Oltrepò - Pavia
Serie D - Girone D
September 13, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.67%
Win
Oltrepò
32.55%
Draw
34.78%
Win
Pavia
0.96
1.83
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.4%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
65%
X2
67%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pavia a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Oltrepò. Expected goals are 1.0 for Oltrepò and 1.8 for Pavia (total 2.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Oltrepò have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pavia.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
0W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
2.0
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Serie D - Girone D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Oltrepò
Pavia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Oltrepò
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
31
Pavia
Attack
0
Defence
100
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Castellanzese
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Pistoiese
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Varesina
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Lentigione
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Pro Patria
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
USD Casatese
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Correggese
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Città di Varese
|
1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Sant'Angelo
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Coriano
|
1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Pavia
|
1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Crema
|
1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Pro Sesto
|
1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Arconatese
|
1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Oltrepò
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Pontedera
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Solbiatese
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Oltrepò vs Pavia?
The model gives Oltrepò a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Pavia win.
How many goals are expected in Oltrepò vs Pavia?
Expected goals: Oltrepò 1.0, Pavia 1.8 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Oltrepò vs Pavia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.