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Olympiakos Piraeus - Jagiellonia

Europa League September 16, 2026 21:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
#26 · 0 pts
vs
Jagiellonia
#15 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
62.99%
Win
Olympiakos Piraeus
17.64%
Draw
19.37%
Win
Jagiellonia
2.88
Expected xG
1.34
Most likely outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus
62.99%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.72%)
1X2 Result
1 63%
X 18%
2 19%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 81%
X2 37%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 77%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 62% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 19% for Jagiellonia. Expected goals are 2.9 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.3 for Jagiellonia (total 4.2), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.72% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Olympiakos Piraeus Jagiellonia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 6.1% 8.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.2% 5.6% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.4% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
W FC Iberia 1999 1–2
W FC Iberia 1999 4–0
D Rangers 1–1
W Rangers 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack
55
Defence
70
Form
45
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
Attack
42
Defence
59
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
The model gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 62% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 19% for an Jagiellonia win.
How many goals are expected in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
Expected goals: Olympiakos Piraeus 2.9, Jagiellonia 1.3 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.72%.