Oltrepò - Pavia
Serie D - Girone D
September 12, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.01%
Win
Oltrepò
32.49%
Draw
34.5%
Win
Pavia
1.24
2.0
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.98%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
32%
2
35%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
67%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pavia a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Oltrepò. Expected goals are 1.2 for Oltrepò and 2.0 for Pavia (total 3.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.98% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Oltrepò have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pavia.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
0W
1D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
2.0
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Serie D - Girone D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Oltrepò
Pavia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Oltrepò
Attack
12
Defence
55
Form
27
Pavia
Attack
26
Defence
78
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pistoiese
|
10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Lentigione
|
10 | 21 |
| 3 |
Pro Patria
|
10 | 20 |
| 4 |
Castellanzese
|
10 | 19 |
| 5 |
USD Casatese
|
10 | 16 |
| 6 |
Pro Sesto
|
10 | 15 |
| 7 |
Pavia
|
10 | 14 |
| 8 |
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
10 | 14 |
| 9 |
Solbiatese
|
10 | 14 |
| 10 |
Sant'Angelo
|
10 | 14 |
| 11 |
Città di Varese
|
10 | 13 |
| 12 |
Correggese
|
10 | 12 |
| 13 |
Crema
|
10 | 12 |
| 14 |
Varesina
|
10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Pontedera
|
10 | 7 |
| 16 |
Coriano
|
10 | 6 |
| 17 |
Arconatese
|
10 | 6 |
| 18 |
Oltrepò
|
10 | 5 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Oltrepò vs Pavia?
The model gives Oltrepò a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Pavia win.
How many goals are expected in Oltrepò vs Pavia?
Expected goals: Oltrepò 1.2, Pavia 2.0 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Oltrepò vs Pavia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.98%.