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Olympiakos Piraeus - Sparta Praha

Europa League October 22, 2026 21:00
#13 · 3 pts
vs
#3 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.06%
Win
Olympiakos Piraeus
16.65%
Draw
25.29%
Win
Sparta Praha
2.94
Expected xG
1.91
Most likely outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus
58.06%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (6.56%)
1X2 Result
1 58%
X 17%
2 25%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 75%
X2 42%
12 83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 85%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 58% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 25% for Sparta Praha. Expected goals are 2.9 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.9 for Sparta Praha (total 4.8), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 6.56% probability.

Season Stats

Olympiakos Piraeus
1W 0D 0L
Sparta Praha
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
4.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
6.0
Shots OT
8.0
13.0
Corners
13.0
58%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 1 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Olympiakos Piraeus Sparta Praha →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
1 2.3% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.4% 6.5% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.3% 6.3% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
4 2.4% 4.7% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
5 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%

Recent form

W Jagiellonia 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
W Ararat-Armenia 1–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack
54
Defence
79
Form
60
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Attack
53
Defence
64
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
The model gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 58% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 25% for an Sparta Praha win.
How many goals are expected in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
Expected goals: Olympiakos Piraeus 2.9, Sparta Praha 1.9 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.56%.