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Olimpia - Vasco DA Gama

Copa Sudamericana August 19, 2026 22:00
Olimpia
#1 · 13 pts
vs
Vasco DA Gama
#2 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.54%
Win
Olimpia
24.78%
Draw
25.68%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
2.51
Expected xG
1.28

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.82%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 50%
X 25%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 51%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 63%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Olimpia a 49% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Vasco DA Gama. Expected goals are 2.5 for Olimpia and 1.3 for Vasco DA Gama (total 3.8), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.82% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vasco DA Gama.

Season Stats

Olimpia
5W 1D 1L
Vasco DA Gama
6W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.2
6.3
Shots OT
5.0
5.1
Corners
4.6
59%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
71%
O 1.5
67%
57%
O 2.5
60%
43%
BTTS
40%
43%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Olimpia
2W 1D 0L · at home
Vasco DA Gama
1W 3D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.1
0.7
Conceded
2.2
67%
Win %
13%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
75%
67%
O 2.5
75%
67%
O 3.5
63%
67%
BTTS
63%
33%
Clean Sht
13%
33%
Failed to Score
38%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Olimpia Vasco DA Gama →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 2.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.7% 7.3% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Olimpia Olimpia
W A. Italiano 3–1
W Vasco DA Gama 3–1
W Barracas Central 1–2
L Vasco DA Gama 3–0
D Barracas Central 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
W Independiente Medellin 1–0
D Independiente Medellin 2–2
W Barracas Central 3–0
L Olimpia 3–1
W A. Italiano 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Olimpia Olimpia
Attack
54
Defence
61
Form
63
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Attack
38
Defence
65
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Olimpia
0
Draw
1
Vasco DA Gama
21 May 2026 Copa Sudamericana 3–1
1 May 2026 Copa Sudamericana 0–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model gives Olimpia a 49% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 25% for an Vasco DA Gama win.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
Expected goals: Olimpia 2.5, Vasco DA Gama 1.3 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.82%.