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Oliveirense - Penalva Castelo

⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Oliveirense
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Penalva Castelo
0.68
Expected xG
0.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.3%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Oliveirense a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Penalva Castelo. Expected goals are 0.7 for Oliveirense and 0.9 for Penalva Castelo (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.3% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Oliveirense Penalva Castelo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.9% 18.6% 8.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.1% 12.6% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5

Recent form

D Torreense 1–1
W Monção 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
No data available

Playing profile

Oliveirense Oliveirense
Attack
23
Defence
69
Form
47
Penalva Castelo Penalva Castelo
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo?
The model gives Oliveirense a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Penalva Castelo win.
How many goals are expected in Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo?
Expected goals: Oliveirense 0.7, Penalva Castelo 0.9 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.