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Olimpia - Deportivo Recoleta

División Profesional May 15, 2026 14:30
Olimpia
#1 · 43 pts
vs
Deportivo Recoleta
#8 · 25 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.39%
Win
Olimpia
20.35%
Draw
16.25%
Win
Deportivo Recoleta
2.2
Expected xG
0.97
Model prediction
Olimpia
63.39%
Probability
60.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Olimpia a 63% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Deportivo Recoleta. Expected goals are 2.2 for Olimpia and 1.0 for Deportivo Recoleta (total 3.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Recoleta.

Score Matrix
↕ Olimpia Deportivo Recoleta →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% —
1 9.3% 9.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% —
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
Recent form
Olimpia Olimpia
L Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0
D Sportivo Ameliano 1–1
L Libertad Asuncion 3–2
W Rubio NU 0–2
W Nacional Asuncion 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 41%
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
L Sportivo Ameliano 3–2
W Cerro Porteno 2–1
L Nacional Asuncion 2–1
W 2 de Mayo 5–0
L Sportivo Luqueno 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Olimpia Olimpia
Attack
48
Defence
73
Form
62
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
Attack
38
Defence
64
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Olimpia
0
Draw
0
Deportivo Recoleta
W 14 Mar 2026 División Profesional 1–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Olimpia Olimpia 20 43
2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 20 35
3 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 20 35
4 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 20 33
5 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 21 31
6 Club Guarani Club Guarani 20 26
7 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 20 26
8 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 20 25
9 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 21 22
10 Rubio NU Rubio NU 20 22
11 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 20 19
12 Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 20 11
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model gives Olimpia a 63% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 16% for an Deportivo Recoleta win.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Expected goals: Olimpia 2.2, Deportivo Recoleta 1.0 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.2%.