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Olimpia - Cerro Porteno

División Profesional April 19, 2026 22:30
Olimpia
#1 · 49 pts
vs
Cerro Porteno
#3 · 38 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.23%
Win
Olimpia
22.25%
Draw
26.51%
Win
Cerro Porteno
2.08
Expected xG
1.42

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.3%)
1X2 Result
1 51%
X 22%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 49%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 68%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Olimpia a 51% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Cerro Porteno. Expected goals are 2.1 for Olimpia and 1.4 for Cerro Porteno (total 3.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cerro Porteno.

Season Stats

Olimpia
11W 3D 1L
Cerro Porteno
10W 2D 3L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.6
0.5
Conceded
0.8
8.0
Shots OT
6.5
4.5
Corners
9.0
65%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
73%
33%
O 2.5
33%
40%
BTTS
27%
60%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in División Profesional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
44%
BTTS
Olimpia
6W 2D 0L · at home
Cerro Porteno
5W 2D 1L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.6
0.6
Conceded
1.0
75%
Win %
63%
100%
Win or Draw
88%
63%
O 1.5
63%
50%
O 2.5
38%
25%
O 3.5
38%
50%
BTTS
38%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
13%
Failed to Score
38%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Olimpia Cerro Porteno →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1% 4.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.3% 9.0% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% —

Recent form

Olimpia Olimpia
W Sportivo Luqueno 1–2
W Deportivo Recoleta 3–2
L Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0
D Sportivo Ameliano 1–1
L Libertad Asuncion 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
W Rubio NU 2–0
L Sportivo Trinidense 3–1
D Club Guarani 0–0
L Deportivo Recoleta 2–1
D Sportivo Ameliano 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Olimpia Olimpia
Attack
50
Defence
68
Form
57
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
Attack
39
Defence
74
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Olimpia
0
Draw
0
Cerro Porteno
21 Feb 2026 División Profesional 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Olimpia Olimpia 22 49
2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 22 39
3 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 22 38
4 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 22 33
5 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 22 32
6 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 22 31
7 Club Guarani Club Guarani 22 29
8 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 22 28
9 Rubio NU Rubio NU 22 23
10 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 22 22
11 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 22 20
12 Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22 15
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno?
The model gives Olimpia a 51% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 26% for an Cerro Porteno win.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno?
Expected goals: Olimpia 2.1, Cerro Porteno 1.4 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.3%.