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Super League · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 20:00 Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
#2 · 19 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Panathinaikos
#1 · 21 pts
Panagiotis Retsos (ast. Remo Freuler) 34'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 35% win probability (draw 35%, Panathinaikos 28%). The final result was Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos. In 4 previous meetings, Olympiakos Piraeus have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Panathinaikos.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
2
0.81
Actual xG
0.53
2
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
2
Corners
7
29
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
7
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Kostas Fortounis
25'
25'
Vicente Taborda
⚽Panagiotis Retsos · ast. Remo Freuler
34'
43'
Santino Andino
Panagiotis Retsos
45'+2
45'
Kings Kangwa / Etiene Camara ↕
45'
Anass Salah-Eddine / Giorgos Kyriakopoulos ↕
47'
Anass Salah-Eddine
51'
Stefan de Vrij
62'
Levi García / Vicente Taborda ↕
Manolis Saliakas
63'
Manolis Saliakas
66'
↕ Marius Mouandilmadji / Roman Yaremchuk
69'
↕ Kostas Fortounis / Gelson Martins
70'
↕ Chiquinho / Marcus Pedersen
70'
73'
Cyriel Dessers / Santino Andino ↕
77'
Levi García
82'
Imrân Louza
↕ Nayair Tiknizyan / Bruno Onyemaechi
83'
83'
Adriano Jagusic / Azzedine Ounahi ↕
↕ Gustavo Puerta / Santiago Hezze
89'
90'+3
Adriano Jagusic
Pre-match prediction
35.81%
Olympiakos ←
35.53%
X
28.66%
Panathinaikos
we assigned to the actual result (Olympiakos Piraeus) 35.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Olympiakos
0.94
0.81
-0.13
Panathinaikos
0.58
0.53
-0.05
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 0.53). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 8 21
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 8 19
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 7 17
4 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 8 16
5 PAOK PAOK 8 15
6 OFI OFI 8 13
7 Kifisia Kifisia 8 11
8 Kalamata Kalamata 8 10
9 Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 8 9
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos 8 9
11 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 8 6
12 Levadiakos Levadiakos 8 3
13 Atromitos Atromitos 7 2
14 Volos NFC Volos NFC 8 0
Lineups
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega S. Ortega G 6.99
71 N. Tiknizyan N. Tiknizyan 83' D 7.18
5 L. Pirola L. Pirola D 7.42
45 P. Retsos P. Retsos 1 ⚽ D 8.22
2 M. Saliakas M. Saliakas 66' D 6.25
19 R. Freuler R. Freuler 1 👟 M 7.25
15 G. Puerta G. Puerta 89' M 6.66
7 K. Fortounis K. Fortounis 70' M 7.50
22 Chiquinho Chiquinho 70' M 6.86
20 Jota Silva Jota Silva M 6.32
99 M. Mouandilmadji M. Mouandilmadji 69' F 6.35
Bench
34 A. González A. González F 0.00
31 B. Popović B. Popović G 0.00
6 David Carmo David Carmo D 0.00
10 Gelson Martins Gelson Martins 20' M 6.61
8 Gustavo Sá Gustavo Sá M 0.00
73 Joel Roca Joel Roca M 0.00
17 L. Bailey L. Bailey F 0.00
27 M. Pedersen M. Pedersen 20' D 6.98
11 R. Yaremchuk R. Yaremchuk 21' F 6.55
32 S. Hezze S. Hezze 1' M 6.78
