División Profesional
· Apertura - 19
May 03, 2026 14:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Olimpia, result Draw
A. Silva
68'
(pen.)
28'
(ast. J. Benitez)
E. Vera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olimpia a 55% win probability (draw 21%, Sportivo Ameliano 22%). The final result was Olimpia 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano. In 1 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sportivo Ameliano.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
0
17
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
28'
ast. J. Benitez ·
E. Vera⚽
28'
E. Vera
R. Sanchez
/ R. Lezcano
43'
46'
L. Ayala
/
J. Sanguina
H. Quintana
/ A. Alcaraz
46'
S. Ferreira
/ H. Sandoval
61'
61'
C. Favero
/
S. Aranda
E. Delmas
/ A. Silva
61'
61'
M. Leon
/
V. Larralde
66'
M. Martinez
⚽A. Silva
(pen.)
68'
70'
A. Falabella
72'
C. Ocampos
/
E. Vera
R. Benitez
73'
R. Benitez
/ A. F. Franco Zayas
84'
86'
E. Moreira
/
J. Benitez
H. Sandoval
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
55.58%
Olimpia
21.49%
X ←
22.93%
Sportivo
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.13
—
—
1.32
—
—
Lineups
1
Gastón Olveira
G
30
Alan Rodríguez
D
15
Mateo Gamarra
D
14
Gustavo Vargas
D
27
Raúl Cáceres
D
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
37
R. Benitez
84'
M
R. Benitez
84'
M
28
H. Quintana
45'
M
H. Quintana
45'
M
26
Richard Sánchez
43'
M
20
Eduardo Delmas
61'
M
11
Sebastián Ferreira
61'
F
Bench
17
Adrián Alcaraz
45'
F
Adrián Alcaraz
45'
F
3
Alejandro Silva
1 ⚽
29'
M
Alejandro Silva
1 ⚽
29'
M
8
Alex Franco
11'
M
2
B. Bentaberry
D
B. Bentaberry
D
7
Fernando Cardozo
F
9
Hugo Sandoval
29'
F
29
I. Leguizamon
M
19
Rubén Lezcano
47'
M
23
Miguel Martínez
G
Miguel Martínez
G
19
Abel Paredes
D
Abel Paredes
D
22
Andrea Falabella
D
Andrea Falabella
D
26
D
21
Fabián Franco
D
Fabián Franco
D
6
Jonathan Benitez Benitez
1 👟
86'
M
Jonathan Benitez Benitez
1 👟
86'
M
10
E. Vera
1 ⚽
72'
M
E. Vera
1 ⚽
72'
M
30
R. Cabral
M
R. Cabral
M
20
Valentín Larralde
61'
M
Valentín Larralde
61'
M
11
Sebastian Fabian Aranda Marin
61'
M
Sebastian Fabian Aranda Marin
61'
M
28
J. Sanguina
45'
F
J. Sanguina
45'
F
Bench
9
Cristhian Ocampos
18'
F
Cristhian Ocampos
18'
F
38
Fabrizio Portillo
M
Fabrizio Portillo
M
24
Luis Ayala
45'
M
Luis Ayala
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Mateo Gamarra
D · Olimpia
7.50
1 shots
· 52 pass
Andrea Falabella
D · Sportivo
7.50
· 54 pass
E. Vera
M · Sportivo
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Fabián Franco
D · Sportivo
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
Abel Paredes
D · Sportivo
7.30
· 30 pass
Alejandro Silva
M · Olimpia
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Olveira | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Mateo Gamarra | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Vargas | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Raúl Cáceres | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 76 | 65% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Benitez | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 18 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Richard Sánchez | M | 43 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Delmas | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Sebastián Ferreira | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Adrián Alcaraz | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Silva | M | 29 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alex Franco | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Sandoval | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rubén Lezcano | M | 47 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
Sportivo Ameliano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Martínez | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Abel Paredes | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Andrea Falabella | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — | |
| Fabián Franco | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Benitez Benitez | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Vera | M | 72 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Cabral | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Valentín Larralde | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Fabian Aranda Marin | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Sanguina | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Ocampos | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Ayala | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The final score was Olimpia 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano.
What did the model predict before Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Olimpia win, 21% to a draw, and 22% to an Sportivo Ameliano win.