sandoval
77'
H. Quintana
/ R. Lezcano
77'
78'
M. Jimenez
/
E. Matus
78'
F. Troyansky
/
G. Chiaverano
85'
M. Collao
F. Cardozo
/ F. Alfonso
87'
A. F. Franco Zayas
/ L. Abreu
87'
87'
B. Soto
/
R. Rebolledo
Pre-match prediction
75.74%
Olimpia ←
13.06%
X
11.2%
A.
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Olimpia)
75.74%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.11
2.49
-0.62
0.79
0.18
-0.61
Olimpia dominated by xG (2.49 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Olveira
G
G. Olveira
G
30
A. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
D
A. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
D
15
Mateo Gamarra
D
Mateo Gamarra
D
22
Juan Vera
D
Juan Vera
D
27
R. Cáceres
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
R. Cáceres
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
20
Eduardo Delmas
67'
M
Eduardo Delmas
67'
M
28
H. Quintana
1 ⚽
77'
M
H. Quintana
1 ⚽
77'
M
8
Alex Franco
87'
M
Alex Franco
87'
M
7
Fernando Cardozo
1 ⚽
87'
M
Fernando Cardozo
1 ⚽
87'
M
17
A. Alcaraz
77'
F
A. Alcaraz
77'
F
Bench
21
Cesar Olmedo
D
Cesar Olmedo
D
10
Derlis González
F
Derlis González
F
35
Franco Alfonso
8'
F
Franco Alfonso
8'
F
14
G. Vargas
D
G. Vargas
D
9
Hugo Sandoval
18'
F
Hugo Sandoval
18'
F
33
Lucas Ramírez
D
Lucas Ramírez
D
39
Luis Abreu
8'
M
Luis Abreu
8'
M
37
R. Benitez
1 👟
28'
M
R. Benitez
1 👟
28'
M
19
R. Lezcano
18'
M
R. Lezcano
18'
M
23
Rodrigo Pérez
M
Rodrigo Pérez
M
25
Sebastián Lentinelly
G
Sebastián Lentinelly
G
11
S. Ferreira
F
S. Ferreira
F
1
Tomás Ahumada
G
Tomás Ahumada
G
23
E. Matus
78'
D
E. Matus
78'
D
4
Daniel Piña
D
Daniel Piña
D
13
Enzo Ferrario
D
Enzo Ferrario
D
16
Oliver Rojas
58'
D
Oliver Rojas
58'
D
35
Raimundo Rebolledo
87'
D
Raimundo Rebolledo
87'
D
27
Michael Vadulli
58'
M
Michael Vadulli
58'
M
8
M. Collao
M
M. Collao
M
2
Vicente Zenteno
M
Vicente Zenteno
M
21
G. Chiaverano
78'
F
G. Chiaverano
78'
F
9
Diego Coelho
F
Diego Coelho
F
Bench
32
Bryan Soto
8'
M
Bryan Soto
8'
M
14
Diego Monreal
D
Diego Monreal
D
28
Federico Mateos
M
Federico Mateos
M
17
F. Loyola
37'
M
F. Loyola
37'
M
11
Franco Troyansky
17'
F
Franco Troyansky
17'
F
6
Mario Sandoval
M
Mario Sandoval
M
31
Martín Ballesteros
G
Martín Ballesteros
G
20
Martín Jiménez
17'
D
Martín Jiménez
17'
D
29
M. Ortiz
D
M. Ortiz
D
7
Paolo Guajardo
37'
M
Paolo Guajardo
37'
M
25
Pedro Garrido
G
Pedro Garrido
G
10
Rodrigo Cabral
F
Rodrigo Cabral
F
Best on the pitch
H. Quintana
M · Olimpia
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
R. Benitez
M · Olimpia
7.50
1 👟
· 5 pass
A. Rodríguez
D · Olimpia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Mateo Gamarra
D · Olimpia
7.20
1 shots
· 43 pass
R. Cáceres
D · Olimpia
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Fernando Cardozo
M · Olimpia
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Olveira | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | D | 95 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Gamarra | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Vera | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Cáceres | D | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Delmas | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alex Franco | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Cardozo | M | 87 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Alcaraz | F | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Franco Alfonso | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Sandoval | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luis Abreu | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Benitez | M | 28 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lezcano | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
A. Italiano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomás Ahumada | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| E. Matus | D | 78 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Piña | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Ferrario | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Oliver Rojas | D | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Raimundo Rebolledo | D | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Michael Vadulli | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Collao | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Vicente Zenteno | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Chiaverano | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Coelho | F | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Soto | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Loyola | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Franco Troyansky | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Martín Jiménez | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Paolo Guajardo | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olimpia vs A. Italiano?
The final score was Olimpia 3–1 A. Italiano.
What did the model predict before Olimpia vs A. Italiano?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Olimpia win, 13% to a draw, and 11% to an A. Italiano win.