Oliveirense - Penafiel
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.27%
Win
Oliveirense
27.93%
Draw
31.8%
Win
Penafiel
2.89
2.1
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.74%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
28%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
60%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Oliveirense a 40% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Penafiel. Expected goals are 2.9 for Oliveirense and 2.1 for Penafiel (total 5.0), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.74% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Oliveirense have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Penafiel.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
0W
1D
0L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
1.0
0.7
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Oliveirense
Penafiel →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 5 | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Oliveirense
Attack
41
Defence
66
Form
57
Penafiel
Attack
35
Defence
65
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Oliveirense vs Penafiel?
The model gives Oliveirense a 40% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 31% for an Penafiel win.
How many goals are expected in Oliveirense vs Penafiel?
Expected goals: Oliveirense 2.9, Penafiel 2.1 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Oliveirense vs Penafiel?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.74%.