70 S. Onyemaechi S. Onyemaechi 7' D 7.12
4 Z. Smajlović Z. Smajlović D 0.00
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4-4-2
1 Iñaki Peña Iñaki Peña G 6.07
77 G. Kiriakopoulos G. Kiriakopoulos 45' D 6.46
55 R. van Drongelen R. van Drongelen D 6.79
6 S. de Vrij S. de Vrij D 5.84
2 D. Calabria D. Calabria D 6.74
10 Santino Andino Santino Andino 73' M 6.00
26 I. Louza I. Louza M 6.76
22 E. Camara E. Camara 45' M 6.23
20 V. Taborda V. Taborda 62' M 6.43
21 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi 83' F 6.67
7 A. Tetteh A. Tetteh F 5.62
Bench
8 Adriano Jagušić Adriano Jagušić 7' M 5.97
5 A. Salah-Eddine A. Salah-Eddine 45' D 5.66
9 C. Dessers C. Dessers 17' F 6.31
14 E. Palmer-Brown E. Palmer-Brown D 0.00
74 E. Rastoder E. Rastoder F 0.00
28 F. Pellistri F. Pellistri M 0.00
42 K. Kangwa K. Kangwa 45' M 7.06
70 K. Kotsaris K. Kotsaris G 0.00
12 L. Chaves L. Chaves G 0.00
99 L. García L. García 28' F 6.33
4 Pedro Chirivella Pedro Chirivella M 0.00
19 T. Tsapras T. Tsapras M 0.00
Best on the pitch
P. Retsos
P. Retsos
D · Olympiakos
8.22
1 ⚽
1 shots · 55 pass
K. Fortounis
K. Fortounis
M · Olympiakos
7.50
2 shots · 18 pass
L. Pirola
L. Pirola
D · Olympiakos
7.42
· 46 pass
R. Freuler
R. Freuler
M · Olympiakos
7.25
1 👟
1 shots · 32 pass
N. Tiknizyan
N. Tiknizyan
D · Olympiakos
7.18
· 16 pass
S. Onyemaechi
S. Onyemaechi
D · Olympiakos
7.12
· 2 pass
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Ortega G 90 6.99 — — 0 41 24% 0 — —
N. Tiknizyan D 83 7.18 — — 0 16 13% 1 — —
L. Pirola D 90 7.42 — — 0 46 38% 5 — —
P. Retsos D 90 8.22 1 — 1 55 49% 5 1 —
M. Saliakas D 66 6.25 — — 0 26 20% 2 — 1
R. Freuler M 90 7.25 — 1 1 32 24% 5 — —
G. Puerta M 89 6.66 — — 0 29 26% 2 — —
K. Fortounis M 70 7.50 — — 2 18 13% 0 1 —
Chiquinho M 70 6.86 — — 2 11 8% 6 — —
Jota Silva M 90 6.32 — — 3 11 5% 2 — —
M. Mouandilmadji F 69 6.35 — — 2 10 6% 0 — —
Gelson Martins M 20 6.61 — — 1 6 2% 1 — —
M. Pedersen D 20 6.98 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
R. Yaremchuk F 21 6.55 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
S. Hezze M 1 6.78 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
S. Onyemaechi D 7 7.12 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Iñaki Peña G 90 6.07 — — 0 33 23% 0 — —
G. Kiriakopoulos D 45 6.46 — — 0 24 19% 1 — —
R. van Drongelen D 90 6.79 — — 1 61 55% 3 — —
S. de Vrij D 90 5.84 — — 0 58 45% 1 1 —
D. Calabria D 90 6.74 — — 0 45 35% 3 — —
Santino Andino M 73 6.00 — — 0 10 6% 0 1 —
I. Louza M 90 6.76 — — 0 77 71% 1 1 —
E. Camara M 45 6.23 — — 0 18 15% 1 — —
V. Taborda M 62 6.43 — — 2 24 21% 3 1 —
A. Ounahi F 83 6.67 — — 1 32 30% 1 — —
A. Tetteh F 90 5.62 — — 2 8 4% 0 — —
Adriano Jagušić M 7 5.97 — — 0 7 4% 0 1 —
A. Salah-Eddine D 45 5.66 — — 2 26 18% 0 1 —
C. Dessers F 17 6.31 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
K. Kangwa M 45 7.06 — — 0 21 19% 4 — —
L. García F 28 6.33 — — 1 13 12% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
The final score was Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos.
What did the model predict before Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Olympiakos Piraeus win, 35% to a draw, and 28% to an Panathinaikos win.