Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia — pre-match prediction — Europa League — September 16, 2026

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Europa League · League Stage - 1 September 16, 2026 21:00

Olympiakos Piraeus

#5 · 9 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Jagiellonia

#27 · 3 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Olympiakos Piraeus

A. Gonzalez (ast. P. Retsos) 43'

R. Yaremchuk (ast. R. Freuler) 84'

20' (ast. N. Prelec) K. Szmyt

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 64% win probability (draw 16%, Jagiellonia 19%). The final result was Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.26

Actual xG

0.52

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

20'

ast. N. Prelec · K. Szmyt⚽

29'

N. Wojtuszek

B. Onyemaechi

38'

⚽A. Gonzalez · ast. P. Retsos

43'

↕ B. Onyemaechi / N. Tiknizyan

46'

E. Kozlowski / T. Romanczuk ↕

54'

G. Montoia

↕ A. Gonzalez / R. Yaremchuk

62'

63'

H. Finndell / A. Klynge ↕

63'

Y. Sylla / J. Imaz ↕

75'

S. Lozano / N. Prelec ↕

S. Hezze

76'

↕ S. Hezze / L. Bailey

77'

↕ Chiquinho / G. Puerta

77'

80'

B. Vital

↕ M. Saliakas / M. Pedersen

82'

⚽R. Yaremchuk · ast. R. Freuler

84'

87'

J. Agbonifo / R. Conceicao ↕

Pre-match prediction

64.11%

Olympiakos ←

16.88%

19.0%

Jagiellonia

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Olympiakos Piraeus) 64.11% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Olympiakos

2.94

2.26

-0.68

Jagiellonia

1.46

0.52

-0.94

Olympiakos Piraeus dominated by xG (2.26 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Benfica	3	9
2	Bayer Leverkusen	3	9
3	Bournemouth	3	9
4	Ferencvarosi TC	3	9
5	Olympiakos Piraeus	3	9
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	7
7	Juventus	3	7
8	Beşiktaş	3	7
9	Sunderland	3	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	6
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	6
12	Lyon	3	6
13	Rennes	3	5
14	Real Sociedad	3	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	4
16	Sparta Praha	3	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	4
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	4
19	Sturm Graz	3	4
20	NEC Nijmegen	3	4
21	Red Bull Salzburg	3	4
22	Anderlecht	3	3
23	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
24	AC Milan	3	3
25	Celta Vigo	3	3
26	OFI	3	3
27	Jagiellonia	3	3
28	Torreense	3	3
29	Celje	3	1
30	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	1
31	Lillestrom	3	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	1
33	Plzen	3	0
34	Marseille	3	0
35	Celtic	3	0
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	0

Lineups

Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1

S. Ortega G 6.20

S. Onyemaechi 45' D 6.20

L. Pirola D 6.60

P. Retsos 1 👟 D 6.30

M. Saliakas 82' D 6.20

R. Freuler 1 👟 M 8.00

S. Hezze 77' M 7.00

Gelson Martins M 7.00

Chiquinho 77' M 7.30

Jota Silva M 6.30

A. González 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.20

Bench

C. Filis M

David Carmo D

D. Stournaras G

Georgios Kouraklis G

G. Puerta 16' M 6.60

L. Bailey 16' F 6.90

M. Pedersen 11' D 6.30

N. Tiknizyan 48' D 6.60

R. Yaremchuk 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.50

Theofanis Bakoulas M

Z. Smajlović D

Jagiellonia 4-3-3

S. Abramowicz G 7.90

Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia D 6.20

A. Konstantopoulos D 6.30

Bernardo Vital D 6.30

N. Wojtuszek D 6.70

A. Klynge 63' M 7.20

T. Romanczuk 45' M 7.00

Jesús Imaz 63' M 6.30

K. Szmyt 1 ⚽ F 8.30

N. Prelec 1 👟 75' F 7.30

Rodrigo Conceição 87' F 6.90

Bench

A. Ćirković F

Bartlomiej Krasiewicz D

B. Wdowik D

D. Stojinović D

Eryk Kozlowski 48' M 6.20

H. Finndell 30' M 6.30

J. Agbonifo 6' F

Jakub Rabiczko G

K. Jóźwiak M

M. Perchel G

Sergio Lozano 18' M 6.30

Y. Sylla 30' F 6.60

Best on the pitch

K. Szmyt

F · Jagiellonia

8.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

R. Freuler

M · Olympiakos

8.00

1 👟

1 shots · 58 pass

S. Abramowicz

G · Jagiellonia

7.90

· 39 pass

R. Yaremchuk

F · Olympiakos

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 5 pass

N. Prelec

F · Jagiellonia

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 17 pass

Chiquinho

M · Olympiakos

7.30

2 shots · 19 pass

Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Ortega	G	93	6.20	—	—	—	22	17%	—	—	—
S. Onyemaechi	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	23	20%	—	1	—
L. Pirola	D	93	6.60	—	—	—	57	52%	—	—	—
P. Retsos	D	93	6.30	—	1	3	61	53%	1	—	—
M. Saliakas	D	82	6.20	—	—	2	41	31%	1	—	—
R. Freuler	M	93	8.00	—	1	1	58	51%	1	—	—
S. Hezze	M	77	7.00	—	—	1	56	48%	2	1	—
Gelson Martins	M	93	7.00	—	—	—	40	33%	2	—	—
Chiquinho	M	77	7.30	—	—	2	19	17%	—	—	—
Jota Silva	M	93	6.30	—	—	4	17	10%	1	—	—
A. González	F	62	7.20	1	—	2	9	8%	—	—	—
G. Puerta	M	16	6.60	—	—	—	8	6%	2	—	—
L. Bailey	F	16	6.90	—	—	—	5	4%	1	—	—
M. Pedersen	D	11	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
N. Tiknizyan	D	48	6.60	—	—	—	37	27%	1	—	—
R. Yaremchuk	F	31	7.50	1	—	2	5	3%	—	—	—

Jagiellonia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Abramowicz	G	93	7.90	—	—	—	39	32%	—	—	—
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia	D	93	6.20	—	—	—	37	24%	3	1	—
A. Konstantopoulos	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	40	34%	1	—	—
Bernardo Vital	D	93	6.30	—	—	—	53	42%	—	1	—
N. Wojtuszek	D	93	6.70	—	—	—	31	26%	4	1	—
A. Klynge	M	63	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	2	—	—
T. Romanczuk	M	45	7.00	—	—	1	21	16%	2	—	—
Jesús Imaz	M	63	6.30	—	—	—	20	13%	1	—	—
K. Szmyt	F	93	8.30	1	—	1	15	13%	2	—	—
N. Prelec	F	75	7.30	—	1	1	17	9%	1	—	—
Rodrigo Conceição	F	87	6.90	—	—	1	10	6%	3	—	—
Eryk Kozlowski	M	48	6.20	—	—	—	13	7%	1	—	—
H. Finndell	M	30	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	1	—	—
J. Agbonifo	F	6	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Sergio Lozano	M	18	6.30	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—
Y. Sylla	F	30	6.60	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?

The final score was Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia.

What did the model predict before Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?

The model assigned 64% probability to a Olympiakos Piraeus win, 16% to a draw, and 19% to an Jagiellonia win.