Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 16
August 21, 2026 00:00
E. Matus
15'
29'
(ast. David)
Thiago Mendes
36'
(ast. J. Rodriguez)
David
70'
(ast. Thiago Mendes)
Adson
84'
(ast. J. Rodriguez)
C. Spinelli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Olimpia 33%). The final result was Olimpia 1–4 Vasco DA Gama. In 3 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
9
0.70
Actual xG
2.30
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
3
Match Events
⚽E. Matus
15'
22'
Ramon Rique
29'
ast. David ·
Thiago Mendes⚽
36'
ast. J. Rodriguez ·
David⚽
55'
A. Gomez
F. Cardozo
/ H. Sandoval
55'
B. Romero
/ S. Ferreira
63'
63'
Tche Tche
/
Ramon Rique
H. Sandoval
64'
B. Bentaberry
66'
70'
ast. Thiago Mendes ·
Adson⚽
77'
78'
Thiago Mendes
79'
N. Moreira
/
A. Gomez
79'
C. Spinelli
/
David
J. F. Alfaro
/ A. F. Franco Zayas
80'
B. Bentaberry
/ G. Vargas
80'
E. Delmas
/ R. Lezcano
80'
83'
C. Cuesta
84'
ast. J. Rodriguez ·
C. Spinelli⚽
86'
Paulo Henrique
/
Robert Renan
86'
Lucas Freitas
/
Adson
Pre-match prediction
33.21%
Olimpia
30.77%
X
36.02%
Vasco ←
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
36.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
0.70
-0.47
1.62
2.30
+0.68
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (2.30 vs 0.70).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gastón Olveira
G
Gastón Olveira
G
23
E. Matus
1 ⚽
D
E. Matus
1 ⚽
D
15
Mateo Gamarra
D
2
B. Bentaberry
D
B. Bentaberry
D
27
Raúl Cáceres
D
26
Richard Sánchez
M
37
R. Benitez
M
R. Benitez
M
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
7
F. Cardozo
M
F. Cardozo
M
20
E. Delmás
M
E. Delmás
M
31
Braian Romero
F
Bench
8
Alex Franco
M
30
A. Rodríguez
D
A. Rodríguez
D
35
F. Alfonso
F
F. Alfonso
F
14
Gustavo Vargas
D
9
H. Sandoval
F
H. Sandoval
F
22
Juan Vera
D
6
R. Ortiz
M
R. Ortiz
M
19
Rubén Lezcano
M
11
Sebastián Ferreira
F
25
Sebastián Lentinelly
G
24
Tiago Caballero
F
4
T. Payne
D
T. Payne
D
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
D
Cuiabano
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
2
Puma Rodríguez
2 👟
D
Puma Rodríguez
2 👟
D
23
Thiago Mendes
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Thiago Mendes
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
83
Ramon Rique
M
Ramon Rique
M
11
A. Gómez
F
A. Gómez
F
7
David
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
David
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
28
Adson
1 ⚽
F
Adson
1 ⚽
F
Bench
82
Avellar
D
Avellar
D
80
Bruno Andre
D
Bruno Andre
D
77
C. Spinelli
1 ⚽
F
C. Spinelli
1 ⚽
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
86
Lukas Zuccarello
M
Lukas Zuccarello
M
18
Marino Hinestroza
F
Marino Hinestroza
F
17
Nuno Moreira
M
Nuno Moreira
M
96
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
67
Samuel Jesus
M
3
Tchê Tchê
M
Tchê Tchê
M
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Olveira | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Matus | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Gamarra | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Bentaberry | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Cáceres | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richard Sánchez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Benitez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Cardozo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Delmás | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Braian Romero | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Puma Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gómez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adson | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Olimpia 1–4 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Olimpia win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an Vasco DA Gama win.