Super League
· Championship Group - 4
May 10, 2026 18:30
Rodinei
(ast. S. Hezze)
61'
69'
(ast. A. R. Baba)
G. Konstantelias
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 49% win probability (draw 30%, PAOK 20%). The final result was Olympiakos Piraeus 1–1 PAOK. In 4 previous meetings, Olympiakos Piraeus have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for PAOK.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
4
7
Shots on target
2
2.10
Actual xG
0.80
1
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
1
16
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
D. Podence
/ G. Martins
31'
51'
A. R. Baba
52'
S. Meite
L. Pirola
52'
⚽Rodinei
· ast. S. Hezze
61'
63'
M. Ozdoev
/
S. Meite
63'
Taison
/
L. Ivanusec
A. El Kaabi
/ M. Taremi
67'
69'
ast. A. R. Baba ·
G. Konstantelias⚽
Costinha
/ G. Biancone
78'
Chiquinho
/ C. Mouzakitis
78'
80'
C. Zafeiris
83'
A. Bianco
/
C. Zafeiris
89'
A. Jeremejeff
90'+5
A. Bianco
90'+5
A. Zivkovic
Pre-match prediction
49.55%
Olympiakos
30.06%
X ←
20.39%
PAOK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
2.10
+0.53
0.94
0.80
-0.14
Olympiakos Piraeus dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
88
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G
70
Onyemaechi Bruno
D
Onyemaechi Bruno
D
5
Lorenzo Pirola
D
Lorenzo Pirola
D
45
Panagiotis Retsos
D
Panagiotis Retsos
D
20
Costinha
78'
D
Costinha
78'
D
14
Dani García
M
Dani García
M
32
S. Hezze
1 👟
M
S. Hezze
1 👟
M
56
Daniel Podence
31'
M
Daniel Podence
31'
M
22
Chiquinho
78'
M
Chiquinho
78'
M
23
Rodinei
1 ⚽
M
Rodinei
1 ⚽
M
9
A. El Kaabi
67'
F
A. El Kaabi
67'
F
Bench
1
Alexandros Paschalakis
G
Alexandros Paschalakis
G
6
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
D
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
D
17
André Luiz
F
André Luiz
F
67
Argyrios Liatsikouras
M
Argyrios Liatsikouras
M
96
Christos Mouzakitis
12'
M
Christos Mouzakitis
12'
M
8
Diogo Nascimento
M
Diogo Nascimento
M
10
Gelson Martins
59'
M
Gelson Martins
59'
M
61
Georgios Kouraklis
G
Georgios Kouraklis
G
4
Giulian Biancone
12'
D
Giulian Biancone
12'
D
16
Lorenzo Scipioni
M
Lorenzo Scipioni
M
99
M. Taremi
23'
F
M. Taremi
23'
F
21
Rúben Vezo
D
Rúben Vezo
D
1
Jiří Pavlenka
G
Jiří Pavlenka
G
21
Rahman Baba
1 👟
D
Rahman Baba
1 👟
D
5
Giannis Michailidis
D
Giannis Michailidis
D
16
Tomasz Kędziora
D
3
Jonjoe Kenny
D
Jonjoe Kenny
D
8
S. Meïté
63'
M
S. Meïté
63'
M
20
Christos Zafeiris
83'
M
Christos Zafeiris
83'
M
18
Luka Ivanušec
63'
M
Luka Ivanušec
63'
M
65
G. Konstantelias
1 ⚽
M
G. Konstantelias
1 ⚽
M
14
A. Živković
M
A. Živković
M
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
F
Alexander Jeremejeff
F
Bench
22
Alessandro Bianco
14'
M
Alessandro Bianco
14'
M
4
Alessandro Vogliacco
D
Alessandro Vogliacco
D
56
Anestis Mythou
F
Anestis Mythou
F
99
Antonis Tsiftsis
G
Antonis Tsiftsis
G
97
Dimitrios Bataoulas
D
Dimitrios Bataoulas
D
52
Dimitrios Chatsidis
F
Dimitrios Chatsidis
F
41
Dimitrios Monastirlis
G
Dimitrios Monastirlis
G
10
D. Pelkas
M
D. Pelkas
M
32
Greg Taylor
D
Greg Taylor
D
23
Joan Sastre
D
Joan Sastre
D
27
M. Ozdoev
27'
M
M. Ozdoev
27'
M
11
Taison
27'
F
Taison
27'
F
Best on the pitch
Rodinei
M · Olympiakos
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
G. Konstantelias
M · PAOK
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Tomasz Kędziora
D · PAOK
7.70
· 36 pass
Konstantinos Tzolakis
G · Olympiakos
7.50
· 31 pass
Rahman Baba
D · PAOK
7.30
1 👟
· 25 pass
S. Hezze
M · Olympiakos
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 37 pass
Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Tzolakis | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Onyemaechi Bruno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Pirola | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Panagiotis Retsos | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Costinha | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Dani García | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Hezze | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Podence | M | 31 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Chiquinho | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodinei | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. El Kaabi | F | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Christos Mouzakitis | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Giulian Biancone | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Taremi | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
PAOK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiří Pavlenka | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Rahman Baba | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Giannis Michailidis | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Tomasz Kędziora | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jonjoe Kenny | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Meïté | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Christos Zafeiris | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Luka Ivanušec | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Konstantelias | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Živković | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Alexander Jeremejeff | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Alessandro Bianco | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Ozdoev | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Taison | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK?
The final score was Olympiakos Piraeus 1–1 PAOK.
What did the model predict before Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Olympiakos Piraeus win, 30% to a draw, and 20% to an PAOK win.